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icon for UAE x Qatar sever diplomatic relations in 2026?

UAE x Qatar sever diplomatic relations in 2026?

icon for UAE x Qatar sever diplomatic relations in 2026?

UAE x Qatar sever diplomatic relations in 2026?

5% peluang
Polymarket

$346,368 Vol.

5% peluang
Polymarket

$346,368 Vol.

This market will resolve to "Yes" if either the United Arab Emirates (UAE) or Qatar formally announces that they have suspended diplomatic relations with the other by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM Gulf Standard Time. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". The primary resolution source will be official information from either respective government; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.UAE-Qatar relations remain stable and cooperative in 2026, with traders assigning a 95.1% implied probability against severance due to restored ties since the 2021 end of the GCC blockade and multiple rounds of bilateral engagement. Officials from both countries held the seventh session of their Joint Higher Committee in Abu Dhabi in May, signing investment protection and agricultural cooperation agreements while discussing regional security amid Iran-related tensions. Ambassadors continue to operate in each capital, and non-oil trade reached $13 billion in 2025, reflecting aligned interests in Gulf stability and economic integration. Late-year catalysts that could shift odds remain limited but include any sharp divergence over Iran policy or Israel-related developments that strain GCC coordination.

This market will resolve to "Yes" if either the United Arab Emirates (UAE) or Qatar formally announces that they have suspended diplomatic relations with the other by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM Gulf Standard Time. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

The primary resolution source will be official information from either respective government; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if either the United Arab Emirates (UAE) or Qatar formally announces that they have suspended diplomatic relations with the other by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM Gulf Standard Time. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". The primary resolution source will be official information from either respective government; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Volume
$346,368
Tanggal Berakhir
Dec 31, 2026
Pasar Dibuka
Apr 28, 2026, 1:11 PM ET
This market will resolve to "Yes" if either the United Arab Emirates (UAE) or Qatar formally announces that they have suspended diplomatic relations with the other by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM Gulf Standard Time. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". The primary resolution source will be official information from either respective government; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.UAE-Qatar relations remain stable and cooperative in 2026, with traders assigning a 95.1% implied probability against severance due to restored ties since the 2021 end of the GCC blockade and multiple rounds of bilateral engagement. Officials from both countries held the seventh session of their Joint Higher Committee in Abu Dhabi in May, signing investment protection and agricultural cooperation agreements while discussing regional security amid Iran-related tensions. Ambassadors continue to operate in each capital, and non-oil trade reached $13 billion in 2025, reflecting aligned interests in Gulf stability and economic integration. Late-year catalysts that could shift odds remain limited but include any sharp divergence over Iran policy or Israel-related developments that strain GCC coordination.

This market will resolve to "Yes" if either the United Arab Emirates (UAE) or Qatar formally announces that they have suspended diplomatic relations with the other by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM Gulf Standard Time. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

The primary resolution source will be official information from either respective government; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if either the United Arab Emirates (UAE) or Qatar formally announces that they have suspended diplomatic relations with the other by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM Gulf Standard Time. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". The primary resolution source will be official information from either respective government; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Volume
$346,368
Tanggal Berakhir
Dec 31, 2026
Pasar Dibuka
Apr 28, 2026, 1:11 PM ET

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Pertanyaan yang Sering Diajukan

"UAE x Qatar sever diplomatic relations in 2026?" adalah pasar prediksi di Polymarket di mana trader membeli dan menjual saham "Ya" atau "Tidak" berdasarkan apakah mereka yakin event ini akan terjadi. Probabilitas crowd-sourced saat ini adalah 5% untuk "Yes." Misalnya, jika "Ya" dihargai 5¢, pasar secara kolektif memberikan peluang 5% bahwa event ini akan terjadi. Peluang ini bergeser terus-menerus saat trader bereaksi terhadap perkembangan dan informasi baru. Saham dengan hasil yang benar bisa ditukarkan seharga $1 setiap saham saat pasar diselesaikan.

Per hari ini, "UAE x Qatar sever diplomatic relations in 2026?" telah menghasilkan $346.4K dalam total volume trading sejak pasar diluncurkan pada Apr 28, 2026. Tingkat aktivitas trading ini mencerminkan keterlibatan kuat dari komunitas Polymarket dan membantu memastikan bahwa peluang saat ini diinformasikan oleh kumpulan besar peserta pasar. Kamu bisa melacak pergerakan harga langsung dan trading di hasil apa pun langsung di halaman ini.

Untuk trading di "UAE x Qatar sever diplomatic relations in 2026?," cukup pilih apakah kamu yakin jawabannya "Ya" atau "Tidak." Setiap sisi memiliki harga saat ini yang mencerminkan probabilitas tersirat pasar. Masukkan jumlah kamu dan klik "Trade." Jika kamu membeli saham "Ya" dan hasilnya diselesaikan sebagai "Ya," setiap saham membayar $1. Jika diselesaikan sebagai "Tidak," saham "Ya" kamu bernilai $0. Kamu juga bisa menjual sahammu kapan saja sebelum resolusi jika kamu ingin mengamankan keuntungan atau memotong kerugian.

Probabilitas saat ini untuk "UAE x Qatar sever diplomatic relations in 2026?" adalah 5% untuk "Yes." Ini berarti keramaian Polymarket saat ini percaya ada peluang 5% bahwa event ini akan terjadi. Peluang ini diperbarui secara real-time berdasarkan trade aktual, memberikan sinyal yang terus diperbarui tentang apa yang diharapkan pasar.

Aturan resolusi untuk "UAE x Qatar sever diplomatic relations in 2026?" mendefinisikan dengan tepat apa yang harus terjadi agar setiap hasil dinyatakan sebagai pemenang — termasuk sumber data resmi yang digunakan untuk menentukan hasilnya. Kamu bisa meninjau kriteria resolusi lengkap di bagian "Aturan" di halaman ini di atas komentar. Kami menyarankan membaca aturan dengan cermat sebelum trading, karena mereka menentukan kondisi tepat, kasus khusus, dan sumber yang mengatur bagaimana pasar ini diselesaikan.