UAE officials explicitly ruled out any departure from the Gulf Cooperation Council following the April 2026 announcement withdrawing from OPEC and OPEC+, stating that multilateral ties were under review but no further exits were planned. This clarification came amid speculation fueled by Saudi-Emirati energy rivalries and regional security strains from the Iran conflict, yet GCC coordination on defense and economic issues has continued without interruption. Traders assign the 93% probability to "No" because no formal statements, diplomatic signals, or procedural steps indicate an impending UAE exit, and historical patterns show Gulf states resolving disputes within the bloc rather than dissolving membership. Upcoming GCC summits and shared responses to external threats reinforce the expectation of continuity through the remainder of 2026.
Ringkasan eksperimental yang dihasilkan AI dengan referensi data Polymarket. Ini bukan saran trading dan tidak berperan dalam bagaimana pasar ini diselesaikan. · DiperbaruiWill UAE leave the Gulf Cooperation Council in 2026?
Will UAE leave the Gulf Cooperation Council in 2026?
$100,301 Vol.
$100,301 Vol.
Dec 31, 2026
$100,301 Vol.
$100,301 Vol.
Dec 31, 2026
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the UAE officially announces or formally communicates its decision to withdraw from the Gulf Cooperation Council (GCC) between market creation and the specified date, 11:59 PM Gulf Standard Time. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
An official announcement or formal communication refers to a statement by the United Arab Emirates government or an entity officially authorized to make such a decision that clearly indicates its decision to withdraw from the Gulf Cooperation Council, including but not limited to a notice of denunciation or equivalent official statement, regardless of when the withdrawal is set to take effect.
Informal announcements, statements from unnamed sources, or leaks will not qualify.
The primary resolution source will be official information from the UAE government and the GCC; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.UAE officials explicitly ruled out any departure from the Gulf Cooperation Council following the April 2026 announcement withdrawing from OPEC and OPEC+, stating that multilateral ties were under review but no further exits were planned. This clarification came amid speculation fueled by Saudi-Emirati energy rivalries and regional security strains from the Iran conflict, yet GCC coordination on defense and economic issues has continued without interruption. Traders assign the 93% probability to "No" because no formal statements, diplomatic signals, or procedural steps indicate an impending UAE exit, and historical patterns show Gulf states resolving disputes within the bloc rather than dissolving membership. Upcoming GCC summits and shared responses to external threats reinforce the expectation of continuity through the remainder of 2026.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the UAE officially announces or formally communicates its decision to withdraw from the Gulf Cooperation Council (GCC) between market creation and the specified date, 11:59 PM Gulf Standard Time. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
An official announcement or formal communication refers to a statement by the United Arab Emirates government or an entity officially authorized to make such a decision that clearly indicates its decision to withdraw from the Gulf Cooperation Council, including but not limited to a notice of denunciation or equivalent official statement, regardless of when the withdrawal is set to take effect.
Informal announcements, statements from unnamed sources, or leaks will not qualify.
The primary resolution source will be official information from the UAE government and the GCC; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
An official announcement or formal communication refers to a statement by the United Arab Emirates government or an entity officially authorized to make such a decision that clearly indicates its decision to withdraw from the Gulf Cooperation Council, including but not limited to a notice of denunciation or equivalent official statement, regardless of when the withdrawal is set to take effect.
Informal announcements, statements from unnamed sources, or leaks will not qualify.
The primary resolution source will be official information from the UAE government and the GCC; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Pasar Dibuka: Apr 28, 2026, 3:54 PM ET
Volume
$100,301Tanggal Berakhir
Dec 31, 2026Pasar Dibuka
Apr 28, 2026, 3:54 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to "Yes" if the UAE officially announces or formally communicates its decision to withdraw from the Gulf Cooperation Council (GCC) between market creation and the specified date, 11:59 PM Gulf Standard Time. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
An official announcement or formal communication refers to a statement by the United Arab Emirates government or an entity officially authorized to make such a decision that clearly indicates its decision to withdraw from the Gulf Cooperation Council, including but not limited to a notice of denunciation or equivalent official statement, regardless of when the withdrawal is set to take effect.
Informal announcements, statements from unnamed sources, or leaks will not qualify.
The primary resolution source will be official information from the UAE government and the GCC; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.UAE officials explicitly ruled out any departure from the Gulf Cooperation Council following the April 2026 announcement withdrawing from OPEC and OPEC+, stating that multilateral ties were under review but no further exits were planned. This clarification came amid speculation fueled by Saudi-Emirati energy rivalries and regional security strains from the Iran conflict, yet GCC coordination on defense and economic issues has continued without interruption. Traders assign the 93% probability to "No" because no formal statements, diplomatic signals, or procedural steps indicate an impending UAE exit, and historical patterns show Gulf states resolving disputes within the bloc rather than dissolving membership. Upcoming GCC summits and shared responses to external threats reinforce the expectation of continuity through the remainder of 2026.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the UAE officially announces or formally communicates its decision to withdraw from the Gulf Cooperation Council (GCC) between market creation and the specified date, 11:59 PM Gulf Standard Time. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
An official announcement or formal communication refers to a statement by the United Arab Emirates government or an entity officially authorized to make such a decision that clearly indicates its decision to withdraw from the Gulf Cooperation Council, including but not limited to a notice of denunciation or equivalent official statement, regardless of when the withdrawal is set to take effect.
Informal announcements, statements from unnamed sources, or leaks will not qualify.
The primary resolution source will be official information from the UAE government and the GCC; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
An official announcement or formal communication refers to a statement by the United Arab Emirates government or an entity officially authorized to make such a decision that clearly indicates its decision to withdraw from the Gulf Cooperation Council, including but not limited to a notice of denunciation or equivalent official statement, regardless of when the withdrawal is set to take effect.
Informal announcements, statements from unnamed sources, or leaks will not qualify.
The primary resolution source will be official information from the UAE government and the GCC; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Volume
$100,301Tanggal Berakhir
Dec 31, 2026Pasar Dibuka
Apr 28, 2026, 3:54 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...UAE officials explicitly ruled out any departure from the Gulf Cooperation Council following the April 2026 announcement withdrawing from OPEC and OPEC+, stating that multilateral ties were under review but no further exits were planned. This clarification came amid speculation fueled by Saudi-Emirati energy rivalries and regional security strains from the Iran conflict, yet GCC coordination on defense and economic issues has continued without interruption. Traders assign the 93% probability to "No" because no formal statements, diplomatic signals, or procedural steps indicate an impending UAE exit, and historical patterns show Gulf states resolving disputes within the bloc rather than dissolving membership. Upcoming GCC summits and shared responses to external threats reinforce the expectation of continuity through the remainder of 2026.
Ringkasan eksperimental yang dihasilkan AI dengan referensi data Polymarket. Ini bukan saran trading dan tidak berperan dalam bagaimana pasar ini diselesaikan. · Diperbarui
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