Recent polling from institutes like Paraná Pesquisas and Quaest shows Benedita da Silva (PT) and Marcelo Crivella (Republicanos) as the frontrunners for the two Rio de Janeiro Senate seats, with Benedita often ahead but Crivella close behind in stimulated scenarios. The fragmented field of over a dozen candidates—including Pedro Paulo (PSD), Carlos Portinho (PL), Mônica Benício (PSOL), and others—keeps first-place probabilities dispersed, as no contender exceeds 30% in most surveys and many voters remain undecided weeks before the October vote. Official campaigning began August 16, limiting recent momentum shifts, while alliances tied to the gubernatorial race and evangelical voter blocs provide structural support for the leaders. Trader consensus reflects this uncertainty, with room for late separation driven by turnout patterns, endorsements, or debate performances among the top contenders.
Ringkasan eksperimental yang dihasilkan AI dengan referensi data Polymarket. Ini bukan saran trading dan tidak berperan dalam bagaimana pasar ini diselesaikan. · DiperbaruiMarcelo Crivella 81%
Michelly Xavier 80%
Luciano Mattos 78%
André Monteiro 34%
BARU
BARU
Oct 4, 2026
Marcelo Crivella
81%
Michelly Xavier
80%
Luciano Mattos
78%
André Monteiro
34%
Benedita da Silva
32%
Pedro Paulo
31%
Marcos Dias
31%
Waguinho
31%
Paula Falcão
28%
Ó Clemente
28%
Monica Benicio
27%
Vinicius Benevides
26%
Carlos Portinho
26%
Luiz Eugenio
19%
Carlos Jordy
34%
Helio Secco
4%
Marcelo Crivella 81%
Michelly Xavier 80%
Luciano Mattos 78%
André Monteiro 34%
BARU
BARU
Oct 4, 2026
Marcelo Crivella
$67 Vol.
81%
Michelly Xavier
$67 Vol.
80%
Luciano Mattos
$67 Vol.
78%
André Monteiro
$67 Vol.
34%
Benedita da Silva
$67 Vol.
32%
Pedro Paulo
$67 Vol.
31%
Marcos Dias
$67 Vol.
31%
Waguinho
$67 Vol.
31%
Paula Falcão
$93 Vol.
28%
Ó Clemente
$67 Vol.
28%
Monica Benicio
$67 Vol.
27%
Vinicius Benevides
$98 Vol.
26%
Carlos Portinho
$67 Vol.
26%
Luiz Eugenio
$123 Vol.
19%
Carlos Jordy
$87 Vol.
34%
Helio Secco
$93 Vol.
4%
The Brazilian Federal Senate election for Rio de Janeiro is scheduled to take place on October 4, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the most valid votes of any candidate at the specified election.
Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
If the result of this election isn't definitively known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).Recent polling from institutes like Paraná Pesquisas and Quaest shows Benedita da Silva (PT) and Marcelo Crivella (Republicanos) as the frontrunners for the two Rio de Janeiro Senate seats, with Benedita often ahead but Crivella close behind in stimulated scenarios. The fragmented field of over a dozen candidates—including Pedro Paulo (PSD), Carlos Portinho (PL), Mônica Benício (PSOL), and others—keeps first-place probabilities dispersed, as no contender exceeds 30% in most surveys and many voters remain undecided weeks before the October vote. Official campaigning began August 16, limiting recent momentum shifts, while alliances tied to the gubernatorial race and evangelical voter blocs provide structural support for the leaders. Trader consensus reflects this uncertainty, with room for late separation driven by turnout patterns, endorsements, or debate performances among the top contenders.
The Brazilian Federal Senate election for Rio de Janeiro is scheduled to take place on October 4, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the most valid votes of any candidate at the specified election.
Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
If the result of this election isn't definitively known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the most valid votes of any candidate at the specified election.
Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
If the result of this election isn't definitively known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).
Pasar Dibuka: Aug 17, 2026, 6:09 AM ET
Volume
$1,227Tanggal Berakhir
Oct 4, 2026Pasar Dibuka
Aug 17, 2026, 6:09 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...The Brazilian Federal Senate election for Rio de Janeiro is scheduled to take place on October 4, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the most valid votes of any candidate at the specified election.
Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
If the result of this election isn't definitively known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).Recent polling from institutes like Paraná Pesquisas and Quaest shows Benedita da Silva (PT) and Marcelo Crivella (Republicanos) as the frontrunners for the two Rio de Janeiro Senate seats, with Benedita often ahead but Crivella close behind in stimulated scenarios. The fragmented field of over a dozen candidates—including Pedro Paulo (PSD), Carlos Portinho (PL), Mônica Benício (PSOL), and others—keeps first-place probabilities dispersed, as no contender exceeds 30% in most surveys and many voters remain undecided weeks before the October vote. Official campaigning began August 16, limiting recent momentum shifts, while alliances tied to the gubernatorial race and evangelical voter blocs provide structural support for the leaders. Trader consensus reflects this uncertainty, with room for late separation driven by turnout patterns, endorsements, or debate performances among the top contenders.
The Brazilian Federal Senate election for Rio de Janeiro is scheduled to take place on October 4, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the most valid votes of any candidate at the specified election.
Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
If the result of this election isn't definitively known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the most valid votes of any candidate at the specified election.
Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
If the result of this election isn't definitively known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).
Volume
$1,227Tanggal Berakhir
Oct 4, 2026Pasar Dibuka
Aug 17, 2026, 6:09 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent polling from institutes like Paraná Pesquisas and Quaest shows Benedita da Silva (PT) and Marcelo Crivella (Republicanos) as the frontrunners for the two Rio de Janeiro Senate seats, with Benedita often ahead but Crivella close behind in stimulated scenarios. The fragmented field of over a dozen candidates—including Pedro Paulo (PSD), Carlos Portinho (PL), Mônica Benício (PSOL), and others—keeps first-place probabilities dispersed, as no contender exceeds 30% in most surveys and many voters remain undecided weeks before the October vote. Official campaigning began August 16, limiting recent momentum shifts, while alliances tied to the gubernatorial race and evangelical voter blocs provide structural support for the leaders. Trader consensus reflects this uncertainty, with room for late separation driven by turnout patterns, endorsements, or debate performances among the top contenders.
Ringkasan eksperimental yang dihasilkan AI dengan referensi data Polymarket. Ini bukan saran trading dan tidak berperan dalam bagaimana pasar ini diselesaikan. · Diperbarui
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