Recent polling shows Benedita da Silva (PT) holding a clear lead for one Senate seat from Rio de Janeiro, while the contest for second remains fragmented among Marcelo Crivella (Republicanos), Pedro Paulo (PSD), Carlos Portinho (PL), and others. Flávio Bolsonaro’s decision to run for president instead vacated a potential strong position and further scattered right-leaning support. With roughly two months until the October vote and limited fresh surveys since July, traders see no dominant challenger emerging to separate from the pack. Low individual percentages, high indecision, and overlapping bases across parties keep implied probabilities for second place clustered tightly. Late endorsements, candidate withdrawals, or turnout shifts among key blocs could still reorder the field before election day.
Ringkasan eksperimental yang dihasilkan AI dengan referensi data Polymarket. Ini bukan saran trading dan tidak berperan dalam bagaimana pasar ini diselesaikan. · DiperbaruiLuiz Eugenio 43%
Paula Falcão 43%
Pedro Paulo 42%
André Monteiro 41%
BARU
BARU
Oct 4, 2026
Luiz Eugenio
43%
Paula Falcão
43%
Pedro Paulo
42%
André Monteiro
41%
Benedita da Silva
41%
Carlos Portinho
41%
Marcelo Crivella
41%
Monica Benicio
41%
Vinicius Benevides
40%
Marcos Dias
39%
Ó Clemente
39%
Helio Secco
38%
Michelly Xavier
38%
Carlos Jordy
37%
Luciano Mattos
37%
Waguinho
37%
Luiz Eugenio 43%
Paula Falcão 43%
Pedro Paulo 42%
André Monteiro 41%
BARU
BARU
Oct 4, 2026
Luiz Eugenio
$0 Vol.
43%
Paula Falcão
$0 Vol.
43%
Pedro Paulo
$0 Vol.
42%
André Monteiro
$0 Vol.
41%
Benedita da Silva
$0 Vol.
41%
Carlos Portinho
$0 Vol.
41%
Marcelo Crivella
$0 Vol.
41%
Monica Benicio
$0 Vol.
41%
Vinicius Benevides
$0 Vol.
40%
Marcos Dias
$0 Vol.
39%
Ó Clemente
$0 Vol.
39%
Helio Secco
$0 Vol.
38%
Michelly Xavier
$0 Vol.
38%
Carlos Jordy
$0 Vol.
37%
Luciano Mattos
$0 Vol.
37%
Waguinho
$0 Vol.
37%
The Brazilian Federal Senate election for Rio de Janeiro is scheduled to take place on October 4, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the second-most valid votes of any candidate at the specified election.
Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the second-highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
If the result of this election isn't definitively known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).Recent polling shows Benedita da Silva (PT) holding a clear lead for one Senate seat from Rio de Janeiro, while the contest for second remains fragmented among Marcelo Crivella (Republicanos), Pedro Paulo (PSD), Carlos Portinho (PL), and others. Flávio Bolsonaro’s decision to run for president instead vacated a potential strong position and further scattered right-leaning support. With roughly two months until the October vote and limited fresh surveys since July, traders see no dominant challenger emerging to separate from the pack. Low individual percentages, high indecision, and overlapping bases across parties keep implied probabilities for second place clustered tightly. Late endorsements, candidate withdrawals, or turnout shifts among key blocs could still reorder the field before election day.
The Brazilian Federal Senate election for Rio de Janeiro is scheduled to take place on October 4, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the second-most valid votes of any candidate at the specified election.
Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the second-highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
If the result of this election isn't definitively known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the second-most valid votes of any candidate at the specified election.
Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the second-highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
If the result of this election isn't definitively known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).
Pasar Dibuka: Aug 17, 2026, 6:13 AM ET
Volume
$0Tanggal Berakhir
Oct 4, 2026Pasar Dibuka
Aug 17, 2026, 6:13 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...The Brazilian Federal Senate election for Rio de Janeiro is scheduled to take place on October 4, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the second-most valid votes of any candidate at the specified election.
Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the second-highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
If the result of this election isn't definitively known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).Recent polling shows Benedita da Silva (PT) holding a clear lead for one Senate seat from Rio de Janeiro, while the contest for second remains fragmented among Marcelo Crivella (Republicanos), Pedro Paulo (PSD), Carlos Portinho (PL), and others. Flávio Bolsonaro’s decision to run for president instead vacated a potential strong position and further scattered right-leaning support. With roughly two months until the October vote and limited fresh surveys since July, traders see no dominant challenger emerging to separate from the pack. Low individual percentages, high indecision, and overlapping bases across parties keep implied probabilities for second place clustered tightly. Late endorsements, candidate withdrawals, or turnout shifts among key blocs could still reorder the field before election day.
The Brazilian Federal Senate election for Rio de Janeiro is scheduled to take place on October 4, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the second-most valid votes of any candidate at the specified election.
Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the second-highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
If the result of this election isn't definitively known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the second-most valid votes of any candidate at the specified election.
Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the second-highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
If the result of this election isn't definitively known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).
Volume
$0Tanggal Berakhir
Oct 4, 2026Pasar Dibuka
Aug 17, 2026, 6:13 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent polling shows Benedita da Silva (PT) holding a clear lead for one Senate seat from Rio de Janeiro, while the contest for second remains fragmented among Marcelo Crivella (Republicanos), Pedro Paulo (PSD), Carlos Portinho (PL), and others. Flávio Bolsonaro’s decision to run for president instead vacated a potential strong position and further scattered right-leaning support. With roughly two months until the October vote and limited fresh surveys since July, traders see no dominant challenger emerging to separate from the pack. Low individual percentages, high indecision, and overlapping bases across parties keep implied probabilities for second place clustered tightly. Late endorsements, candidate withdrawals, or turnout shifts among key blocs could still reorder the field before election day.
Ringkasan eksperimental yang dihasilkan AI dengan referensi data Polymarket. Ini bukan saran trading dan tidak berperan dalam bagaimana pasar ini diselesaikan. · Diperbarui
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