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icon for Rio Grande do Sul Senate Election: 2nd Place
Politik·Brasil

Rio Grande do Sul Senate Election: 2nd Place

icon for Rio Grande do Sul Senate Election: 2nd Place
Politik·Brasil

Rio Grande do Sul Senate Election: 2nd Place

Renato Jaguarão 26%

Manuela D'Ávila 25%

Luciano do MLB 23%

Frederico Antunes 20%

Polymarket
BARU

Renato Jaguarão 26%

Manuela D'Ávila 25%

Luciano do MLB 23%

Frederico Antunes 20%

Polymarket
BARU
icon for Renato Jaguarão

Renato Jaguarão

$20 Vol.

26%

icon for Manuela D'Ávila

Manuela D'Ávila

$20 Vol.

25%

icon for Luciano do MLB

Luciano do MLB

$20 Vol.

23%

icon for Frederico Antunes

Frederico Antunes

$20 Vol.

20%

icon for Milton Cardoso

Milton Cardoso

$20 Vol.

20%

icon for Marcel Van Hattem

Marcel Van Hattem

$20 Vol.

19%

icon for Ric Jones

Ric Jones

$20 Vol.

19%

icon for Tania Peres

Tania Peres

$20 Vol.

18%

icon for Regis Ethur

Regis Ethur

$20 Vol.

17%

icon for Daniela Mulheres Socialistas

Daniela Mulheres Socialistas

$20 Vol.

16%

icon for Sanderson

Sanderson

$20 Vol.

16%

icon for Pimenta

Pimenta

$20 Vol.

15%

icon for Rigotto

Rigotto

$20 Vol.

13%

The Brazilian Federal Senate election for Rio Grande do Sul is scheduled to take place on October 4, 2026. This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the second-most valid votes of any candidate at the specified election. Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the second-highest finishing position after applying this ranking. If the result of this election isn't definitively known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other". This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).Recent polling in Rio Grande do Sul for the October 2026 Senate election shows a fragmented field, with multiple candidates including Paulo Pimenta (PT), Manuela D'Ávila (PSOL), Marcel Van Hattem (Novo), Germano Rigotto (MDB), Ubiratan Sanderson (PL), and Frederico Antunes (PSD) appearing within the margin of error for the two available seats. This has kept implied probabilities for second place tightly clustered, as traders weigh shifting vote intentions and coalition dynamics ahead of the October ballot. Late July surveys highlighted technical ties among the leading contenders, with limited differentiation from endorsements or campaign events in the past month. Developments such as further polling releases, candidate withdrawals, or targeted regional campaigning could widen gaps by clarifying voter preferences among centrist, left, and opposition blocs.

The Brazilian Federal Senate election for Rio Grande do Sul is scheduled to take place on October 4, 2026.

This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the second-most valid votes of any candidate at the specified election.

Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the second-highest finishing position after applying this ranking.

If the result of this election isn't definitively known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".

This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).
Volume
$260
Tanggal Berakhir
Oct 4, 2026
Pasar Dibuka
Aug 17, 2026, 6:15 AM ET

Resolver

0x69c47De9D...
The Brazilian Federal Senate election for Rio Grande do Sul is scheduled to take place on October 4, 2026. This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the second-most valid votes of any candidate at the specified election. Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the second-highest finishing position after applying this ranking. If the result of this election isn't definitively known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other". This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).
The Brazilian Federal Senate election for Rio Grande do Sul is scheduled to take place on October 4, 2026. This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the second-most valid votes of any candidate at the specified election. Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the second-highest finishing position after applying this ranking. If the result of this election isn't definitively known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other". This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).Recent polling in Rio Grande do Sul for the October 2026 Senate election shows a fragmented field, with multiple candidates including Paulo Pimenta (PT), Manuela D'Ávila (PSOL), Marcel Van Hattem (Novo), Germano Rigotto (MDB), Ubiratan Sanderson (PL), and Frederico Antunes (PSD) appearing within the margin of error for the two available seats. This has kept implied probabilities for second place tightly clustered, as traders weigh shifting vote intentions and coalition dynamics ahead of the October ballot. Late July surveys highlighted technical ties among the leading contenders, with limited differentiation from endorsements or campaign events in the past month. Developments such as further polling releases, candidate withdrawals, or targeted regional campaigning could widen gaps by clarifying voter preferences among centrist, left, and opposition blocs.

The Brazilian Federal Senate election for Rio Grande do Sul is scheduled to take place on October 4, 2026.

This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the second-most valid votes of any candidate at the specified election.

Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the second-highest finishing position after applying this ranking.

If the result of this election isn't definitively known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".

This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).
Volume
$260
Tanggal Berakhir
Oct 4, 2026
Pasar Dibuka
Aug 17, 2026, 6:15 AM ET

Resolver

0x69c47De9D...
The Brazilian Federal Senate election for Rio Grande do Sul is scheduled to take place on October 4, 2026. This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the second-most valid votes of any candidate at the specified election. Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the second-highest finishing position after applying this ranking. If the result of this election isn't definitively known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other". This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).

Terkait

icon for Will Regis Ethur win the most votes in the 2026 Rio Grande do Sul Senate election?

Will Regis Ethur win the most votes in the 2026 Rio Grande do Sul Senate election?

22%
icon for Will Coronel Hélio win the second-most votes in the 2026 Rio Grande do Norte Senate election?

Will Coronel Hélio win the second-most votes in the 2026 Rio Grande do Norte Senate election?

27%
icon for Will Helio Secco win the second-most votes in the 2026 Rio de Janeiro Senate election?

Will Helio Secco win the second-most votes in the 2026 Rio de Janeiro Senate election?

32%

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Pertanyaan yang Sering Diajukan

"Rio Grande do Sul Senate Election: 2nd Place" adalah pasar prediksi di Polymarket dengan 13 hasil yang mungkin di mana trader membeli dan menjual saham berdasarkan apa yang mereka yakini akan terjadi. Hasil terdepan saat ini adalah "Renato Jaguarão" di 26%, diikuti oleh "Manuela D'Ávila" di 25%. Harga mencerminkan probabilitas crowd-sourced real-time. Misalnya, saham yang dihargai 26¢ menyiratkan bahwa pasar secara kolektif memberikan peluang 26% pada hasil tersebut. Peluang ini bergeser terus-menerus saat trader bereaksi terhadap perkembangan dan informasi baru. Saham dengan hasil yang benar bisa ditukarkan seharga $1 setiap saham saat pasar diselesaikan.

"Rio Grande do Sul Senate Election: 2nd Place" adalah pasar yang baru dibuat di Polymarket, diluncurkan pada Aug 17, 2026. Sebagai pasar awal, ini adalah kesempatanmu untuk menjadi salah satu trader pertama yang menetapkan peluang dan membangun sinyal harga awal pasar. Kamu juga bisa menandai halaman ini untuk melacak volume dan aktivitas trading seiring pasar mendapatkan traksi.

Untuk trading di "Rio Grande do Sul Senate Election: 2nd Place," jelajahi 13 hasil yang tersedia di halaman ini. Setiap hasil menampilkan harga saat ini yang mewakili probabilitas tersirat pasar. Untuk mengambil posisi, pilih hasil yang menurutmu paling mungkin, pilih "Ya" untuk mendukungnya atau "Tidak" untuk menentangnya, masukkan jumlahmu, dan klik "Trade." Jika hasil pilihanmu benar saat pasar diselesaikan, saham "Ya" kamu membayar $1 masing-masing. Jika salah, mereka membayar $0. Kamu juga bisa menjual sahammu kapan saja sebelum resolusi jika kamu ingin mengamankan keuntungan atau memotong kerugian.

Unggulan saat ini untuk "Rio Grande do Sul Senate Election: 2nd Place" adalah "Renato Jaguarão" di 26%, yang berarti pasar memberikan peluang 26% pada hasil tersebut. Hasil terdekat berikutnya adalah "Manuela D'Ávila" di 25%. Peluang ini diperbarui secara real-time saat trader membeli dan menjual saham, sehingga mencerminkan pandangan kolektif terbaru tentang apa yang paling mungkin terjadi. Cek kembali secara rutin atau tandai halaman ini untuk mengikuti bagaimana peluang bergeser saat informasi baru muncul.

Aturan resolusi untuk "Rio Grande do Sul Senate Election: 2nd Place" mendefinisikan dengan tepat apa yang harus terjadi agar setiap hasil dinyatakan sebagai pemenang — termasuk sumber data resmi yang digunakan untuk menentukan hasilnya. Kamu bisa meninjau kriteria resolusi lengkap di bagian "Aturan" di halaman ini di atas komentar. Kami menyarankan membaca aturan dengan cermat sebelum trading, karena mereka menentukan kondisi tepat, kasus khusus, dan sumber yang mengatur bagaimana pasar ini diselesaikan.