President Trump’s administration has emphasized AI innovation and U.S. technological leadership over regulatory restrictions since taking office. In January 2025, an early executive order revoked prior Biden-era AI directives and directed removal of barriers to American AI dominance. On June 2, 2026, Trump signed Executive Order 14409, “Promoting Advanced Artificial Intelligence Innovation and Security,” which created a voluntary framework for government review of frontier models focused on cybersecurity threats while explicitly prohibiting mandatory licensing, pre-clearance, or permitting requirements. As of mid-September 2026, the president publicly dismissed calls for new limits, labeling safety concerns a “hoax” that would benefit China. These actions align with the administration’s consistent deregulatory stance and suggest limited near-term momentum for restrictive measures.
Ringkasan eksperimental yang dihasilkan AI dengan referensi data Polymarket. Ini bukan saran trading dan tidak berperan dalam bagaimana pasar ini diselesaikan. · DiperbaruiBARU
Sep 30, 2026
September 30
7%
October 31
40%
December 31
51%
$472 Vol.
September 30
$468 Vol.
7%
October 31
$0 Vol.
40%
December 31
$5 Vol.
51%
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Donald Trump signs an executive order, proclamation, or presidential memorandum that imposes, or directs a federal agency to impose, a mandatory requirement on the training, development, or deployment of artificial intelligence models by non-governmental developers or deployers, by the specified date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
A mandatory requirement is one AI model developers or deployers must meet as a condition of training, releasing, or operating a model, such as pre-release government review, required safety testing, compute or capability thresholds that trigger obligations, restrictions on training data, limits on autonomous operation, or prohibitions on specified uses. An order that directs an agency to establish such a requirement within a stated period qualifies.
Studies, reports, guidance, standards, or voluntary frameworks do not count. Orders that only govern the federal government's own use or procurement of AI, impose export or chip controls, regulate data-center energy or permitting, address immigration, or regulate only AI-generated content do not qualify.
The signing or issuance of a qualifying order within this market's timeframe will qualify for a "Yes" resolution, regardless of when the order takes effect, and regardless of whether it is subsequently stayed, enjoined, revoked, or superseded.
The primary resolution source will be official information from the government of the United States, including the text of presidential actions published at whitehouse.gov and in the Federal Register; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.President Trump’s administration has emphasized AI innovation and U.S. technological leadership over regulatory restrictions since taking office. In January 2025, an early executive order revoked prior Biden-era AI directives and directed removal of barriers to American AI dominance. On June 2, 2026, Trump signed Executive Order 14409, “Promoting Advanced Artificial Intelligence Innovation and Security,” which created a voluntary framework for government review of frontier models focused on cybersecurity threats while explicitly prohibiting mandatory licensing, pre-clearance, or permitting requirements. As of mid-September 2026, the president publicly dismissed calls for new limits, labeling safety concerns a “hoax” that would benefit China. These actions align with the administration’s consistent deregulatory stance and suggest limited near-term momentum for restrictive measures.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Donald Trump signs an executive order, proclamation, or presidential memorandum that imposes, or directs a federal agency to impose, a mandatory requirement on the training, development, or deployment of artificial intelligence models by non-governmental developers or deployers, by the specified date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
A mandatory requirement is one AI model developers or deployers must meet as a condition of training, releasing, or operating a model, such as pre-release government review, required safety testing, compute or capability thresholds that trigger obligations, restrictions on training data, limits on autonomous operation, or prohibitions on specified uses. An order that directs an agency to establish such a requirement within a stated period qualifies.
Studies, reports, guidance, standards, or voluntary frameworks do not count. Orders that only govern the federal government's own use or procurement of AI, impose export or chip controls, regulate data-center energy or permitting, address immigration, or regulate only AI-generated content do not qualify.
The signing or issuance of a qualifying order within this market's timeframe will qualify for a "Yes" resolution, regardless of when the order takes effect, and regardless of whether it is subsequently stayed, enjoined, revoked, or superseded.
The primary resolution source will be official information from the government of the United States, including the text of presidential actions published at whitehouse.gov and in the Federal Register; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
A mandatory requirement is one AI model developers or deployers must meet as a condition of training, releasing, or operating a model, such as pre-release government review, required safety testing, compute or capability thresholds that trigger obligations, restrictions on training data, limits on autonomous operation, or prohibitions on specified uses. An order that directs an agency to establish such a requirement within a stated period qualifies.
Studies, reports, guidance, standards, or voluntary frameworks do not count. Orders that only govern the federal government's own use or procurement of AI, impose export or chip controls, regulate data-center energy or permitting, address immigration, or regulate only AI-generated content do not qualify.
The signing or issuance of a qualifying order within this market's timeframe will qualify for a "Yes" resolution, regardless of when the order takes effect, and regardless of whether it is subsequently stayed, enjoined, revoked, or superseded.
The primary resolution source will be official information from the government of the United States, including the text of presidential actions published at whitehouse.gov and in the Federal Register; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Pasar Dibuka: Sep 17, 2026, 2:28 PM ET
Volume
$472Tanggal Berakhir
Jan 1, 2027Pasar Dibuka
Sep 17, 2026, 2:28 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to "Yes" if Donald Trump signs an executive order, proclamation, or presidential memorandum that imposes, or directs a federal agency to impose, a mandatory requirement on the training, development, or deployment of artificial intelligence models by non-governmental developers or deployers, by the specified date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
A mandatory requirement is one AI model developers or deployers must meet as a condition of training, releasing, or operating a model, such as pre-release government review, required safety testing, compute or capability thresholds that trigger obligations, restrictions on training data, limits on autonomous operation, or prohibitions on specified uses. An order that directs an agency to establish such a requirement within a stated period qualifies.
Studies, reports, guidance, standards, or voluntary frameworks do not count. Orders that only govern the federal government's own use or procurement of AI, impose export or chip controls, regulate data-center energy or permitting, address immigration, or regulate only AI-generated content do not qualify.
The signing or issuance of a qualifying order within this market's timeframe will qualify for a "Yes" resolution, regardless of when the order takes effect, and regardless of whether it is subsequently stayed, enjoined, revoked, or superseded.
The primary resolution source will be official information from the government of the United States, including the text of presidential actions published at whitehouse.gov and in the Federal Register; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.President Trump’s administration has emphasized AI innovation and U.S. technological leadership over regulatory restrictions since taking office. In January 2025, an early executive order revoked prior Biden-era AI directives and directed removal of barriers to American AI dominance. On June 2, 2026, Trump signed Executive Order 14409, “Promoting Advanced Artificial Intelligence Innovation and Security,” which created a voluntary framework for government review of frontier models focused on cybersecurity threats while explicitly prohibiting mandatory licensing, pre-clearance, or permitting requirements. As of mid-September 2026, the president publicly dismissed calls for new limits, labeling safety concerns a “hoax” that would benefit China. These actions align with the administration’s consistent deregulatory stance and suggest limited near-term momentum for restrictive measures.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Donald Trump signs an executive order, proclamation, or presidential memorandum that imposes, or directs a federal agency to impose, a mandatory requirement on the training, development, or deployment of artificial intelligence models by non-governmental developers or deployers, by the specified date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
A mandatory requirement is one AI model developers or deployers must meet as a condition of training, releasing, or operating a model, such as pre-release government review, required safety testing, compute or capability thresholds that trigger obligations, restrictions on training data, limits on autonomous operation, or prohibitions on specified uses. An order that directs an agency to establish such a requirement within a stated period qualifies.
Studies, reports, guidance, standards, or voluntary frameworks do not count. Orders that only govern the federal government's own use or procurement of AI, impose export or chip controls, regulate data-center energy or permitting, address immigration, or regulate only AI-generated content do not qualify.
The signing or issuance of a qualifying order within this market's timeframe will qualify for a "Yes" resolution, regardless of when the order takes effect, and regardless of whether it is subsequently stayed, enjoined, revoked, or superseded.
The primary resolution source will be official information from the government of the United States, including the text of presidential actions published at whitehouse.gov and in the Federal Register; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
A mandatory requirement is one AI model developers or deployers must meet as a condition of training, releasing, or operating a model, such as pre-release government review, required safety testing, compute or capability thresholds that trigger obligations, restrictions on training data, limits on autonomous operation, or prohibitions on specified uses. An order that directs an agency to establish such a requirement within a stated period qualifies.
Studies, reports, guidance, standards, or voluntary frameworks do not count. Orders that only govern the federal government's own use or procurement of AI, impose export or chip controls, regulate data-center energy or permitting, address immigration, or regulate only AI-generated content do not qualify.
The signing or issuance of a qualifying order within this market's timeframe will qualify for a "Yes" resolution, regardless of when the order takes effect, and regardless of whether it is subsequently stayed, enjoined, revoked, or superseded.
The primary resolution source will be official information from the government of the United States, including the text of presidential actions published at whitehouse.gov and in the Federal Register; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Volume
$472Tanggal Berakhir
Jan 1, 2027Pasar Dibuka
Sep 17, 2026, 2:28 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...President Trump’s administration has emphasized AI innovation and U.S. technological leadership over regulatory restrictions since taking office. In January 2025, an early executive order revoked prior Biden-era AI directives and directed removal of barriers to American AI dominance. On June 2, 2026, Trump signed Executive Order 14409, “Promoting Advanced Artificial Intelligence Innovation and Security,” which created a voluntary framework for government review of frontier models focused on cybersecurity threats while explicitly prohibiting mandatory licensing, pre-clearance, or permitting requirements. As of mid-September 2026, the president publicly dismissed calls for new limits, labeling safety concerns a “hoax” that would benefit China. These actions align with the administration’s consistent deregulatory stance and suggest limited near-term momentum for restrictive measures.
Ringkasan eksperimental yang dihasilkan AI dengan referensi data Polymarket. Ini bukan saran trading dan tidak berperan dalam bagaimana pasar ini diselesaikan. · Diperbarui
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