Ongoing negotiations between the United States and Iran in late May 2026 produced tentative agreements to extend a ceasefire, reopen the Strait of Hormuz, and initiate 60-day talks addressing Iran's nuclear program and enriched uranium stockpiles. However, no comprehensive nuclear deal was finalized or announced by the May 31 deadline. Senior officials, including President Trump and Vice President Vance, described the sides as close but noted remaining gaps on core issues such as inspections, sanctions relief, and enrichment limits. This absence of a concluded agreement by the cutoff date underpins trader consensus on the "No" outcome. Late diplomatic breakthroughs or formal approvals occurring after the window could still prompt review, though none materialized within the specified period.
Ringkasan eksperimental yang dihasilkan AI dengan referensi data Polymarket. Ini bukan saran trading dan tidak berperan dalam bagaimana pasar ini diselesaikan. · DiperbaruiUS-Iran nuclear deal by May 31?
US-Iran nuclear deal by May 31?
$6,905,767 Vol.
$6,905,767 Vol.
May 31, 2026
$6,905,767 Vol.
$6,905,767 Vol.
May 31, 2026
This market will resolve to "Yes" if an official agreement over Iranian nuclear research and/or nuclear weapon development, defined as a publicly announced mutual agreement, is reached between the United States and Iran by May 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
If such an agreement is officially reached before the resolution date, this market will resolve to "Yes", regardless of if/when the agreement goes into effect.
Agreements that include the United States and Iran as parties, even if they also involve other countries (e.g., a multilateral deal like the JCPOA), will qualify for resolution.
The primary resolution source for this market will be an official announcement by the United States and/or the Islamic Republic of Iran, however an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting confirming an agreement has been reached will also qualify.Ongoing negotiations between the United States and Iran in late May 2026 produced tentative agreements to extend a ceasefire, reopen the Strait of Hormuz, and initiate 60-day talks addressing Iran's nuclear program and enriched uranium stockpiles. However, no comprehensive nuclear deal was finalized or announced by the May 31 deadline. Senior officials, including President Trump and Vice President Vance, described the sides as close but noted remaining gaps on core issues such as inspections, sanctions relief, and enrichment limits. This absence of a concluded agreement by the cutoff date underpins trader consensus on the "No" outcome. Late diplomatic breakthroughs or formal approvals occurring after the window could still prompt review, though none materialized within the specified period.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if an official agreement over Iranian nuclear research and/or nuclear weapon development, defined as a publicly announced mutual agreement, is reached between the United States and Iran by May 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
If such an agreement is officially reached before the resolution date, this market will resolve to "Yes", regardless of if/when the agreement goes into effect.
Agreements that include the United States and Iran as parties, even if they also involve other countries (e.g., a multilateral deal like the JCPOA), will qualify for resolution.
The primary resolution source for this market will be an official announcement by the United States and/or the Islamic Republic of Iran, however an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting confirming an agreement has been reached will also qualify.
If such an agreement is officially reached before the resolution date, this market will resolve to "Yes", regardless of if/when the agreement goes into effect.
Agreements that include the United States and Iran as parties, even if they also involve other countries (e.g., a multilateral deal like the JCPOA), will qualify for resolution.
The primary resolution source for this market will be an official announcement by the United States and/or the Islamic Republic of Iran, however an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting confirming an agreement has been reached will also qualify.
Pasar Dibuka: Apr 28, 2026, 10:39 PM ET
Volume
$6,905,767Tanggal Berakhir
May 31, 2026Pasar Dibuka
Apr 28, 2026, 10:39 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...Hasil diajukan: No
Tidak ada sengketa
Hasil akhir: No
This market will resolve to "Yes" if an official agreement over Iranian nuclear research and/or nuclear weapon development, defined as a publicly announced mutual agreement, is reached between the United States and Iran by May 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
If such an agreement is officially reached before the resolution date, this market will resolve to "Yes", regardless of if/when the agreement goes into effect.
Agreements that include the United States and Iran as parties, even if they also involve other countries (e.g., a multilateral deal like the JCPOA), will qualify for resolution.
The primary resolution source for this market will be an official announcement by the United States and/or the Islamic Republic of Iran, however an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting confirming an agreement has been reached will also qualify.Ongoing negotiations between the United States and Iran in late May 2026 produced tentative agreements to extend a ceasefire, reopen the Strait of Hormuz, and initiate 60-day talks addressing Iran's nuclear program and enriched uranium stockpiles. However, no comprehensive nuclear deal was finalized or announced by the May 31 deadline. Senior officials, including President Trump and Vice President Vance, described the sides as close but noted remaining gaps on core issues such as inspections, sanctions relief, and enrichment limits. This absence of a concluded agreement by the cutoff date underpins trader consensus on the "No" outcome. Late diplomatic breakthroughs or formal approvals occurring after the window could still prompt review, though none materialized within the specified period.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if an official agreement over Iranian nuclear research and/or nuclear weapon development, defined as a publicly announced mutual agreement, is reached between the United States and Iran by May 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
If such an agreement is officially reached before the resolution date, this market will resolve to "Yes", regardless of if/when the agreement goes into effect.
Agreements that include the United States and Iran as parties, even if they also involve other countries (e.g., a multilateral deal like the JCPOA), will qualify for resolution.
The primary resolution source for this market will be an official announcement by the United States and/or the Islamic Republic of Iran, however an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting confirming an agreement has been reached will also qualify.
If such an agreement is officially reached before the resolution date, this market will resolve to "Yes", regardless of if/when the agreement goes into effect.
Agreements that include the United States and Iran as parties, even if they also involve other countries (e.g., a multilateral deal like the JCPOA), will qualify for resolution.
The primary resolution source for this market will be an official announcement by the United States and/or the Islamic Republic of Iran, however an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting confirming an agreement has been reached will also qualify.
Volume
$6,905,767Tanggal Berakhir
May 31, 2026Pasar Dibuka
Apr 28, 2026, 10:39 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...Hasil diajukan: No
Tidak ada sengketa
Hasil akhir: No
Ongoing negotiations between the United States and Iran in late May 2026 produced tentative agreements to extend a ceasefire, reopen the Strait of Hormuz, and initiate 60-day talks addressing Iran's nuclear program and enriched uranium stockpiles. However, no comprehensive nuclear deal was finalized or announced by the May 31 deadline. Senior officials, including President Trump and Vice President Vance, described the sides as close but noted remaining gaps on core issues such as inspections, sanctions relief, and enrichment limits. This absence of a concluded agreement by the cutoff date underpins trader consensus on the "No" outcome. Late diplomatic breakthroughs or formal approvals occurring after the window could still prompt review, though none materialized within the specified period.
Ringkasan eksperimental yang dihasilkan AI dengan referensi data Polymarket. Ini bukan saran trading dan tidak berperan dalam bagaimana pasar ini diselesaikan. · Diperbarui
Hati-hati dengan link eksternal.
Hati-hati dengan link eksternal.
Pertanyaan yang Sering Diajukan