**Ongoing US maximum-pressure campaign against Cuba, including sanctions, an effective energy blockade, and military posturing, shapes trader assessments of potential military action.** Following the 2026 ouster of Venezuela’s Maduro, the Trump administration halted Venezuelan oil deliveries, imposed new sanctions on Cuban leaders and entities, and indicted former president Raúl Castro in May over the 1996 Brothers to the Rescue shootdown. The USS Nimitz carrier strike group deployed to the Caribbean that month as a show of force, accompanied by stepped-up surveillance flights and contingency planning at the Pentagon for options such as leadership strikes or air assaults. Defense Secretary Hegseth visited Guantanamo in June to warn against Cuban arms acquisitions, while CIA Director Ratcliffe held talks in Havana. As of early September 2026, additional littoral combat ships arrived at the base amid frozen diplomacy, severe Cuban fuel shortages, blackouts, and economic strain. Resources remain constrained by Iran-related operations, and recent signals emphasize sanctions and negotiations over immediate kinetic action, though contingency options persist.
Ringkasan eksperimental yang dihasilkan AI dengan referensi data Polymarket. Ini bukan saran trading dan tidak berperan dalam bagaimana pasar ini diselesaikan. · DiperbaruiTindakan militer AS terhadap Kuba oleh...?
Tindakan militer AS terhadap Kuba oleh...?
$7,357,886 Vol.
Dec 31, 2026
31 Desember
15%
$7,357,886 Vol.
31 Desember
$5,178,781 Vol.
15%
This market will resolve to "Yes" if a US-initiated drone, missile, or air strike on the soil of Cuba is announced or credibly reported to have occurred by the listed date ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
For the purposes of this market, a qualifying "strike" is defined as the use of aerial bombs, drones, or missiles (including FPV and ATGM strikes as well as cruise or ballistic missiles) launched by any United States operatives, including military forces, intelligence agencies, or other U.S. government operatives, that physically impact ground territory within the listed country.
A strike on any area within the terrestrial territory (including rivers, lakes, ports, but excluding territorial sea) of the listed country counts.
Missiles or drones that are intercepted and surface-to-air missile strikes will not be sufficient for a "Yes" resolution, regardless of whether they land territory or cause damage.
Actions such as artillery fire, small arms fire, ground incursions, naval shelling, or cyberattacks will not qualify.
Any strike occurring during this market’s timeframe that is claimed by either Donald Trump or the U.S. government will qualify.
The primary resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.
This market will remain open until the end of the second day after the resolution time. If the date/time of a qualifying strike cannot be confirmed by a consensus of credible reporting by that time, it will resolve to "No" regardless of whether a strike was later confirmed to have taken place.**Ongoing US maximum-pressure campaign against Cuba, including sanctions, an effective energy blockade, and military posturing, shapes trader assessments of potential military action.** Following the 2026 ouster of Venezuela’s Maduro, the Trump administration halted Venezuelan oil deliveries, imposed new sanctions on Cuban leaders and entities, and indicted former president Raúl Castro in May over the 1996 Brothers to the Rescue shootdown. The USS Nimitz carrier strike group deployed to the Caribbean that month as a show of force, accompanied by stepped-up surveillance flights and contingency planning at the Pentagon for options such as leadership strikes or air assaults. Defense Secretary Hegseth visited Guantanamo in June to warn against Cuban arms acquisitions, while CIA Director Ratcliffe held talks in Havana. As of early September 2026, additional littoral combat ships arrived at the base amid frozen diplomacy, severe Cuban fuel shortages, blackouts, and economic strain. Resources remain constrained by Iran-related operations, and recent signals emphasize sanctions and negotiations over immediate kinetic action, though contingency options persist.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if a US-initiated drone, missile, or air strike on the soil of Cuba is announced or credibly reported to have occurred by the listed date ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
For the purposes of this market, a qualifying "strike" is defined as the use of aerial bombs, drones, or missiles (including FPV and ATGM strikes as well as cruise or ballistic missiles) launched by any United States operatives, including military forces, intelligence agencies, or other U.S. government operatives, that physically impact ground territory within the listed country.
A strike on any area within the terrestrial territory (including rivers, lakes, ports, but excluding territorial sea) of the listed country counts.
Missiles or drones that are intercepted and surface-to-air missile strikes will not be sufficient for a "Yes" resolution, regardless of whether they land territory or cause damage.
Actions such as artillery fire, small arms fire, ground incursions, naval shelling, or cyberattacks will not qualify.
Any strike occurring during this market’s timeframe that is claimed by either Donald Trump or the U.S. government will qualify.
The primary resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.
This market will remain open until the end of the second day after the resolution time. If the date/time of a qualifying strike cannot be confirmed by a consensus of credible reporting by that time, it will resolve to "No" regardless of whether a strike was later confirmed to have taken place.
For the purposes of this market, a qualifying "strike" is defined as the use of aerial bombs, drones, or missiles (including FPV and ATGM strikes as well as cruise or ballistic missiles) launched by any United States operatives, including military forces, intelligence agencies, or other U.S. government operatives, that physically impact ground territory within the listed country.
A strike on any area within the terrestrial territory (including rivers, lakes, ports, but excluding territorial sea) of the listed country counts.
Missiles or drones that are intercepted and surface-to-air missile strikes will not be sufficient for a "Yes" resolution, regardless of whether they land territory or cause damage.
Actions such as artillery fire, small arms fire, ground incursions, naval shelling, or cyberattacks will not qualify.
Any strike occurring during this market’s timeframe that is claimed by either Donald Trump or the U.S. government will qualify.
The primary resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.
This market will remain open until the end of the second day after the resolution time. If the date/time of a qualifying strike cannot be confirmed by a consensus of credible reporting by that time, it will resolve to "No" regardless of whether a strike was later confirmed to have taken place.
Pasar Dibuka: Jan 4, 2026, 3:08 PM ET
Volume
$7,357,886Tanggal Berakhir
Jan 1, 2027Pasar Dibuka
Jan 4, 2026, 3:08 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to "Yes" if a US-initiated drone, missile, or air strike on the soil of Cuba is announced or credibly reported to have occurred by the listed date ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
For the purposes of this market, a qualifying "strike" is defined as the use of aerial bombs, drones, or missiles (including FPV and ATGM strikes as well as cruise or ballistic missiles) launched by any United States operatives, including military forces, intelligence agencies, or other U.S. government operatives, that physically impact ground territory within the listed country.
A strike on any area within the terrestrial territory (including rivers, lakes, ports, but excluding territorial sea) of the listed country counts.
Missiles or drones that are intercepted and surface-to-air missile strikes will not be sufficient for a "Yes" resolution, regardless of whether they land territory or cause damage.
Actions such as artillery fire, small arms fire, ground incursions, naval shelling, or cyberattacks will not qualify.
Any strike occurring during this market’s timeframe that is claimed by either Donald Trump or the U.S. government will qualify.
The primary resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.
This market will remain open until the end of the second day after the resolution time. If the date/time of a qualifying strike cannot be confirmed by a consensus of credible reporting by that time, it will resolve to "No" regardless of whether a strike was later confirmed to have taken place.**Ongoing US maximum-pressure campaign against Cuba, including sanctions, an effective energy blockade, and military posturing, shapes trader assessments of potential military action.** Following the 2026 ouster of Venezuela’s Maduro, the Trump administration halted Venezuelan oil deliveries, imposed new sanctions on Cuban leaders and entities, and indicted former president Raúl Castro in May over the 1996 Brothers to the Rescue shootdown. The USS Nimitz carrier strike group deployed to the Caribbean that month as a show of force, accompanied by stepped-up surveillance flights and contingency planning at the Pentagon for options such as leadership strikes or air assaults. Defense Secretary Hegseth visited Guantanamo in June to warn against Cuban arms acquisitions, while CIA Director Ratcliffe held talks in Havana. As of early September 2026, additional littoral combat ships arrived at the base amid frozen diplomacy, severe Cuban fuel shortages, blackouts, and economic strain. Resources remain constrained by Iran-related operations, and recent signals emphasize sanctions and negotiations over immediate kinetic action, though contingency options persist.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if a US-initiated drone, missile, or air strike on the soil of Cuba is announced or credibly reported to have occurred by the listed date ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
For the purposes of this market, a qualifying "strike" is defined as the use of aerial bombs, drones, or missiles (including FPV and ATGM strikes as well as cruise or ballistic missiles) launched by any United States operatives, including military forces, intelligence agencies, or other U.S. government operatives, that physically impact ground territory within the listed country.
A strike on any area within the terrestrial territory (including rivers, lakes, ports, but excluding territorial sea) of the listed country counts.
Missiles or drones that are intercepted and surface-to-air missile strikes will not be sufficient for a "Yes" resolution, regardless of whether they land territory or cause damage.
Actions such as artillery fire, small arms fire, ground incursions, naval shelling, or cyberattacks will not qualify.
Any strike occurring during this market’s timeframe that is claimed by either Donald Trump or the U.S. government will qualify.
The primary resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.
This market will remain open until the end of the second day after the resolution time. If the date/time of a qualifying strike cannot be confirmed by a consensus of credible reporting by that time, it will resolve to "No" regardless of whether a strike was later confirmed to have taken place.
For the purposes of this market, a qualifying "strike" is defined as the use of aerial bombs, drones, or missiles (including FPV and ATGM strikes as well as cruise or ballistic missiles) launched by any United States operatives, including military forces, intelligence agencies, or other U.S. government operatives, that physically impact ground territory within the listed country.
A strike on any area within the terrestrial territory (including rivers, lakes, ports, but excluding territorial sea) of the listed country counts.
Missiles or drones that are intercepted and surface-to-air missile strikes will not be sufficient for a "Yes" resolution, regardless of whether they land territory or cause damage.
Actions such as artillery fire, small arms fire, ground incursions, naval shelling, or cyberattacks will not qualify.
Any strike occurring during this market’s timeframe that is claimed by either Donald Trump or the U.S. government will qualify.
The primary resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.
This market will remain open until the end of the second day after the resolution time. If the date/time of a qualifying strike cannot be confirmed by a consensus of credible reporting by that time, it will resolve to "No" regardless of whether a strike was later confirmed to have taken place.
Volume
$7,357,886Tanggal Berakhir
Jan 1, 2027Pasar Dibuka
Jan 4, 2026, 3:08 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...**Ongoing US maximum-pressure campaign against Cuba, including sanctions, an effective energy blockade, and military posturing, shapes trader assessments of potential military action.** Following the 2026 ouster of Venezuela’s Maduro, the Trump administration halted Venezuelan oil deliveries, imposed new sanctions on Cuban leaders and entities, and indicted former president Raúl Castro in May over the 1996 Brothers to the Rescue shootdown. The USS Nimitz carrier strike group deployed to the Caribbean that month as a show of force, accompanied by stepped-up surveillance flights and contingency planning at the Pentagon for options such as leadership strikes or air assaults. Defense Secretary Hegseth visited Guantanamo in June to warn against Cuban arms acquisitions, while CIA Director Ratcliffe held talks in Havana. As of early September 2026, additional littoral combat ships arrived at the base amid frozen diplomacy, severe Cuban fuel shortages, blackouts, and economic strain. Resources remain constrained by Iran-related operations, and recent signals emphasize sanctions and negotiations over immediate kinetic action, though contingency options persist.
Ringkasan eksperimental yang dihasilkan AI dengan referensi data Polymarket. Ini bukan saran trading dan tidak berperan dalam bagaimana pasar ini diselesaikan. · Diperbarui
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