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Geopolitik·Suriah

Which countries will recognize Israel by December 31?

icon for Which countries will recognize Israel by December 31?
Geopolitik·Suriah

Which countries will recognize Israel by December 31?

Jun 30

Dec 31

Jun 30

Dec 31

$87,943 Vol.

Dec 31, 2026
Polymarket

$87,943 Vol.

Polymarket
icon for Tunisia

Tunisia

$6,244 Vol.

24%

icon for Lebanon

Lebanon

$11,986 Vol.

22%

icon for Venezuela

Venezuela

$5,329 Vol.

15%

icon for Syria

Syria

$5,810 Vol.

12%

icon for Saudi Arabia

Saudi Arabia

$17,851 Vol.

12%

icon for Cuba

Cuba

$1,215 Vol.

11%

icon for Kuwait

Kuwait

$1,159 Vol.

11%

icon for Indonesia

Indonesia

$2,239 Vol.

11%

icon for Bangladesh

Bangladesh

$7,029 Vol.

8%

icon for Iran

Iran

$3,661 Vol.

8%

icon for Qatar

Qatar

$7,325 Vol.

7%

icon for Iraq

Iraq

$302 Vol.

7%

icon for Pakistan

Pakistan

$2,269 Vol.

6%

icon for North Korea

North Korea

$1,478 Vol.

5%

icon for Afghanistan

Afghanistan

$9,990 Vol.

5%

icon for Malaysia

Malaysia

$4,056 Vol.

5%

This market will resolve to "Yes" if the listed country officially recognizes Israel as a state between market creation and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. An announcement of intentions will not suffice to resolve this market to "Yes." Only a government's formal recognition of the State of Israel will count toward a “Yes” resolution for this market. The primary resolution source for this market will be official government information. However, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.Diplomatic recognition of Israel by additional states remains closely tied to progress on Palestinian statehood and regional normalization efforts. Saudi Arabia continues to condition any ties on an irreversible pathway to a Palestinian state with East Jerusalem as capital, a stance reinforced in 2025–2026 statements amid stalled Abraham Accords follow-on talks. The Gaza conflict and related diplomatic fallout have further reduced near-term momentum, with no new recognitions reported among the 29 UN members still withholding formal acknowledgment as of early 2026. Trader focus centers on potential catalysts such as U.S.-brokered security arrangements, two-state initiatives, or shifts in OIC and Arab League positions, though current conditions suggest limited movement before year-end absent major breakthroughs in Israeli-Palestinian negotiations or broader Middle East diplomacy.

This market will resolve to "Yes" if the listed country officially recognizes Israel as a state between market creation and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.

An announcement of intentions will not suffice to resolve this market to "Yes." Only a government's formal recognition of the State of Israel will count toward a “Yes” resolution for this market.

The primary resolution source for this market will be official government information. However, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
Volume
$87,943
Tanggal Berakhir
Dec 31, 2026
Pasar Dibuka
Jun 1, 2026, 1:48 PM ET

Resolver

0x65070BE91...
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the listed country officially recognizes Israel as a state between market creation and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. An announcement of intentions will not suffice to resolve this market to "Yes." Only a government's formal recognition of the State of Israel will count toward a “Yes” resolution for this market. The primary resolution source for this market will be official government information. However, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the listed country officially recognizes Israel as a state between market creation and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. An announcement of intentions will not suffice to resolve this market to "Yes." Only a government's formal recognition of the State of Israel will count toward a “Yes” resolution for this market. The primary resolution source for this market will be official government information. However, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.Diplomatic recognition of Israel by additional states remains closely tied to progress on Palestinian statehood and regional normalization efforts. Saudi Arabia continues to condition any ties on an irreversible pathway to a Palestinian state with East Jerusalem as capital, a stance reinforced in 2025–2026 statements amid stalled Abraham Accords follow-on talks. The Gaza conflict and related diplomatic fallout have further reduced near-term momentum, with no new recognitions reported among the 29 UN members still withholding formal acknowledgment as of early 2026. Trader focus centers on potential catalysts such as U.S.-brokered security arrangements, two-state initiatives, or shifts in OIC and Arab League positions, though current conditions suggest limited movement before year-end absent major breakthroughs in Israeli-Palestinian negotiations or broader Middle East diplomacy.

This market will resolve to "Yes" if the listed country officially recognizes Israel as a state between market creation and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.

An announcement of intentions will not suffice to resolve this market to "Yes." Only a government's formal recognition of the State of Israel will count toward a “Yes” resolution for this market.

The primary resolution source for this market will be official government information. However, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
Volume
$87,943
Tanggal Berakhir
Dec 31, 2026
Pasar Dibuka
Jun 1, 2026, 1:48 PM ET

Resolver

0x65070BE91...
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the listed country officially recognizes Israel as a state between market creation and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. An announcement of intentions will not suffice to resolve this market to "Yes." Only a government's formal recognition of the State of Israel will count toward a “Yes” resolution for this market. The primary resolution source for this market will be official government information. However, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.

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Pertanyaan yang Sering Diajukan

"Which countries will recognize Israel by December 31?" adalah pasar prediksi di Polymarket dengan 16 hasil yang mungkin di mana trader membeli dan menjual saham berdasarkan apa yang mereka yakini akan terjadi. Hasil terdepan saat ini adalah "Tunisia" di 24%, diikuti oleh "Lebanon" di 22%. Harga mencerminkan probabilitas crowd-sourced real-time. Misalnya, saham yang dihargai 24¢ menyiratkan bahwa pasar secara kolektif memberikan peluang 24% pada hasil tersebut. Peluang ini bergeser terus-menerus saat trader bereaksi terhadap perkembangan dan informasi baru. Saham dengan hasil yang benar bisa ditukarkan seharga $1 setiap saham saat pasar diselesaikan.

Per hari ini, "Which countries will recognize Israel by December 31?" telah menghasilkan $87.9K dalam total volume trading sejak pasar diluncurkan pada Jun 1, 2026. Tingkat aktivitas trading ini mencerminkan keterlibatan kuat dari komunitas Polymarket dan membantu memastikan bahwa peluang saat ini diinformasikan oleh kumpulan besar peserta pasar. Kamu bisa melacak pergerakan harga langsung dan trading di hasil apa pun langsung di halaman ini.

Untuk trading di "Which countries will recognize Israel by December 31?," jelajahi 16 hasil yang tersedia di halaman ini. Setiap hasil menampilkan harga saat ini yang mewakili probabilitas tersirat pasar. Untuk mengambil posisi, pilih hasil yang menurutmu paling mungkin, pilih "Ya" untuk mendukungnya atau "Tidak" untuk menentangnya, masukkan jumlahmu, dan klik "Trade." Jika hasil pilihanmu benar saat pasar diselesaikan, saham "Ya" kamu membayar $1 masing-masing. Jika salah, mereka membayar $0. Kamu juga bisa menjual sahammu kapan saja sebelum resolusi jika kamu ingin mengamankan keuntungan atau memotong kerugian.

Unggulan saat ini untuk "Which countries will recognize Israel by December 31?" adalah "Tunisia" di 24%, yang berarti pasar memberikan peluang 24% pada hasil tersebut. Hasil terdekat berikutnya adalah "Lebanon" di 22%. Peluang ini diperbarui secara real-time saat trader membeli dan menjual saham, sehingga mencerminkan pandangan kolektif terbaru tentang apa yang paling mungkin terjadi. Cek kembali secara rutin atau tandai halaman ini untuk mengikuti bagaimana peluang bergeser saat informasi baru muncul.

Aturan resolusi untuk "Which countries will recognize Israel by December 31?" mendefinisikan dengan tepat apa yang harus terjadi agar setiap hasil dinyatakan sebagai pemenang — termasuk sumber data resmi yang digunakan untuk menentukan hasilnya. Kamu bisa meninjau kriteria resolusi lengkap di bagian "Aturan" di halaman ini di atas komentar. Kami menyarankan membaca aturan dengan cermat sebelum trading, karena mereka menentukan kondisi tepat, kasus khusus, dan sumber yang mengatur bagaimana pasar ini diselesaikan.