Diplomatic normalization with Israel remains closely tied to progress on Palestinian statehood and regional security arrangements, with most non-recognizing states linking any shift to a two-state framework or end to active conflicts. As of mid-2026, no new UN member recognitions have occurred since the Abraham Accords era, though restorations of ties with select partners were noted in late 2025. Trader attention centers on Venezuela amid reported political and economic pressures, alongside Lebanon following changes in its internal power dynamics, while Saudi Arabia and similar OIC states continue conditioning any move on Palestinian concessions. U.S. diplomatic efforts and scheduled multilateral forums through year-end could influence timelines, but entrenched positions on core disputes limit near-term breakthroughs.
Ringkasan eksperimental yang dihasilkan AI dengan referensi data Polymarket. Ini bukan saran trading dan tidak berperan dalam bagaimana pasar ini diselesaikan. · DiperbaruiWhich countries will recognize Israel by December 31?
$494,372 Vol.

Venezuela
80%

Lebanon
13%

Saudi Arabia
10%

Indonesia
9%

Syria
7%

Tunisia
7%

Pakistan
6%

Kuwait
6%

Iran
5%

Bangladesh
5%

Iraq
4%

Cuba
4%

Qatar
4%

Afghanistan
4%

Malaysia
4%

North Korea
4%
$494,372 Vol.

Venezuela
80%

Lebanon
13%

Saudi Arabia
10%

Indonesia
9%

Syria
7%

Tunisia
7%

Pakistan
6%

Kuwait
6%

Iran
5%

Bangladesh
5%

Iraq
4%

Cuba
4%

Qatar
4%

Afghanistan
4%

Malaysia
4%

North Korea
4%
An announcement of intentions will not suffice to resolve this market to "Yes." Only a government's formal recognition of the State of Israel will count toward a “Yes” resolution for this market.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official government information. However, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
Pasar Dibuka: Jun 1, 2026, 1:48 PM ET
Resolver
0x65070BE91...An announcement of intentions will not suffice to resolve this market to "Yes." Only a government's formal recognition of the State of Israel will count toward a “Yes” resolution for this market.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official government information. However, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
Resolver
0x65070BE91...Diplomatic normalization with Israel remains closely tied to progress on Palestinian statehood and regional security arrangements, with most non-recognizing states linking any shift to a two-state framework or end to active conflicts. As of mid-2026, no new UN member recognitions have occurred since the Abraham Accords era, though restorations of ties with select partners were noted in late 2025. Trader attention centers on Venezuela amid reported political and economic pressures, alongside Lebanon following changes in its internal power dynamics, while Saudi Arabia and similar OIC states continue conditioning any move on Palestinian concessions. U.S. diplomatic efforts and scheduled multilateral forums through year-end could influence timelines, but entrenched positions on core disputes limit near-term breakthroughs.
Ringkasan eksperimental yang dihasilkan AI dengan referensi data Polymarket. Ini bukan saran trading dan tidak berperan dalam bagaimana pasar ini diselesaikan. · Diperbarui



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