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Geopolitik·Suriah

Which countries will recognize Israel by December 31?

icon for Which countries will recognize Israel by December 31?
Geopolitik·Suriah

Which countries will recognize Israel by December 31?

Dec 31

Dec 31

$575,516 Vol.

Dec 31, 2026
Polymarket

$575,516 Vol.

Polymarket
icon for Venezuela

Venezuela

$216,661 Vol.

47%

icon for Lebanon

Lebanon

$108,584 Vol.

13%

icon for Saudi Arabia

Saudi Arabia

$54,400 Vol.

10%

icon for Indonesia

Indonesia

$16,709 Vol.

9%

icon for Syria

Syria

$18,593 Vol.

7%

icon for Tunisia

Tunisia

$11,822 Vol.

7%

icon for Kuwait

Kuwait

$14,166 Vol.

6%

icon for Iran

Iran

$11,970 Vol.

5%

icon for Pakistan

Pakistan

$9,017 Vol.

5%

icon for Bangladesh

Bangladesh

$11,913 Vol.

4%

icon for Iraq

Iraq

$11,962 Vol.

4%

icon for Cuba

Cuba

$8,276 Vol.

4%

icon for Qatar

Qatar

$32,892 Vol.

4%

icon for Afghanistan

Afghanistan

$18,705 Vol.

4%

icon for Malaysia

Malaysia

$11,536 Vol.

4%

icon for North Korea

North Korea

$18,312 Vol.

3%

This market will resolve to "Yes" if the listed country officially recognizes Israel as a state between market creation and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. An announcement of intentions will not suffice to resolve this market to "Yes." Only a government's formal recognition of the State of Israel will count toward a “Yes” resolution for this market. The primary resolution source for this market will be official government information. However, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.Diplomatic efforts to expand recognition of Israel center on broadening the Abraham Accords framework, with US officials pressing Muslim-majority states amid 2026 Iran-related talks. Saudi Arabia maintains that any normalization requires an irreversible path to a Palestinian state, a position unchanged despite nuclear cooperation discussions. Kazakhstan formalized its Accords participation in late 2025, while Somaliland pledged ties following Israel's December 2025 recognition. No major new sovereign-state recognitions have occurred in 2026, and non-recognizers such as North Korea and Cuba show no movement. Key upcoming factors include potential Iran deal timelines, UN General Assembly sessions, and bilateral negotiations that could shift trader assessments of near-term breakthroughs before year-end.

This market will resolve to "Yes" if the listed country officially recognizes Israel as a state between market creation and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.

An announcement of intentions will not suffice to resolve this market to "Yes." Only a government's formal recognition of the State of Israel will count toward a “Yes” resolution for this market.

The primary resolution source for this market will be official government information. However, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
Volume
$575,516
Tanggal Berakhir
Dec 31, 2026
Pasar Dibuka
Jun 1, 2026, 1:48 PM ET

Resolver

0x65070BE91...
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the listed country officially recognizes Israel as a state between market creation and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. An announcement of intentions will not suffice to resolve this market to "Yes." Only a government's formal recognition of the State of Israel will count toward a “Yes” resolution for this market. The primary resolution source for this market will be official government information. However, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the listed country officially recognizes Israel as a state between market creation and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. An announcement of intentions will not suffice to resolve this market to "Yes." Only a government's formal recognition of the State of Israel will count toward a “Yes” resolution for this market. The primary resolution source for this market will be official government information. However, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.Diplomatic efforts to expand recognition of Israel center on broadening the Abraham Accords framework, with US officials pressing Muslim-majority states amid 2026 Iran-related talks. Saudi Arabia maintains that any normalization requires an irreversible path to a Palestinian state, a position unchanged despite nuclear cooperation discussions. Kazakhstan formalized its Accords participation in late 2025, while Somaliland pledged ties following Israel's December 2025 recognition. No major new sovereign-state recognitions have occurred in 2026, and non-recognizers such as North Korea and Cuba show no movement. Key upcoming factors include potential Iran deal timelines, UN General Assembly sessions, and bilateral negotiations that could shift trader assessments of near-term breakthroughs before year-end.

This market will resolve to "Yes" if the listed country officially recognizes Israel as a state between market creation and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.

An announcement of intentions will not suffice to resolve this market to "Yes." Only a government's formal recognition of the State of Israel will count toward a “Yes” resolution for this market.

The primary resolution source for this market will be official government information. However, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
Volume
$575,516
Tanggal Berakhir
Dec 31, 2026
Pasar Dibuka
Jun 1, 2026, 1:48 PM ET

Resolver

0x65070BE91...
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the listed country officially recognizes Israel as a state between market creation and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. An announcement of intentions will not suffice to resolve this market to "Yes." Only a government's formal recognition of the State of Israel will count toward a “Yes” resolution for this market. The primary resolution source for this market will be official government information. However, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.

Terkait

icon for Apakah Belgia akan mengakui Palestina sebelum tahun 2027?

Apakah Belgia akan mengakui Palestina sebelum tahun 2027?

23%
Ya
icon for Will any country expel an Israeli ambassador by December 31?

Will any country expel an Israeli ambassador by December 31?

18%
icon for Apakah Israel dan Indonesia menormalisasi hubungan sebelum 31 Desember 2026?

Apakah Israel dan Indonesia menormalisasi hubungan sebelum 31 Desember 2026?

11%
Ya

Hati-hati dengan link eksternal.

Pertanyaan yang Sering Diajukan

"Which countries will recognize Israel by December 31?" adalah pasar prediksi di Polymarket dengan 16 hasil yang mungkin di mana trader membeli dan menjual saham berdasarkan apa yang mereka yakini akan terjadi. Hasil terdepan saat ini adalah "Venezuela" di 47%, diikuti oleh "Lebanon" di 13%. Harga mencerminkan probabilitas crowd-sourced real-time. Misalnya, saham yang dihargai 47¢ menyiratkan bahwa pasar secara kolektif memberikan peluang 47% pada hasil tersebut. Peluang ini bergeser terus-menerus saat trader bereaksi terhadap perkembangan dan informasi baru. Saham dengan hasil yang benar bisa ditukarkan seharga $1 setiap saham saat pasar diselesaikan.

Per hari ini, "Which countries will recognize Israel by December 31?" telah menghasilkan $575.5K dalam total volume trading sejak pasar diluncurkan pada Jun 1, 2026. Tingkat aktivitas trading ini mencerminkan keterlibatan kuat dari komunitas Polymarket dan membantu memastikan bahwa peluang saat ini diinformasikan oleh kumpulan besar peserta pasar. Kamu bisa melacak pergerakan harga langsung dan trading di hasil apa pun langsung di halaman ini.

Untuk trading di "Which countries will recognize Israel by December 31?," jelajahi 16 hasil yang tersedia di halaman ini. Setiap hasil menampilkan harga saat ini yang mewakili probabilitas tersirat pasar. Untuk mengambil posisi, pilih hasil yang menurutmu paling mungkin, pilih "Ya" untuk mendukungnya atau "Tidak" untuk menentangnya, masukkan jumlahmu, dan klik "Trade." Jika hasil pilihanmu benar saat pasar diselesaikan, saham "Ya" kamu membayar $1 masing-masing. Jika salah, mereka membayar $0. Kamu juga bisa menjual sahammu kapan saja sebelum resolusi jika kamu ingin mengamankan keuntungan atau memotong kerugian.

Unggulan saat ini untuk "Which countries will recognize Israel by December 31?" adalah "Venezuela" di 47%, yang berarti pasar memberikan peluang 47% pada hasil tersebut. Hasil terdekat berikutnya adalah "Lebanon" di 13%. Peluang ini diperbarui secara real-time saat trader membeli dan menjual saham, sehingga mencerminkan pandangan kolektif terbaru tentang apa yang paling mungkin terjadi. Cek kembali secara rutin atau tandai halaman ini untuk mengikuti bagaimana peluang bergeser saat informasi baru muncul.

Aturan resolusi untuk "Which countries will recognize Israel by December 31?" mendefinisikan dengan tepat apa yang harus terjadi agar setiap hasil dinyatakan sebagai pemenang — termasuk sumber data resmi yang digunakan untuk menentukan hasilnya. Kamu bisa meninjau kriteria resolusi lengkap di bagian "Aturan" di halaman ini di atas komentar. Kami menyarankan membaca aturan dengan cermat sebelum trading, karena mereka menentukan kondisi tepat, kasus khusus, dan sumber yang mengatur bagaimana pasar ini diselesaikan.