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icon for Israel dan Suriah menormalkan hubungan dengan...?
Geopolitik·Israel

Israel dan Suriah menormalkan hubungan dengan...?

icon for Israel dan Suriah menormalkan hubungan dengan...?
Geopolitik·Israel

Israel dan Suriah menormalkan hubungan dengan...?

$2,149,469 Vol.

Dec 30, 2025
Polymarket

$2,149,469 Vol.

Polymarket

31 Desember 2026

$687,715 Vol.

9%

This market will resolve to "Yes" if both Israel and Syria officially announce the establishment of diplomatic relations by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Israel and the Syria, however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.This market will resolve to "Yes" if both Israel and Syria officially announce the establishment of diplomatic relations by December 31, 2025, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Israel and the Syria, however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.This market will resolve to "Yes" if both Israel and Syria officially announce the establishment of diplomatic relations by June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Israel and the Syria, however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Ongoing US-mediated security talks between Israel and Syria, revived in August 2026 after Israeli strikes on the Abu al-Duhur airbase, center on mechanisms to curb Israeli operations in southern Syria and revive elements of the 1974 Disengagement Agreement. Damascus seeks full Israeli withdrawal from the buffer zone and security areas established after the Assad regime's collapse, while Jerusalem prioritizes red lines against Iranian or hostile force entrenchment and maintains its presence amid Turkish influence concerns. Recent developments, including Prime Minister Netanyahu's September 2026 visit to troops on Mount Hermon and Syrian condemnations of sovereignty violations, underscore persistent tensions despite back-channel diplomacy involving Mossad and Syrian officials. Core disputes over the Golan Heights and territorial control continue to limit prospects for formal normalization or Abraham Accords-style relations in the near term.

This market will resolve to "Yes" if both Israel and Syria officially announce the establishment of diplomatic relations by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Israel and the Syria, however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.This market will resolve to "Yes" if both Israel and Syria officially announce the establishment of diplomatic relations by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Israel and the Syria, however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Volume
$2,149,469
Tanggal Berakhir
Dec 31, 2026
Pasar Dibuka
Nov 11, 2025, 5:18 PM ET

Resolver

0x65070BE91...
This market will resolve to "Yes" if both Israel and Syria officially announce the establishment of diplomatic relations by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Israel and the Syria, however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.This market will resolve to "Yes" if both Israel and Syria officially announce the establishment of diplomatic relations by December 31, 2025, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Israel and the Syria, however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.This market will resolve to "Yes" if both Israel and Syria officially announce the establishment of diplomatic relations by June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Israel and the Syria, however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Ongoing US-mediated security talks between Israel and Syria, revived in August 2026 after Israeli strikes on the Abu al-Duhur airbase, center on mechanisms to curb Israeli operations in southern Syria and revive elements of the 1974 Disengagement Agreement. Damascus seeks full Israeli withdrawal from the buffer zone and security areas established after the Assad regime's collapse, while Jerusalem prioritizes red lines against Iranian or hostile force entrenchment and maintains its presence amid Turkish influence concerns. Recent developments, including Prime Minister Netanyahu's September 2026 visit to troops on Mount Hermon and Syrian condemnations of sovereignty violations, underscore persistent tensions despite back-channel diplomacy involving Mossad and Syrian officials. Core disputes over the Golan Heights and territorial control continue to limit prospects for formal normalization or Abraham Accords-style relations in the near term.

This market will resolve to "Yes" if both Israel and Syria officially announce the establishment of diplomatic relations by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Israel and the Syria, however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.This market will resolve to "Yes" if both Israel and Syria officially announce the establishment of diplomatic relations by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Israel and the Syria, however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Volume
$2,149,469
Tanggal Berakhir
Dec 31, 2026
Pasar Dibuka
Nov 11, 2025, 5:18 PM ET

Resolver

0x65070BE91...

Terkait

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Ya

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Pertanyaan yang Sering Diajukan

"Israel dan Suriah menormalkan hubungan dengan...?" adalah pasar prediksi di Polymarket dengan 3 hasil yang mungkin di mana trader membeli dan menjual saham berdasarkan apa yang mereka yakini akan terjadi. Hasil terdepan saat ini adalah "31 Desember 2026" di 9%, diikuti oleh "31 Desember 2025" di 0%. Harga mencerminkan probabilitas crowd-sourced real-time. Misalnya, saham yang dihargai 9¢ menyiratkan bahwa pasar secara kolektif memberikan peluang 9% pada hasil tersebut. Peluang ini bergeser terus-menerus saat trader bereaksi terhadap perkembangan dan informasi baru. Saham dengan hasil yang benar bisa ditukarkan seharga $1 setiap saham saat pasar diselesaikan.

Per hari ini, "Israel dan Suriah menormalkan hubungan dengan...?" telah menghasilkan $2.1 million dalam total volume trading sejak pasar diluncurkan pada Jun 2, 2025. Tingkat aktivitas trading ini mencerminkan keterlibatan kuat dari komunitas Polymarket dan membantu memastikan bahwa peluang saat ini diinformasikan oleh kumpulan besar peserta pasar. Kamu bisa melacak pergerakan harga langsung dan trading di hasil apa pun langsung di halaman ini.

Untuk trading di "Israel dan Suriah menormalkan hubungan dengan...?," jelajahi 3 hasil yang tersedia di halaman ini. Setiap hasil menampilkan harga saat ini yang mewakili probabilitas tersirat pasar. Untuk mengambil posisi, pilih hasil yang menurutmu paling mungkin, pilih "Ya" untuk mendukungnya atau "Tidak" untuk menentangnya, masukkan jumlahmu, dan klik "Trade." Jika hasil pilihanmu benar saat pasar diselesaikan, saham "Ya" kamu membayar $1 masing-masing. Jika salah, mereka membayar $0. Kamu juga bisa menjual sahammu kapan saja sebelum resolusi jika kamu ingin mengamankan keuntungan atau memotong kerugian.

Ini adalah pasar yang sangat terbuka. Pemimpin saat ini untuk "Israel dan Suriah menormalkan hubungan dengan...?" adalah "31 Desember 2026" di hanya 9%, dengan "31 Desember 2025" mengejar ketat di 0%. Tanpa hasil yang menguasai mayoritas kuat, trader melihat ini sebagai sangat tidak pasti, yang bisa menghadirkan peluang trading unik. Peluang ini diperbarui secara real-time, jadi tandai halaman ini untuk menyaksikan bagaimana probabilitas berkembang.

Aturan resolusi untuk "Israel dan Suriah menormalkan hubungan dengan...?" mendefinisikan dengan tepat apa yang harus terjadi agar setiap hasil dinyatakan sebagai pemenang — termasuk sumber data resmi yang digunakan untuk menentukan hasilnya. Kamu bisa meninjau kriteria resolusi lengkap di bagian "Aturan" di halaman ini di atas komentar. Kami menyarankan membaca aturan dengan cermat sebelum trading, karena mereka menentukan kondisi tepat, kasus khusus, dan sumber yang mengatur bagaimana pasar ini diselesaikan.