The July 2026 agreement announced by President Trump and the Board of Peace established a phased roadmap under which Hamas and other factions would inventory, store, and decommission weapons—including heavy arms, tunnels, and production sites—under oversight by the National Committee for the Administration of Gaza and an international verification body, in exchange for staged Israeli withdrawals and an end to hostilities. Implementation has since stalled over sequencing, with Israeli officials insisting on complete demilitarization before any pullback and Hamas tying full compliance to withdrawal plus broader political guarantees. Recent statements from Israeli Prime Minister Netanyahu and U.S. officials affirm continued commitment to the process, while noting persistent obstacles such as verification disputes and conditional commitments that could determine whether the framework advances before any specified market deadline.
Ringkasan eksperimental yang dihasilkan AI dengan referensi data Polymarket. Ini bukan saran trading dan tidak berperan dalam bagaimana pasar ini diselesaikan. · DiperbaruiIsraeli strike kills Hamas military wing commander in Gaza
December 31, 2026 rises to 21%1%
An Israeli airstrike killed Adel Jihad Mohammad Asfour, a platoon commander in Hamas’s military wing, signaling ongoing conflict and weakening Hamas's military leadership. This event underscored the continued hostilities and lack of progress on disarmament, contributing to the market's low confidence in Hamas disarming by the end of 2026.
Israeli strikes continue in Gaza despite ceasefire, killing Hamas fighters
December 31, 2026 plunges to 14%21%
Despite the ceasefire agreement, Israel continued military strikes in Gaza, killing several Hamas fighters on July 1. These ongoing hostilities and Israel's refusal to fully withdraw have stalled peace plan progress and disarmament talks, reducing market confidence that Hamas will officially disarm by the end of 2025.




Hati-hati dengan link eksternal.
Hati-hati dengan link eksternal.
Pertanyaan yang Sering Diajukan