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icon for Will a new country join the Abraham Accords before 2027?
Geopolitik·Gaza

Will a new country join the Abraham Accords before 2027?

icon for Will a new country join the Abraham Accords before 2027?
Geopolitik·Gaza

Will a new country join the Abraham Accords before 2027?

Oct 31

Dec 31

Oct 31

Dec 31

9% peluang
Polymarket

$307,215 Vol.

9% peluang
Polymarket

$307,215 Vol.

This market will resolve to "Yes" if any country not already a part of the Abraham Accords formally signs a normalization agreement with Israel under the framework of the Abraham Accords by December 31, 2026 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". A formal signing refers to an official agreement between Israel and another country that is publicly acknowledged by both governments and clearly attributed to the Abraham Accords or their continuation. Countries already part of the Abraham Accords as of June 26, 2025—including the United Arab Emirates, Bahrain, Morocco, and Sudan—will not count. The resolution source will be official government statements, however a consensus for credible reporting may also be used.Recent diplomatic activity has reinforced trader expectations that no additional state will formalize accession to the Abraham Accords by the end of 2026. Kazakhstan joined in November 2025 and Somaliland established ties shortly afterward, yet major candidates such as Saudi Arabia continue to condition normalization on a credible pathway to Palestinian statehood. U.S. statements linking a Saudi civil nuclear agreement to the Accords have not altered Riyadh’s stance. Speculation around Kuwait remains preliminary, with no confirmed negotiations or timeline. Ongoing regional security pressures, including Houthi threats and Iran-related tensions, have sustained existing partnerships but have not produced new bilateral agreements within the narrow remaining window. Market pricing reflects these persistent procedural and political constraints.

This market will resolve to "Yes" if any country not already a part of the Abraham Accords formally signs a normalization agreement with Israel under the framework of the Abraham Accords by December 31, 2026 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

A formal signing refers to an official agreement between Israel and another country that is publicly acknowledged by both governments and clearly attributed to the Abraham Accords or their continuation.

Countries already part of the Abraham Accords as of June 26, 2025—including the United Arab Emirates, Bahrain, Morocco, and Sudan—will not count.

The resolution source will be official government statements, however a consensus for credible reporting may also be used.This market will resolve to "Yes" if any country not already a part of the Abraham Accords formally signs a normalization agreement with Israel under the framework of the Abraham Accords by December 31, 2026 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". A formal signing refers to an official agreement between Israel and another country that is publicly acknowledged by both governments and clearly attributed to the Abraham Accords or their continuation. Countries already part of the Abraham Accords as of June 26, 2025—including the United Arab Emirates, Bahrain, Morocco, and Sudan—will not count. The resolution source will be official government statements, however a consensus for credible reporting may also be used.
Volume
$307,215
Tanggal Berakhir
Jan 1, 2027
Pasar Dibuka
Nov 5, 2025, 3:17 PM ET

Resolver

0x65070BE91...
This market will resolve to "Yes" if any country not already a part of the Abraham Accords formally signs a normalization agreement with Israel under the framework of the Abraham Accords by December 31, 2026 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". A formal signing refers to an official agreement between Israel and another country that is publicly acknowledged by both governments and clearly attributed to the Abraham Accords or their continuation. Countries already part of the Abraham Accords as of June 26, 2025—including the United Arab Emirates, Bahrain, Morocco, and Sudan—will not count. The resolution source will be official government statements, however a consensus for credible reporting may also be used.Recent diplomatic activity has reinforced trader expectations that no additional state will formalize accession to the Abraham Accords by the end of 2026. Kazakhstan joined in November 2025 and Somaliland established ties shortly afterward, yet major candidates such as Saudi Arabia continue to condition normalization on a credible pathway to Palestinian statehood. U.S. statements linking a Saudi civil nuclear agreement to the Accords have not altered Riyadh’s stance. Speculation around Kuwait remains preliminary, with no confirmed negotiations or timeline. Ongoing regional security pressures, including Houthi threats and Iran-related tensions, have sustained existing partnerships but have not produced new bilateral agreements within the narrow remaining window. Market pricing reflects these persistent procedural and political constraints.

This market will resolve to "Yes" if any country not already a part of the Abraham Accords formally signs a normalization agreement with Israel under the framework of the Abraham Accords by December 31, 2026 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

A formal signing refers to an official agreement between Israel and another country that is publicly acknowledged by both governments and clearly attributed to the Abraham Accords or their continuation.

Countries already part of the Abraham Accords as of June 26, 2025—including the United Arab Emirates, Bahrain, Morocco, and Sudan—will not count.

The resolution source will be official government statements, however a consensus for credible reporting may also be used.This market will resolve to "Yes" if any country not already a part of the Abraham Accords formally signs a normalization agreement with Israel under the framework of the Abraham Accords by December 31, 2026 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". A formal signing refers to an official agreement between Israel and another country that is publicly acknowledged by both governments and clearly attributed to the Abraham Accords or their continuation. Countries already part of the Abraham Accords as of June 26, 2025—including the United Arab Emirates, Bahrain, Morocco, and Sudan—will not count. The resolution source will be official government statements, however a consensus for credible reporting may also be used.
Volume
$307,215
Tanggal Berakhir
Jan 1, 2027
Pasar Dibuka
Nov 5, 2025, 3:17 PM ET

Resolver

0x65070BE91...

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Pertanyaan yang Sering Diajukan

"Will a new country join the Abraham Accords before 2027?" adalah pasar prediksi di Polymarket di mana trader membeli dan menjual saham "Ya" atau "Tidak" berdasarkan apakah mereka yakin event ini akan terjadi. Probabilitas crowd-sourced saat ini adalah 9% untuk "Yes." Misalnya, jika "Ya" dihargai 9¢, pasar secara kolektif memberikan peluang 9% bahwa event ini akan terjadi. Peluang ini bergeser terus-menerus saat trader bereaksi terhadap perkembangan dan informasi baru. Saham dengan hasil yang benar bisa ditukarkan seharga $1 setiap saham saat pasar diselesaikan.

Per hari ini, "Will a new country join the Abraham Accords before 2027?" telah menghasilkan $307.2K dalam total volume trading sejak pasar diluncurkan pada Nov 5, 2025. Tingkat aktivitas trading ini mencerminkan keterlibatan kuat dari komunitas Polymarket dan membantu memastikan bahwa peluang saat ini diinformasikan oleh kumpulan besar peserta pasar. Kamu bisa melacak pergerakan harga langsung dan trading di hasil apa pun langsung di halaman ini.

Untuk trading di "Will a new country join the Abraham Accords before 2027?," cukup pilih apakah kamu yakin jawabannya "Ya" atau "Tidak." Setiap sisi memiliki harga saat ini yang mencerminkan probabilitas tersirat pasar. Masukkan jumlah kamu dan klik "Trade." Jika kamu membeli saham "Ya" dan hasilnya diselesaikan sebagai "Ya," setiap saham membayar $1. Jika diselesaikan sebagai "Tidak," saham "Ya" kamu bernilai $0. Kamu juga bisa menjual sahammu kapan saja sebelum resolusi jika kamu ingin mengamankan keuntungan atau memotong kerugian.

Probabilitas saat ini untuk "Will a new country join the Abraham Accords before 2027?" adalah 9% untuk "Yes." Ini berarti keramaian Polymarket saat ini percaya ada peluang 9% bahwa event ini akan terjadi. Peluang ini diperbarui secara real-time berdasarkan trade aktual, memberikan sinyal yang terus diperbarui tentang apa yang diharapkan pasar.

Aturan resolusi untuk "Will a new country join the Abraham Accords before 2027?" mendefinisikan dengan tepat apa yang harus terjadi agar setiap hasil dinyatakan sebagai pemenang — termasuk sumber data resmi yang digunakan untuk menentukan hasilnya. Kamu bisa meninjau kriteria resolusi lengkap di bagian "Aturan" di halaman ini di atas komentar. Kami menyarankan membaca aturan dengan cermat sebelum trading, karena mereka menentukan kondisi tepat, kasus khusus, dan sumber yang mengatur bagaimana pasar ini diselesaikan.