Trader consensus prices "No" at 72.5% for Greta Thunberg facing arrest by June 30, driven by the absence of high-risk civil disobedience in the past 30 days following her December 2025 London detention during a Palestine Action hunger striker demonstration. Recent activities center on verbal advocacy, including April 8 criticism of U.S. threats against Iran and speeches at events like Denmark's Folkets Klimamarch, without police interventions. While Gaza solidarity efforts, such as planning the 2026 Global Sumud Flotilla, pose interception risks akin to prior flotilla detentions, no imminent voyages or blockades are confirmed before the deadline, underscoring low near-term probability amid her focus on public statements over direct action.
Ringkasan eksperimental yang dihasilkan AI dengan referensi data Polymarket. Ini bukan saran trading dan tidak berperan dalam bagaimana pasar ini diselesaikan. · Diperbarui$66,347 Vol.
$66,347 Vol.
Jun 30, 2026
$66,347 Vol.
$66,347 Vol.
Jun 30, 2026
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Greta Thunberg is arrested or detained by law enforcement between market creation and June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
Temporary holding at a detention facility while awaiting a judge’s decision on whether to grant a detention warrant qualifies, so long as they are held by law enforcement in an official capacity during that time.
A qualifying arrest/detention includes:
* Being taken into physical custody by law enforcement authorities (including federal, state, local, military, or international law enforcement)
* Voluntarily surrendering to law enforcement authorities in response to an arrest warrant
* Being formally booked or processed following detention
* Being handcuffed by a state authority and taken to a police station
* Surrendering at a police station or courthouse with their attorney
* Being placed under house arrest or electronic monitoring
The following scenarios will NOT qualify as an arrest/detention
* An arrest warrant being issued but not executed
* Being questioned or interviewed without arrest
* Being named in an indictment without arrest
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the arresting government and law enforcement; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Trader consensus prices "No" at 72.5% for Greta Thunberg facing arrest by June 30, driven by the absence of high-risk civil disobedience in the past 30 days following her December 2025 London detention during a Palestine Action hunger striker demonstration. Recent activities center on verbal advocacy, including April 8 criticism of U.S. threats against Iran and speeches at events like Denmark's Folkets Klimamarch, without police interventions. While Gaza solidarity efforts, such as planning the 2026 Global Sumud Flotilla, pose interception risks akin to prior flotilla detentions, no imminent voyages or blockades are confirmed before the deadline, underscoring low near-term probability amid her focus on public statements over direct action.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Greta Thunberg is arrested or detained by law enforcement between market creation and June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
Temporary holding at a detention facility while awaiting a judge’s decision on whether to grant a detention warrant qualifies, so long as they are held by law enforcement in an official capacity during that time.
A qualifying arrest/detention includes:
* Being taken into physical custody by law enforcement authorities (including federal, state, local, military, or international law enforcement)
* Voluntarily surrendering to law enforcement authorities in response to an arrest warrant
* Being formally booked or processed following detention
* Being handcuffed by a state authority and taken to a police station
* Surrendering at a police station or courthouse with their attorney
* Being placed under house arrest or electronic monitoring
The following scenarios will NOT qualify as an arrest/detention
* An arrest warrant being issued but not executed
* Being questioned or interviewed without arrest
* Being named in an indictment without arrest
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the arresting government and law enforcement; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Temporary holding at a detention facility while awaiting a judge’s decision on whether to grant a detention warrant qualifies, so long as they are held by law enforcement in an official capacity during that time.
A qualifying arrest/detention includes:
* Being taken into physical custody by law enforcement authorities (including federal, state, local, military, or international law enforcement)
* Voluntarily surrendering to law enforcement authorities in response to an arrest warrant
* Being formally booked or processed following detention
* Being handcuffed by a state authority and taken to a police station
* Surrendering at a police station or courthouse with their attorney
* Being placed under house arrest or electronic monitoring
The following scenarios will NOT qualify as an arrest/detention
* An arrest warrant being issued but not executed
* Being questioned or interviewed without arrest
* Being named in an indictment without arrest
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the arresting government and law enforcement; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Pasar Dibuka: Feb 12, 2026, 3:01 PM ET
Volume
$66,347Tanggal Berakhir
Jun 30, 2026Pasar Dibuka
Feb 12, 2026, 3:01 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to "Yes" if Greta Thunberg is arrested or detained by law enforcement between market creation and June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
Temporary holding at a detention facility while awaiting a judge’s decision on whether to grant a detention warrant qualifies, so long as they are held by law enforcement in an official capacity during that time.
A qualifying arrest/detention includes:
* Being taken into physical custody by law enforcement authorities (including federal, state, local, military, or international law enforcement)
* Voluntarily surrendering to law enforcement authorities in response to an arrest warrant
* Being formally booked or processed following detention
* Being handcuffed by a state authority and taken to a police station
* Surrendering at a police station or courthouse with their attorney
* Being placed under house arrest or electronic monitoring
The following scenarios will NOT qualify as an arrest/detention
* An arrest warrant being issued but not executed
* Being questioned or interviewed without arrest
* Being named in an indictment without arrest
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the arresting government and law enforcement; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Trader consensus prices "No" at 72.5% for Greta Thunberg facing arrest by June 30, driven by the absence of high-risk civil disobedience in the past 30 days following her December 2025 London detention during a Palestine Action hunger striker demonstration. Recent activities center on verbal advocacy, including April 8 criticism of U.S. threats against Iran and speeches at events like Denmark's Folkets Klimamarch, without police interventions. While Gaza solidarity efforts, such as planning the 2026 Global Sumud Flotilla, pose interception risks akin to prior flotilla detentions, no imminent voyages or blockades are confirmed before the deadline, underscoring low near-term probability amid her focus on public statements over direct action.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Greta Thunberg is arrested or detained by law enforcement between market creation and June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
Temporary holding at a detention facility while awaiting a judge’s decision on whether to grant a detention warrant qualifies, so long as they are held by law enforcement in an official capacity during that time.
A qualifying arrest/detention includes:
* Being taken into physical custody by law enforcement authorities (including federal, state, local, military, or international law enforcement)
* Voluntarily surrendering to law enforcement authorities in response to an arrest warrant
* Being formally booked or processed following detention
* Being handcuffed by a state authority and taken to a police station
* Surrendering at a police station or courthouse with their attorney
* Being placed under house arrest or electronic monitoring
The following scenarios will NOT qualify as an arrest/detention
* An arrest warrant being issued but not executed
* Being questioned or interviewed without arrest
* Being named in an indictment without arrest
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the arresting government and law enforcement; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Temporary holding at a detention facility while awaiting a judge’s decision on whether to grant a detention warrant qualifies, so long as they are held by law enforcement in an official capacity during that time.
A qualifying arrest/detention includes:
* Being taken into physical custody by law enforcement authorities (including federal, state, local, military, or international law enforcement)
* Voluntarily surrendering to law enforcement authorities in response to an arrest warrant
* Being formally booked or processed following detention
* Being handcuffed by a state authority and taken to a police station
* Surrendering at a police station or courthouse with their attorney
* Being placed under house arrest or electronic monitoring
The following scenarios will NOT qualify as an arrest/detention
* An arrest warrant being issued but not executed
* Being questioned or interviewed without arrest
* Being named in an indictment without arrest
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the arresting government and law enforcement; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Volume
$66,347Tanggal Berakhir
Jun 30, 2026Pasar Dibuka
Feb 12, 2026, 3:01 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...Trader consensus prices "No" at 72.5% for Greta Thunberg facing arrest by June 30, driven by the absence of high-risk civil disobedience in the past 30 days following her December 2025 London detention during a Palestine Action hunger striker demonstration. Recent activities center on verbal advocacy, including April 8 criticism of U.S. threats against Iran and speeches at events like Denmark's Folkets Klimamarch, without police interventions. While Gaza solidarity efforts, such as planning the 2026 Global Sumud Flotilla, pose interception risks akin to prior flotilla detentions, no imminent voyages or blockades are confirmed before the deadline, underscoring low near-term probability amid her focus on public statements over direct action.
Ringkasan eksperimental yang dihasilkan AI dengan referensi data Polymarket. Ini bukan saran trading dan tidak berperan dalam bagaimana pasar ini diselesaikan. · Diperbarui
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