Lebanese President Joseph Aoun stated on September 15, 2026, that disarming Hezbollah is non-negotiable and must occur peacefully to avoid internal conflict, while seeking a security agreement with Israel after its southern withdrawal as a potential step toward broader normalization. The government has advanced phased weapons consolidation south of the Litani River under the U.S.-backed framework, yet Hezbollah rejects the process and conditions any steps on full Israeli withdrawal. Israeli officials tie further redeployments to verified nationwide disarmament, amid ongoing strikes and concerns over the group’s reconstitution with external support. UNIFIL’s mandate expires December 31, 2026, heightening pressure for a replacement force and Lebanese army expansion. Traders weigh these diplomatic and military dynamics against Hezbollah’s stated refusal and the risk of escalation or stalled talks.

Apr 25 2026

Hezbollah’s senior official publicly declares that “disarmament is an Israeli‑American demand” and that the group will only consider it after Israel fully withdraws, prompting a

April 30 rises to 4%4%

Hezbollah’s senior official publicly declares that “disarmament is an Israeli‑American demand” and that the group will only consider it after Israel fully withdraws, prompting a brief rally to 4 % before the

Apr 23 2026

Hezbollah’s senior MP Ali Fayyad publicly rejects any direct negotiations with Israel while Qassem again declares the group will not surrender its weapons, prompting the market to

April 30 dips to 0%4%

Hezbollah’s senior MP Ali Fayyad publicly rejects any direct negotiations with Israel while Qassem again declares the group will not surrender its weapons, prompting the market to slide back to 0 %

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