The U.S. Embassy in Beirut has maintained reduced staffing since a February 2026 ordered departure of non-essential personnel and families, prompted by escalating Iran-related tensions and Israel-Hezbollah conflict that triggered broader Middle East drawdowns. August 2026 State Department plans to return diplomats to Beirut first among affected posts reflect assessments of lowered immediate risks following a June U.S.-brokered framework agreement between Israel and Lebanon aimed at Hezbollah disarmament and border stabilization. September 2026 security alerts continue to cite complex threats from regional actors, including potential proxy targeting of U.S. facilities, while noting the embassy remains open for routine services and commercial flights operate. Ongoing diplomatic coordination, Israeli operations in southern Lebanon, and any shifts in Iranian posture remain key variables that could alter embassy posture ahead of market resolution windows.
Ringkasan eksperimental yang dihasilkan AI dengan referensi data Polymarket. Ini bukan saran trading dan tidak berperan dalam bagaimana pasar ini diselesaikan. · DiperbaruiU.S. evacuates Beirut Embassy by...?
U.S. evacuates Beirut Embassy by...?
$119,085 Vol.
Dec 31, 2026
December 31
9%
$119,085 Vol.
December 31
$24,983 Vol.
9%
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the U.S. government announces a full evacuation of the U.S. Embassy in Beirut, Lebanon, or a full evacuation of the embassy is otherwise confirmed between market creation and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
A full evacuation announced within this market's timeframe will qualify for a "Yes" resolution regardless of whether an actual evacuation subsequently takes place within the timeframe.
Announcements of a partial evacuation, where some staff are intended to remain, will not count.
The resolution source will be official statements from the U.S. government or a consensus of credible reporting confirming the evacuation of the embassy. This market will resolve to "Yes" if the U.S. government announces a full evacuation of the U.S. Embassy in Beirut, Lebanon, or a full evacuation of the embassy is otherwise confirmed between market creation and June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
A full evacuation announced within this market's timeframe will qualify for a "Yes" resolution regardless of whether an actual evacuation subsequently takes place within the timeframe.
Announcements of a partial evacuation, where some staff are intended to remain, will not count.
The resolution source will be official statements from the U.S. government or a consensus of credible reporting confirming the evacuation of the embassy. The U.S. Embassy in Beirut has maintained reduced staffing since a February 2026 ordered departure of non-essential personnel and families, prompted by escalating Iran-related tensions and Israel-Hezbollah conflict that triggered broader Middle East drawdowns. August 2026 State Department plans to return diplomats to Beirut first among affected posts reflect assessments of lowered immediate risks following a June U.S.-brokered framework agreement between Israel and Lebanon aimed at Hezbollah disarmament and border stabilization. September 2026 security alerts continue to cite complex threats from regional actors, including potential proxy targeting of U.S. facilities, while noting the embassy remains open for routine services and commercial flights operate. Ongoing diplomatic coordination, Israeli operations in southern Lebanon, and any shifts in Iranian posture remain key variables that could alter embassy posture ahead of market resolution windows.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the U.S. government announces a full evacuation of the U.S. Embassy in Beirut, Lebanon, or a full evacuation of the embassy is otherwise confirmed between market creation and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
A full evacuation announced within this market's timeframe will qualify for a "Yes" resolution regardless of whether an actual evacuation subsequently takes place within the timeframe.
Announcements of a partial evacuation, where some staff are intended to remain, will not count.
The resolution source will be official statements from the U.S. government or a consensus of credible reporting confirming the evacuation of the embassy.
A full evacuation announced within this market's timeframe will qualify for a "Yes" resolution regardless of whether an actual evacuation subsequently takes place within the timeframe.
Announcements of a partial evacuation, where some staff are intended to remain, will not count.
The resolution source will be official statements from the U.S. government or a consensus of credible reporting confirming the evacuation of the embassy.
Pasar Dibuka: Jun 30, 2026, 5:10 PM ET
Volume
$119,085Tanggal Berakhir
Jan 1, 2027Pasar Dibuka
Jun 30, 2026, 5:10 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to "Yes" if the U.S. government announces a full evacuation of the U.S. Embassy in Beirut, Lebanon, or a full evacuation of the embassy is otherwise confirmed between market creation and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
A full evacuation announced within this market's timeframe will qualify for a "Yes" resolution regardless of whether an actual evacuation subsequently takes place within the timeframe.
Announcements of a partial evacuation, where some staff are intended to remain, will not count.
The resolution source will be official statements from the U.S. government or a consensus of credible reporting confirming the evacuation of the embassy. This market will resolve to "Yes" if the U.S. government announces a full evacuation of the U.S. Embassy in Beirut, Lebanon, or a full evacuation of the embassy is otherwise confirmed between market creation and June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
A full evacuation announced within this market's timeframe will qualify for a "Yes" resolution regardless of whether an actual evacuation subsequently takes place within the timeframe.
Announcements of a partial evacuation, where some staff are intended to remain, will not count.
The resolution source will be official statements from the U.S. government or a consensus of credible reporting confirming the evacuation of the embassy. The U.S. Embassy in Beirut has maintained reduced staffing since a February 2026 ordered departure of non-essential personnel and families, prompted by escalating Iran-related tensions and Israel-Hezbollah conflict that triggered broader Middle East drawdowns. August 2026 State Department plans to return diplomats to Beirut first among affected posts reflect assessments of lowered immediate risks following a June U.S.-brokered framework agreement between Israel and Lebanon aimed at Hezbollah disarmament and border stabilization. September 2026 security alerts continue to cite complex threats from regional actors, including potential proxy targeting of U.S. facilities, while noting the embassy remains open for routine services and commercial flights operate. Ongoing diplomatic coordination, Israeli operations in southern Lebanon, and any shifts in Iranian posture remain key variables that could alter embassy posture ahead of market resolution windows.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the U.S. government announces a full evacuation of the U.S. Embassy in Beirut, Lebanon, or a full evacuation of the embassy is otherwise confirmed between market creation and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
A full evacuation announced within this market's timeframe will qualify for a "Yes" resolution regardless of whether an actual evacuation subsequently takes place within the timeframe.
Announcements of a partial evacuation, where some staff are intended to remain, will not count.
The resolution source will be official statements from the U.S. government or a consensus of credible reporting confirming the evacuation of the embassy.
A full evacuation announced within this market's timeframe will qualify for a "Yes" resolution regardless of whether an actual evacuation subsequently takes place within the timeframe.
Announcements of a partial evacuation, where some staff are intended to remain, will not count.
The resolution source will be official statements from the U.S. government or a consensus of credible reporting confirming the evacuation of the embassy.
Volume
$119,085Tanggal Berakhir
Jan 1, 2027Pasar Dibuka
Jun 30, 2026, 5:10 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...The U.S. Embassy in Beirut has maintained reduced staffing since a February 2026 ordered departure of non-essential personnel and families, prompted by escalating Iran-related tensions and Israel-Hezbollah conflict that triggered broader Middle East drawdowns. August 2026 State Department plans to return diplomats to Beirut first among affected posts reflect assessments of lowered immediate risks following a June U.S.-brokered framework agreement between Israel and Lebanon aimed at Hezbollah disarmament and border stabilization. September 2026 security alerts continue to cite complex threats from regional actors, including potential proxy targeting of U.S. facilities, while noting the embassy remains open for routine services and commercial flights operate. Ongoing diplomatic coordination, Israeli operations in southern Lebanon, and any shifts in Iranian posture remain key variables that could alter embassy posture ahead of market resolution windows.
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