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Politik·Israel

Negara mana yang akan mengakui Palestina sebelum 2027?

icon for Negara mana yang akan mengakui Palestina sebelum 2027?
Politik·Israel

Negara mana yang akan mengakui Palestina sebelum 2027?

Dec 31

Dec 31

$751,408 Vol.

Dec 31, 2026
Polymarket

$751,408 Vol.

Polymarket
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Belgia

$77,769 Vol.

20%

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Finlandia

$37,990 Vol.

13%

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Belanda

$62,078 Vol.

12%

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Italia

$27,291 Vol.

11%

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New Zealand

$124,139 Vol.

11%

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Yunani

$46,037 Vol.

10%

icon for Japan

Japan

$48,877 Vol.

8%

icon for Israel

Israel

$199 Vol.

5%

icon for Germany

Germany

$129,108 Vol.

5%

icon for United States

United States

$25,347 Vol.

4%

icon for Austria

Austria

$172,573 Vol.

2%

This market will resolve based on the countries that officially recognize Palestine as a state by December 31, 2026, 11:59pm ET. An announcement of intentions will not suffice to resolve this market to "Yes." Only a government's formal recognition of the State of Palestine will count toward a “Yes” resolution for this market. The primary resolution source for this market will be official government information. However, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.Several Western governments, including the UK, Canada, Australia, and France, along with smaller European states, formally recognized the State of Palestine during the September 2025 UN General Assembly two-state solution conference, raising the total to approximately 157 of 193 UN members. This coordinated diplomatic push, linked to Gaza developments and efforts to advance a two-state framework, produced no further recognitions in the following months. Remaining holdouts among G7 and EU states face domestic political constraints, alliance considerations with Israel, and conditions such as Palestinian Authority reforms or hostage releases. Trader focus centers on whether additional European or G20 countries will move before the December 2026 resolution deadline amid ongoing bilateral diplomacy.

This market will resolve based on the countries that officially recognize Palestine as a state by December 31, 2026, 11:59pm ET.

An announcement of intentions will not suffice to resolve this market to "Yes." Only a government's formal recognition of the State of Palestine will count toward a “Yes” resolution for this market.

The primary resolution source for this market will be official government information. However, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
Volume
$751,408
Tanggal Berakhir
Dec 31, 2026
Pasar Dibuka
Nov 5, 2025, 11:52 AM ET

Resolver

0x65070BE91...
This market will resolve based on the countries that officially recognize Palestine as a state by December 31, 2026, 11:59pm ET. An announcement of intentions will not suffice to resolve this market to "Yes." Only a government's formal recognition of the State of Palestine will count toward a “Yes” resolution for this market. The primary resolution source for this market will be official government information. However, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
This market will resolve based on the countries that officially recognize Palestine as a state by December 31, 2026, 11:59pm ET. An announcement of intentions will not suffice to resolve this market to "Yes." Only a government's formal recognition of the State of Palestine will count toward a “Yes” resolution for this market. The primary resolution source for this market will be official government information. However, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.Several Western governments, including the UK, Canada, Australia, and France, along with smaller European states, formally recognized the State of Palestine during the September 2025 UN General Assembly two-state solution conference, raising the total to approximately 157 of 193 UN members. This coordinated diplomatic push, linked to Gaza developments and efforts to advance a two-state framework, produced no further recognitions in the following months. Remaining holdouts among G7 and EU states face domestic political constraints, alliance considerations with Israel, and conditions such as Palestinian Authority reforms or hostage releases. Trader focus centers on whether additional European or G20 countries will move before the December 2026 resolution deadline amid ongoing bilateral diplomacy.

This market will resolve based on the countries that officially recognize Palestine as a state by December 31, 2026, 11:59pm ET.

An announcement of intentions will not suffice to resolve this market to "Yes." Only a government's formal recognition of the State of Palestine will count toward a “Yes” resolution for this market.

The primary resolution source for this market will be official government information. However, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
Volume
$751,408
Tanggal Berakhir
Dec 31, 2026
Pasar Dibuka
Nov 5, 2025, 11:52 AM ET

Resolver

0x65070BE91...
This market will resolve based on the countries that officially recognize Palestine as a state by December 31, 2026, 11:59pm ET. An announcement of intentions will not suffice to resolve this market to "Yes." Only a government's formal recognition of the State of Palestine will count toward a “Yes” resolution for this market. The primary resolution source for this market will be official government information. However, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.

Terkait

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Will Lebanon recognize Israel by December 31?

24%
icon for Israel and Lebanon normalize relations before 2027?

Israel and Lebanon normalize relations before 2027?

16%
icon for Apakah Israel dan Suriah menormalkan hubungan sebelum 31 Desember 2026?

Apakah Israel dan Suriah menormalkan hubungan sebelum 31 Desember 2026?

5%
Ya

Hati-hati dengan link eksternal.

Pertanyaan yang Sering Diajukan

"Negara mana yang akan mengakui Palestina sebelum 2027?" adalah pasar prediksi di Polymarket dengan 11 hasil yang mungkin di mana trader membeli dan menjual saham berdasarkan apa yang mereka yakini akan terjadi. Hasil terdepan saat ini adalah "Belgia" di 20%, diikuti oleh "Finlandia" di 13%. Harga mencerminkan probabilitas crowd-sourced real-time. Misalnya, saham yang dihargai 20¢ menyiratkan bahwa pasar secara kolektif memberikan peluang 20% pada hasil tersebut. Peluang ini bergeser terus-menerus saat trader bereaksi terhadap perkembangan dan informasi baru. Saham dengan hasil yang benar bisa ditukarkan seharga $1 setiap saham saat pasar diselesaikan.

Per hari ini, "Negara mana yang akan mengakui Palestina sebelum 2027?" telah menghasilkan $751.4K dalam total volume trading sejak pasar diluncurkan pada Nov 5, 2025. Tingkat aktivitas trading ini mencerminkan keterlibatan kuat dari komunitas Polymarket dan membantu memastikan bahwa peluang saat ini diinformasikan oleh kumpulan besar peserta pasar. Kamu bisa melacak pergerakan harga langsung dan trading di hasil apa pun langsung di halaman ini.

Untuk trading di "Negara mana yang akan mengakui Palestina sebelum 2027?," jelajahi 11 hasil yang tersedia di halaman ini. Setiap hasil menampilkan harga saat ini yang mewakili probabilitas tersirat pasar. Untuk mengambil posisi, pilih hasil yang menurutmu paling mungkin, pilih "Ya" untuk mendukungnya atau "Tidak" untuk menentangnya, masukkan jumlahmu, dan klik "Trade." Jika hasil pilihanmu benar saat pasar diselesaikan, saham "Ya" kamu membayar $1 masing-masing. Jika salah, mereka membayar $0. Kamu juga bisa menjual sahammu kapan saja sebelum resolusi jika kamu ingin mengamankan keuntungan atau memotong kerugian.

Unggulan saat ini untuk "Negara mana yang akan mengakui Palestina sebelum 2027?" adalah "Belgia" di 20%, yang berarti pasar memberikan peluang 20% pada hasil tersebut. Hasil terdekat berikutnya adalah "Finlandia" di 13%. Peluang ini diperbarui secara real-time saat trader membeli dan menjual saham, sehingga mencerminkan pandangan kolektif terbaru tentang apa yang paling mungkin terjadi. Cek kembali secara rutin atau tandai halaman ini untuk mengikuti bagaimana peluang bergeser saat informasi baru muncul.

Aturan resolusi untuk "Negara mana yang akan mengakui Palestina sebelum 2027?" mendefinisikan dengan tepat apa yang harus terjadi agar setiap hasil dinyatakan sebagai pemenang — termasuk sumber data resmi yang digunakan untuk menentukan hasilnya. Kamu bisa meninjau kriteria resolusi lengkap di bagian "Aturan" di halaman ini di atas komentar. Kami menyarankan membaca aturan dengan cermat sebelum trading, karena mereka menentukan kondisi tepat, kasus khusus, dan sumber yang mengatur bagaimana pasar ini diselesaikan.