Anthropic’s June 9 release of Claude Fable 5 has propelled its models—Fable 5, Opus 4.8, and Mythos variants—to the top of most June 2026 leaderboards, including composite quality indexes and agentic coding benchmarks, establishing a clear edge over competitors. OpenAI’s GPT-5.5 Pro and Thinking variants sit immediately behind on reasoning and general tasks, while Google’s Gemini 3.1 Pro and 3.5 Flash lead select math or efficiency metrics but trail overall. With only days remaining until June 30 resolution and no major launches announced, trader sentiment centers on whether incremental updates or benchmark shifts can unseat Anthropic’s current lead before the cutoff.
Ringkasan eksperimental yang dihasilkan AI dengan referensi data Polymarket. Ini bukan saran trading dan tidak berperan dalam bagaimana pasar ini diselesaikan. · Diperbarui$1,711,813 Vol.
Jun 30, 2026
OpenAI
Tidak
DeepSeek
Tidak
xAI
Tidak
Anthropic
Ya
Meta
Tidak
Mistral
Tidak
Alibaba
Tidak
Nvidia
Tidak
Baidu
Tidak
Z.ai
Tidak
Meituan
Tidak
$1,711,813 Vol.
OpenAI
$455,499 Vol.
Tidak
DeepSeek
$287,512 Vol.
Tidak
xAI
$594,365 Vol.
Tidak
Anthropic
$257,971 Vol.
Ya
Meta
$30,984 Vol.
Tidak
Mistral
$16,157 Vol.
Tidak
Alibaba
$20,914 Vol.
Tidak
Nvidia
$10,181 Vol.
Tidak
Baidu
$12,315 Vol.
Tidak
Z.ai
$20,598 Vol.
Tidak
Meituan
$5,317 Vol.
Tidak
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the listed company has the highest arena score on the Chatbot Arena LLM Leaderboard (https://lmarena.ai/) for any amount of time by June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No."
Results from the "Arena Score" section on the Leaderboard tab of https://lmarena.ai/ with the style control unchecked will be used to resolve this market.
If a listed model ties for #1 Arena score, it will suffice to resolve this market to "Yes."
The resolution source for this market is the Chatbot Arena LLM Leaderboard found at https://lmarena.ai/. If this resolution source becomes unavailable, the market will remain open until it is accessible again. If it becomes permanently unavailable, resolution will be based on another credible source.Anthropic’s June 9 release of Claude Fable 5 has propelled its models—Fable 5, Opus 4.8, and Mythos variants—to the top of most June 2026 leaderboards, including composite quality indexes and agentic coding benchmarks, establishing a clear edge over competitors. OpenAI’s GPT-5.5 Pro and Thinking variants sit immediately behind on reasoning and general tasks, while Google’s Gemini 3.1 Pro and 3.5 Flash lead select math or efficiency metrics but trail overall. With only days remaining until June 30 resolution and no major launches announced, trader sentiment centers on whether incremental updates or benchmark shifts can unseat Anthropic’s current lead before the cutoff.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the listed company has the highest arena score on the Chatbot Arena LLM Leaderboard (https://lmarena.ai/) for any amount of time by June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No."
Results from the "Arena Score" section on the Leaderboard tab of https://lmarena.ai/ with the style control unchecked will be used to resolve this market.
If a listed model ties for #1 Arena score, it will suffice to resolve this market to "Yes."
The resolution source for this market is the Chatbot Arena LLM Leaderboard found at https://lmarena.ai/. If this resolution source becomes unavailable, the market will remain open until it is accessible again. If it becomes permanently unavailable, resolution will be based on another credible source.
Results from the "Arena Score" section on the Leaderboard tab of https://lmarena.ai/ with the style control unchecked will be used to resolve this market.
If a listed model ties for #1 Arena score, it will suffice to resolve this market to "Yes."
The resolution source for this market is the Chatbot Arena LLM Leaderboard found at https://lmarena.ai/. If this resolution source becomes unavailable, the market will remain open until it is accessible again. If it becomes permanently unavailable, resolution will be based on another credible source.
Pasar Dibuka: Dec 22, 2025, 5:28 PM ET
Volume
$1,711,813Tanggal Berakhir
Jun 30, 2026Pasar Dibuka
Dec 22, 2025, 5:28 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...Hasil diajukan: Tidak
Tidak ada sengketa
Hasil akhir: Tidak
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the listed company has the highest arena score on the Chatbot Arena LLM Leaderboard (https://lmarena.ai/) for any amount of time by June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No."
Results from the "Arena Score" section on the Leaderboard tab of https://lmarena.ai/ with the style control unchecked will be used to resolve this market.
If a listed model ties for #1 Arena score, it will suffice to resolve this market to "Yes."
The resolution source for this market is the Chatbot Arena LLM Leaderboard found at https://lmarena.ai/. If this resolution source becomes unavailable, the market will remain open until it is accessible again. If it becomes permanently unavailable, resolution will be based on another credible source.Anthropic’s June 9 release of Claude Fable 5 has propelled its models—Fable 5, Opus 4.8, and Mythos variants—to the top of most June 2026 leaderboards, including composite quality indexes and agentic coding benchmarks, establishing a clear edge over competitors. OpenAI’s GPT-5.5 Pro and Thinking variants sit immediately behind on reasoning and general tasks, while Google’s Gemini 3.1 Pro and 3.5 Flash lead select math or efficiency metrics but trail overall. With only days remaining until June 30 resolution and no major launches announced, trader sentiment centers on whether incremental updates or benchmark shifts can unseat Anthropic’s current lead before the cutoff.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the listed company has the highest arena score on the Chatbot Arena LLM Leaderboard (https://lmarena.ai/) for any amount of time by June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No."
Results from the "Arena Score" section on the Leaderboard tab of https://lmarena.ai/ with the style control unchecked will be used to resolve this market.
If a listed model ties for #1 Arena score, it will suffice to resolve this market to "Yes."
The resolution source for this market is the Chatbot Arena LLM Leaderboard found at https://lmarena.ai/. If this resolution source becomes unavailable, the market will remain open until it is accessible again. If it becomes permanently unavailable, resolution will be based on another credible source.
Results from the "Arena Score" section on the Leaderboard tab of https://lmarena.ai/ with the style control unchecked will be used to resolve this market.
If a listed model ties for #1 Arena score, it will suffice to resolve this market to "Yes."
The resolution source for this market is the Chatbot Arena LLM Leaderboard found at https://lmarena.ai/. If this resolution source becomes unavailable, the market will remain open until it is accessible again. If it becomes permanently unavailable, resolution will be based on another credible source.
Volume
$1,711,813Tanggal Berakhir
Jun 30, 2026Pasar Dibuka
Dec 22, 2025, 5:28 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...Hasil diajukan: Tidak
Tidak ada sengketa
Hasil akhir: Tidak
Anthropic’s June 9 release of Claude Fable 5 has propelled its models—Fable 5, Opus 4.8, and Mythos variants—to the top of most June 2026 leaderboards, including composite quality indexes and agentic coding benchmarks, establishing a clear edge over competitors. OpenAI’s GPT-5.5 Pro and Thinking variants sit immediately behind on reasoning and general tasks, while Google’s Gemini 3.1 Pro and 3.5 Flash lead select math or efficiency metrics but trail overall. With only days remaining until June 30 resolution and no major launches announced, trader sentiment centers on whether incremental updates or benchmark shifts can unseat Anthropic’s current lead before the cutoff.
Ringkasan eksperimental yang dihasilkan AI dengan referensi data Polymarket. Ini bukan saran trading dan tidak berperan dalam bagaimana pasar ini diselesaikan. · Diperbarui
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