Anthropic’s Claude Opus 5, released July 24, 2026, has captured top spots on multiple leaderboards including Artificial Analysis intelligence and agentic indices as well as LMSYS coding benchmarks, building on the earlier return of Claude Fable 5. OpenAI’s GPT-5.6 family (Sol, Terra, Luna), generally available since early July, remains within a few points on reasoning and math tasks while Google’s Gemini 3.6 Flash variants emphasize speed and cost efficiency. Performance across frontier labs has converged, shifting trader focus to release cadence, domain-specific gains, and pricing. With several labs expected to ship major updates before year-end, the market reflects ongoing competition rather than a settled hierarchy.
Ringkasan eksperimental yang dihasilkan AI dengan referensi data Polymarket. Ini bukan saran trading dan tidak berperan dalam bagaimana pasar ini diselesaikan. · Diperbarui$86,437 Vol.
Dec 31, 2026
OpenAI
30%
24%
Moonshot
13%
xAI
13%
Meta
12%
ByteDance
10%
Z.ai
8%
DeepSeek
8%
Amazon
8%
Microsoft
8%
Alibaba
7%
Baidu
7%
Meituan
7%
Mistral
3%
$86,437 Vol.
OpenAI
$18,441 Vol.
30%
$16,612 Vol.
24%
Moonshot
$4,074 Vol.
13%
xAI
$8,291 Vol.
13%
Meta
$12,144 Vol.
12%
ByteDance
$2,392 Vol.
10%
Z.ai
$2,479 Vol.
8%
DeepSeek
$2,941 Vol.
8%
Amazon
$2,727 Vol.
8%
Microsoft
$3,469 Vol.
8%
Alibaba
$2,220 Vol.
7%
Baidu
$1,891 Vol.
7%
Meituan
$1,986 Vol.
7%
Mistral
$6,771 Vol.
3%
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the listed company has the highest arena rank based on the Chatbot Arena LLM Leaderboard (https://lmarena.ai/) by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No."
Results from the "Rank" column under the "Text Arena | Overall" Leaderboard tab at https://lmarena.ai/leaderboard/text with style control off will be used to resolve this market.
If a listed model ties for #1 Arena rank, it will suffice to resolve this market to "Yes."
The resolution source for this market is the Chatbot Arena LLM Leaderboard found at https://lmarena.ai/. If this resolution source is unavailable at check time, this market will remain open until the leaderboard comes back online and will resolve based on the first check after it becomes available. If it becomes permanently unavailable, this market will resolve based on another resolution source.Anthropic’s Claude Opus 5, released July 24, 2026, has captured top spots on multiple leaderboards including Artificial Analysis intelligence and agentic indices as well as LMSYS coding benchmarks, building on the earlier return of Claude Fable 5. OpenAI’s GPT-5.6 family (Sol, Terra, Luna), generally available since early July, remains within a few points on reasoning and math tasks while Google’s Gemini 3.6 Flash variants emphasize speed and cost efficiency. Performance across frontier labs has converged, shifting trader focus to release cadence, domain-specific gains, and pricing. With several labs expected to ship major updates before year-end, the market reflects ongoing competition rather than a settled hierarchy.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the listed company has the highest arena rank based on the Chatbot Arena LLM Leaderboard (https://lmarena.ai/) by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No."
Results from the "Rank" column under the "Text Arena | Overall" Leaderboard tab at https://lmarena.ai/leaderboard/text with style control off will be used to resolve this market.
If a listed model ties for #1 Arena rank, it will suffice to resolve this market to "Yes."
The resolution source for this market is the Chatbot Arena LLM Leaderboard found at https://lmarena.ai/. If this resolution source is unavailable at check time, this market will remain open until the leaderboard comes back online and will resolve based on the first check after it becomes available. If it becomes permanently unavailable, this market will resolve based on another resolution source.
Results from the "Rank" column under the "Text Arena | Overall" Leaderboard tab at https://lmarena.ai/leaderboard/text with style control off will be used to resolve this market.
If a listed model ties for #1 Arena rank, it will suffice to resolve this market to "Yes."
The resolution source for this market is the Chatbot Arena LLM Leaderboard found at https://lmarena.ai/. If this resolution source is unavailable at check time, this market will remain open until the leaderboard comes back online and will resolve based on the first check after it becomes available. If it becomes permanently unavailable, this market will resolve based on another resolution source.
Pasar Dibuka: Apr 30, 2026, 3:22 PM ET
Volume
$86,437Tanggal Berakhir
Dec 31, 2026Pasar Dibuka
Apr 30, 2026, 3:22 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to "Yes" if the listed company has the highest arena rank based on the Chatbot Arena LLM Leaderboard (https://lmarena.ai/) by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No."
Results from the "Rank" column under the "Text Arena | Overall" Leaderboard tab at https://lmarena.ai/leaderboard/text with style control off will be used to resolve this market.
If a listed model ties for #1 Arena rank, it will suffice to resolve this market to "Yes."
The resolution source for this market is the Chatbot Arena LLM Leaderboard found at https://lmarena.ai/. If this resolution source is unavailable at check time, this market will remain open until the leaderboard comes back online and will resolve based on the first check after it becomes available. If it becomes permanently unavailable, this market will resolve based on another resolution source.Anthropic’s Claude Opus 5, released July 24, 2026, has captured top spots on multiple leaderboards including Artificial Analysis intelligence and agentic indices as well as LMSYS coding benchmarks, building on the earlier return of Claude Fable 5. OpenAI’s GPT-5.6 family (Sol, Terra, Luna), generally available since early July, remains within a few points on reasoning and math tasks while Google’s Gemini 3.6 Flash variants emphasize speed and cost efficiency. Performance across frontier labs has converged, shifting trader focus to release cadence, domain-specific gains, and pricing. With several labs expected to ship major updates before year-end, the market reflects ongoing competition rather than a settled hierarchy.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the listed company has the highest arena rank based on the Chatbot Arena LLM Leaderboard (https://lmarena.ai/) by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No."
Results from the "Rank" column under the "Text Arena | Overall" Leaderboard tab at https://lmarena.ai/leaderboard/text with style control off will be used to resolve this market.
If a listed model ties for #1 Arena rank, it will suffice to resolve this market to "Yes."
The resolution source for this market is the Chatbot Arena LLM Leaderboard found at https://lmarena.ai/. If this resolution source is unavailable at check time, this market will remain open until the leaderboard comes back online and will resolve based on the first check after it becomes available. If it becomes permanently unavailable, this market will resolve based on another resolution source.
Results from the "Rank" column under the "Text Arena | Overall" Leaderboard tab at https://lmarena.ai/leaderboard/text with style control off will be used to resolve this market.
If a listed model ties for #1 Arena rank, it will suffice to resolve this market to "Yes."
The resolution source for this market is the Chatbot Arena LLM Leaderboard found at https://lmarena.ai/. If this resolution source is unavailable at check time, this market will remain open until the leaderboard comes back online and will resolve based on the first check after it becomes available. If it becomes permanently unavailable, this market will resolve based on another resolution source.
Volume
$86,437Tanggal Berakhir
Dec 31, 2026Pasar Dibuka
Apr 30, 2026, 3:22 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...Anthropic’s Claude Opus 5, released July 24, 2026, has captured top spots on multiple leaderboards including Artificial Analysis intelligence and agentic indices as well as LMSYS coding benchmarks, building on the earlier return of Claude Fable 5. OpenAI’s GPT-5.6 family (Sol, Terra, Luna), generally available since early July, remains within a few points on reasoning and math tasks while Google’s Gemini 3.6 Flash variants emphasize speed and cost efficiency. Performance across frontier labs has converged, shifting trader focus to release cadence, domain-specific gains, and pricing. With several labs expected to ship major updates before year-end, the market reflects ongoing competition rather than a settled hierarchy.
Ringkasan eksperimental yang dihasilkan AI dengan referensi data Polymarket. Ini bukan saran trading dan tidak berperan dalam bagaimana pasar ini diselesaikan. · Diperbarui
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