Skip to main content
icon for Siapa yang akan memenangkan Medali Fields 2026?

Siapa yang akan memenangkan Medali Fields 2026?

icon for Siapa yang akan memenangkan Medali Fields 2026?

Siapa yang akan memenangkan Medali Fields 2026?

$544,143 Vol.

Jul 30, 2026
Polymarket

$544,143 Vol.

Polymarket

Jacob Tsimerman

$54,909 Vol.

88%

Hong Wang

$87,108 Vol.

76%

Yu Deng

$122,830 Vol.

51%

Vesselin Dimitrov

$0 Vol.

48%

John Pardon

$85,733 Vol.

43%

Jack Thorne

$101,321 Vol.

39%

Julian Sahasrabudhe

$84,586 Vol.

23%

Sam Raskin

$2,597 Vol.

21%

Aleksandr Logunov

$263 Vol.

27%

Will Sawin

$4,207 Vol.

17%

Alexander Efimov

$588 Vol.

9%

The Fields Medal is a prize regarded as the top award in the field of mathematics worldwide. It is awarded to two, three, or four mathematicians under 40 years of age at the International Congress of the International Mathematical Union (IMU), a meeting that takes place every four years. The International Congress of Mathematicians 2026 (ICM 2026) is scheduled to take place from July 23 to July 30, 2026. This market will resolve according to the winners of the 2026 Fields medal. If the 2026 Fields medalists are not announced by August 15, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the IMU (https://www.mathunion.org/imu-awards/fields-medal), however other credible reporting may be used.Hong Wang’s resolution of the Kakeya conjecture has established her as the clear frontrunner in the 2026 Fields Medal race, driving strong trader consensus around her nomination prospects. Recent discussions among mathematicians highlight her breakthrough alongside other leading contenders like Jacob Tsimerman, whose work on the André-Oort conjecture, and Jack Thorne’s advances in arithmetic geometry, shaping industry narrative and guild-style peer recognition. The awards, limited to those under 40 and announced during the July 23 opening ceremony at ICM 2026 in Philadelphia, follow historical patterns where major conjecture resolutions and critical acclaim from the field accelerate momentum. With the ceremony just weeks away, late shifts in precursor signals or additional high-profile results could still influence the final four recipients.

The Fields Medal is a prize regarded as the top award in the field of mathematics worldwide. It is awarded to two, three, or four mathematicians under 40 years of age at the International Congress of the International Mathematical Union (IMU), a meeting that takes place every four years. The International Congress of Mathematicians 2026 (ICM 2026) is scheduled to take place from July 23 to July 30, 2026.

This market will resolve according to the winners of the 2026 Fields medal.

If the 2026 Fields medalists are not announced by August 15, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".

The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the IMU (https://www.mathunion.org/imu-awards/fields-medal), however other credible reporting may be used.
Volume
$544,143
Tanggal Berakhir
Jul 30, 2026
Pasar Dibuka
Jan 6, 2026, 1:51 PM ET

Resolver

0x65070BE91...
The Fields Medal is a prize regarded as the top award in the field of mathematics worldwide. It is awarded to two, three, or four mathematicians under 40 years of age at the International Congress of the International Mathematical Union (IMU), a meeting that takes place every four years. The International Congress of Mathematicians 2026 (ICM 2026) is scheduled to take place from July 23 to July 30, 2026. This market will resolve according to the winners of the 2026 Fields medal. If the 2026 Fields medalists are not announced by August 15, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the IMU (https://www.mathunion.org/imu-awards/fields-medal), however other credible reporting may be used.
The Fields Medal is a prize regarded as the top award in the field of mathematics worldwide. It is awarded to two, three, or four mathematicians under 40 years of age at the International Congress of the International Mathematical Union (IMU), a meeting that takes place every four years. The International Congress of Mathematicians 2026 (ICM 2026) is scheduled to take place from July 23 to July 30, 2026. This market will resolve according to the winners of the 2026 Fields medal. If the 2026 Fields medalists are not announced by August 15, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the IMU (https://www.mathunion.org/imu-awards/fields-medal), however other credible reporting may be used.Hong Wang’s resolution of the Kakeya conjecture has established her as the clear frontrunner in the 2026 Fields Medal race, driving strong trader consensus around her nomination prospects. Recent discussions among mathematicians highlight her breakthrough alongside other leading contenders like Jacob Tsimerman, whose work on the André-Oort conjecture, and Jack Thorne’s advances in arithmetic geometry, shaping industry narrative and guild-style peer recognition. The awards, limited to those under 40 and announced during the July 23 opening ceremony at ICM 2026 in Philadelphia, follow historical patterns where major conjecture resolutions and critical acclaim from the field accelerate momentum. With the ceremony just weeks away, late shifts in precursor signals or additional high-profile results could still influence the final four recipients.

The Fields Medal is a prize regarded as the top award in the field of mathematics worldwide. It is awarded to two, three, or four mathematicians under 40 years of age at the International Congress of the International Mathematical Union (IMU), a meeting that takes place every four years. The International Congress of Mathematicians 2026 (ICM 2026) is scheduled to take place from July 23 to July 30, 2026.

This market will resolve according to the winners of the 2026 Fields medal.

If the 2026 Fields medalists are not announced by August 15, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".

The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the IMU (https://www.mathunion.org/imu-awards/fields-medal), however other credible reporting may be used.
Volume
$544,143
Tanggal Berakhir
Jul 30, 2026
Pasar Dibuka
Jan 6, 2026, 1:51 PM ET

Resolver

0x65070BE91...
The Fields Medal is a prize regarded as the top award in the field of mathematics worldwide. It is awarded to two, three, or four mathematicians under 40 years of age at the International Congress of the International Mathematical Union (IMU), a meeting that takes place every four years. The International Congress of Mathematicians 2026 (ICM 2026) is scheduled to take place from July 23 to July 30, 2026. This market will resolve according to the winners of the 2026 Fields medal. If the 2026 Fields medalists are not announced by August 15, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the IMU (https://www.mathunion.org/imu-awards/fields-medal), however other credible reporting may be used.

Hati-hati dengan link eksternal.

Pertanyaan yang Sering Diajukan

"Siapa yang akan memenangkan Medali Fields 2026?" adalah pasar prediksi di Polymarket dengan 11 hasil yang mungkin di mana trader membeli dan menjual saham berdasarkan apa yang mereka yakini akan terjadi. Hasil terdepan saat ini adalah "Jacob Tsimerman" di 88%, diikuti oleh "Hong Wang" di 76%. Harga mencerminkan probabilitas crowd-sourced real-time. Misalnya, saham yang dihargai 88¢ menyiratkan bahwa pasar secara kolektif memberikan peluang 88% pada hasil tersebut. Peluang ini bergeser terus-menerus saat trader bereaksi terhadap perkembangan dan informasi baru. Saham dengan hasil yang benar bisa ditukarkan seharga $1 setiap saham saat pasar diselesaikan.

Per hari ini, "Siapa yang akan memenangkan Medali Fields 2026?" telah menghasilkan $544.1K dalam total volume trading sejak pasar diluncurkan pada Jan 6, 2026. Tingkat aktivitas trading ini mencerminkan keterlibatan kuat dari komunitas Polymarket dan membantu memastikan bahwa peluang saat ini diinformasikan oleh kumpulan besar peserta pasar. Kamu bisa melacak pergerakan harga langsung dan trading di hasil apa pun langsung di halaman ini.

Untuk trading di "Siapa yang akan memenangkan Medali Fields 2026?," jelajahi 11 hasil yang tersedia di halaman ini. Setiap hasil menampilkan harga saat ini yang mewakili probabilitas tersirat pasar. Untuk mengambil posisi, pilih hasil yang menurutmu paling mungkin, pilih "Ya" untuk mendukungnya atau "Tidak" untuk menentangnya, masukkan jumlahmu, dan klik "Trade." Jika hasil pilihanmu benar saat pasar diselesaikan, saham "Ya" kamu membayar $1 masing-masing. Jika salah, mereka membayar $0. Kamu juga bisa menjual sahammu kapan saja sebelum resolusi jika kamu ingin mengamankan keuntungan atau memotong kerugian.

Unggulan saat ini untuk "Siapa yang akan memenangkan Medali Fields 2026?" adalah "Jacob Tsimerman" di 88%, yang berarti pasar memberikan peluang 88% pada hasil tersebut. Hasil terdekat berikutnya adalah "Hong Wang" di 76%. Peluang ini diperbarui secara real-time saat trader membeli dan menjual saham, sehingga mencerminkan pandangan kolektif terbaru tentang apa yang paling mungkin terjadi. Cek kembali secara rutin atau tandai halaman ini untuk mengikuti bagaimana peluang bergeser saat informasi baru muncul.

Aturan resolusi untuk "Siapa yang akan memenangkan Medali Fields 2026?" mendefinisikan dengan tepat apa yang harus terjadi agar setiap hasil dinyatakan sebagai pemenang — termasuk sumber data resmi yang digunakan untuk menentukan hasilnya. Kamu bisa meninjau kriteria resolusi lengkap di bagian "Aturan" di halaman ini di atas komentar. Kami menyarankan membaca aturan dengan cermat sebelum trading, karena mereka menentukan kondisi tepat, kasus khusus, dan sumber yang mengatur bagaimana pasar ini diselesaikan.