Persistent G7 opposition rooted in Russia's 2014 expulsion over Crimea and sustained by the Ukraine conflict drives the 97.7% implied probability against rejoining before 2027. At the June 2026 Evian summit, members reaffirmed support for Ukraine through expanded air defenses, long-range systems, and tightened sanctions on Russian oil and gas. Russian President Vladimir Putin stated in September 2026 that Moscow has no interest in returning, emphasizing BRICS economic growth over the G7 format. Unanimous consent from all seven members is required for readmission, and European positions remain firm absent major concessions on territorial and security issues. The narrow window to December 2026 leaves little room for shifts, though a rapid Ukraine settlement or abrupt policy reversal could still alter the outcome.
Ringkasan eksperimental yang dihasilkan AI dengan referensi data Polymarket. Ini bukan saran trading dan tidak berperan dalam bagaimana pasar ini diselesaikan. · Diperbarui2% peluang
$53,550 Vol.
$53,550 Vol.
Dec 31, 2026
2% peluang
$53,550 Vol.
$53,550 Vol.
Dec 31, 2026
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Russia officially rejoins the Group of Seven (G7) by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
If the title of the group changes (e.g., to "G8"), this market will still resolve to "Yes" so long as that group remains functionally similar to the G7.
A formal rejoining must be acknowledged by a consensus of G7 member states to qualify for a "Yes" resolution.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from G7 member states, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.Persistent G7 opposition rooted in Russia's 2014 expulsion over Crimea and sustained by the Ukraine conflict drives the 97.7% implied probability against rejoining before 2027. At the June 2026 Evian summit, members reaffirmed support for Ukraine through expanded air defenses, long-range systems, and tightened sanctions on Russian oil and gas. Russian President Vladimir Putin stated in September 2026 that Moscow has no interest in returning, emphasizing BRICS economic growth over the G7 format. Unanimous consent from all seven members is required for readmission, and European positions remain firm absent major concessions on territorial and security issues. The narrow window to December 2026 leaves little room for shifts, though a rapid Ukraine settlement or abrupt policy reversal could still alter the outcome.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Russia officially rejoins the Group of Seven (G7) by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
If the title of the group changes (e.g., to "G8"), this market will still resolve to "Yes" so long as that group remains functionally similar to the G7.
A formal rejoining must be acknowledged by a consensus of G7 member states to qualify for a "Yes" resolution.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from G7 member states, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
If the title of the group changes (e.g., to "G8"), this market will still resolve to "Yes" so long as that group remains functionally similar to the G7.
A formal rejoining must be acknowledged by a consensus of G7 member states to qualify for a "Yes" resolution.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from G7 member states, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
Pasar Dibuka: Nov 13, 2025, 11:25 AM ET
Volume
$53,550Tanggal Berakhir
Jan 1, 2027Pasar Dibuka
Nov 13, 2025, 11:25 AM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to "Yes" if Russia officially rejoins the Group of Seven (G7) by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
If the title of the group changes (e.g., to "G8"), this market will still resolve to "Yes" so long as that group remains functionally similar to the G7.
A formal rejoining must be acknowledged by a consensus of G7 member states to qualify for a "Yes" resolution.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from G7 member states, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.Persistent G7 opposition rooted in Russia's 2014 expulsion over Crimea and sustained by the Ukraine conflict drives the 97.7% implied probability against rejoining before 2027. At the June 2026 Evian summit, members reaffirmed support for Ukraine through expanded air defenses, long-range systems, and tightened sanctions on Russian oil and gas. Russian President Vladimir Putin stated in September 2026 that Moscow has no interest in returning, emphasizing BRICS economic growth over the G7 format. Unanimous consent from all seven members is required for readmission, and European positions remain firm absent major concessions on territorial and security issues. The narrow window to December 2026 leaves little room for shifts, though a rapid Ukraine settlement or abrupt policy reversal could still alter the outcome.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Russia officially rejoins the Group of Seven (G7) by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
If the title of the group changes (e.g., to "G8"), this market will still resolve to "Yes" so long as that group remains functionally similar to the G7.
A formal rejoining must be acknowledged by a consensus of G7 member states to qualify for a "Yes" resolution.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from G7 member states, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
If the title of the group changes (e.g., to "G8"), this market will still resolve to "Yes" so long as that group remains functionally similar to the G7.
A formal rejoining must be acknowledged by a consensus of G7 member states to qualify for a "Yes" resolution.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from G7 member states, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
Volume
$53,550Tanggal Berakhir
Jan 1, 2027Pasar Dibuka
Nov 13, 2025, 11:25 AM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...Persistent G7 opposition rooted in Russia's 2014 expulsion over Crimea and sustained by the Ukraine conflict drives the 97.7% implied probability against rejoining before 2027. At the June 2026 Evian summit, members reaffirmed support for Ukraine through expanded air defenses, long-range systems, and tightened sanctions on Russian oil and gas. Russian President Vladimir Putin stated in September 2026 that Moscow has no interest in returning, emphasizing BRICS economic growth over the G7 format. Unanimous consent from all seven members is required for readmission, and European positions remain firm absent major concessions on territorial and security issues. The narrow window to December 2026 leaves little room for shifts, though a rapid Ukraine settlement or abrupt policy reversal could still alter the outcome.
Ringkasan eksperimental yang dihasilkan AI dengan referensi data Polymarket. Ini bukan saran trading dan tidak berperan dalam bagaimana pasar ini diselesaikan. · Diperbarui
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