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icon for Will BRICS add a new member in 2026?

Will BRICS add a new member in 2026?

icon for Will BRICS add a new member in 2026?

Will BRICS add a new member in 2026?

8% peluang
Polymarket

$38,337 Vol.

8% peluang
Polymarket

$38,337 Vol.

This market will resolve to "Yes" if a new country accepts an invitation to join BRICS between market creation and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". Only new member states, not new partner states, will be considered toward this market's resolution. The primary resolution source for this country will be information from BRICS members (e.g., https://brics.br/en/about-the-brics, etc.); however, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.**BRICS has completed its recent expansion phase and shows limited momentum for further full-member additions in 2026.** The grouping reached 11 members with Indonesia’s formal accession in January 2025, following the 2024 intake of Egypt, Ethiopia, Iran, and the UAE (with Saudi Arabia participating in practice). A parallel “partner-country” framework, launched at the 2024 Kazan summit and expanded to include nations such as Nigeria, Malaysia, Vietnam, and others, now provides structured engagement for interested states without granting full membership. Ahead of India’s September 12–13, 2026 New Delhi summit, officials and reporting indicate no consensus among existing members for admitting new full members this year. Emphasis instead rests on integrating the recent intake, strengthening institutional mechanisms, and advancing cooperation on payments, trade, supply chains, and multilateral reform. Earlier signals, including Russian statements in mid-2026 noting suspended expansion ambitions amid political divergences, align with this consolidation focus. More than 30 countries have expressed interest, and expansion criteria remain under discussion, yet the absence of agreement and the priority on internal cohesion keep the probability of a new full member joining before year-end low.

This market will resolve to "Yes" if a new country accepts an invitation to join BRICS between market creation and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

Only new member states, not new partner states, will be considered toward this market's resolution.

The primary resolution source for this country will be information from BRICS members (e.g., https://brics.br/en/about-the-brics, etc.); however, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if a new country accepts an invitation to join BRICS between market creation and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". Only new member states, not new partner states, will be considered toward this market's resolution. The primary resolution source for this country will be information from BRICS members (e.g., https://brics.br/en/about-the-brics, etc.); however, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
Volume
$38,337
Tanggal Berakhir
Jan 1, 2027
Pasar Dibuka
Jan 7, 2026, 5:09 PM ET
This market will resolve to "Yes" if a new country accepts an invitation to join BRICS between market creation and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". Only new member states, not new partner states, will be considered toward this market's resolution. The primary resolution source for this country will be information from BRICS members (e.g., https://brics.br/en/about-the-brics, etc.); however, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.**BRICS has completed its recent expansion phase and shows limited momentum for further full-member additions in 2026.** The grouping reached 11 members with Indonesia’s formal accession in January 2025, following the 2024 intake of Egypt, Ethiopia, Iran, and the UAE (with Saudi Arabia participating in practice). A parallel “partner-country” framework, launched at the 2024 Kazan summit and expanded to include nations such as Nigeria, Malaysia, Vietnam, and others, now provides structured engagement for interested states without granting full membership. Ahead of India’s September 12–13, 2026 New Delhi summit, officials and reporting indicate no consensus among existing members for admitting new full members this year. Emphasis instead rests on integrating the recent intake, strengthening institutional mechanisms, and advancing cooperation on payments, trade, supply chains, and multilateral reform. Earlier signals, including Russian statements in mid-2026 noting suspended expansion ambitions amid political divergences, align with this consolidation focus. More than 30 countries have expressed interest, and expansion criteria remain under discussion, yet the absence of agreement and the priority on internal cohesion keep the probability of a new full member joining before year-end low.

This market will resolve to "Yes" if a new country accepts an invitation to join BRICS between market creation and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

Only new member states, not new partner states, will be considered toward this market's resolution.

The primary resolution source for this country will be information from BRICS members (e.g., https://brics.br/en/about-the-brics, etc.); however, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if a new country accepts an invitation to join BRICS between market creation and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". Only new member states, not new partner states, will be considered toward this market's resolution. The primary resolution source for this country will be information from BRICS members (e.g., https://brics.br/en/about-the-brics, etc.); however, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
Volume
$38,337
Tanggal Berakhir
Jan 1, 2027
Pasar Dibuka
Jan 7, 2026, 5:09 PM ET

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Pertanyaan yang Sering Diajukan

"Will BRICS add a new member in 2026?" adalah pasar prediksi di Polymarket di mana trader membeli dan menjual saham "Ya" atau "Tidak" berdasarkan apakah mereka yakin event ini akan terjadi. Probabilitas crowd-sourced saat ini adalah 13% untuk "Yes." Misalnya, jika "Ya" dihargai 13¢, pasar secara kolektif memberikan peluang 13% bahwa event ini akan terjadi. Peluang ini bergeser terus-menerus saat trader bereaksi terhadap perkembangan dan informasi baru. Saham dengan hasil yang benar bisa ditukarkan seharga $1 setiap saham saat pasar diselesaikan.

Per hari ini, "Will BRICS add a new member in 2026?" telah menghasilkan $38.3K dalam total volume trading sejak pasar diluncurkan pada Jan 7, 2026. Tingkat aktivitas trading ini mencerminkan keterlibatan kuat dari komunitas Polymarket dan membantu memastikan bahwa peluang saat ini diinformasikan oleh kumpulan besar peserta pasar. Kamu bisa melacak pergerakan harga langsung dan trading di hasil apa pun langsung di halaman ini.

Untuk trading di "Will BRICS add a new member in 2026?," cukup pilih apakah kamu yakin jawabannya "Ya" atau "Tidak." Setiap sisi memiliki harga saat ini yang mencerminkan probabilitas tersirat pasar. Masukkan jumlah kamu dan klik "Trade." Jika kamu membeli saham "Ya" dan hasilnya diselesaikan sebagai "Ya," setiap saham membayar $1. Jika diselesaikan sebagai "Tidak," saham "Ya" kamu bernilai $0. Kamu juga bisa menjual sahammu kapan saja sebelum resolusi jika kamu ingin mengamankan keuntungan atau memotong kerugian.

Probabilitas saat ini untuk "Will BRICS add a new member in 2026?" adalah 13% untuk "Yes." Ini berarti keramaian Polymarket saat ini percaya ada peluang 13% bahwa event ini akan terjadi. Peluang ini diperbarui secara real-time berdasarkan trade aktual, memberikan sinyal yang terus diperbarui tentang apa yang diharapkan pasar.

Aturan resolusi untuk "Will BRICS add a new member in 2026?" mendefinisikan dengan tepat apa yang harus terjadi agar setiap hasil dinyatakan sebagai pemenang — termasuk sumber data resmi yang digunakan untuk menentukan hasilnya. Kamu bisa meninjau kriteria resolusi lengkap di bagian "Aturan" di halaman ini di atas komentar. Kami menyarankan membaca aturan dengan cermat sebelum trading, karena mereka menentukan kondisi tepat, kasus khusus, dan sumber yang mengatur bagaimana pasar ini diselesaikan.