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icon for Will a country leave BRICS in 2026?

Will a country leave BRICS in 2026?

icon for Will a country leave BRICS in 2026?

Will a country leave BRICS in 2026?

Jan 1, 2027

Jan 1, 2027

6% peluang
Polymarket

$76,430 Vol.

6% peluang
Polymarket

$76,430 Vol.

This market will resolve to "Yes" if any member state formally withdraws from BRICS or provides an official notice of denunciation to BRICS between market creation and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". A notice of denunciation refers to the submission of a notice of withdrawal. The resolution source will be official information from the relevant government and BRICS; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.No BRICS member has issued a formal withdrawal notice or public signal of intent to exit in 2026, sustaining trader consensus around the 94% implied probability for "No." All ten full members attended the May foreign ministers meeting in New Delhi under India's chairmanship despite internal divisions over the Iran conflict and West Asia developments that blocked a joint statement. External pressures such as U.S. tariff policies and prior accession reversals like Argentina's have not triggered leadership shifts or policy reversals among current participants. Ongoing applications for partner status and preparations for the September summit in New Delhi further reflect bloc continuity rather than fragmentation.

This market will resolve to "Yes" if any member state formally withdraws from BRICS or provides an official notice of denunciation to BRICS between market creation and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

A notice of denunciation refers to the submission of a notice of withdrawal.

The resolution source will be official information from the relevant government and BRICS; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.This market will resolve to "Yes" if any member state formally withdraws from BRICS or provides an official notice of denunciation to BRICS between market creation and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". A notice of denunciation refers to the submission of a notice of withdrawal. The resolution source will be official information from the relevant government and BRICS; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Volume
$76,430
Tanggal Berakhir
Jan 1, 2027
Pasar Dibuka
Jan 7, 2026, 5:10 PM ET

Resolver

0x65070BE91...
This market will resolve to "Yes" if any member state formally withdraws from BRICS or provides an official notice of denunciation to BRICS between market creation and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". A notice of denunciation refers to the submission of a notice of withdrawal. The resolution source will be official information from the relevant government and BRICS; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.No BRICS member has issued a formal withdrawal notice or public signal of intent to exit in 2026, sustaining trader consensus around the 94% implied probability for "No." All ten full members attended the May foreign ministers meeting in New Delhi under India's chairmanship despite internal divisions over the Iran conflict and West Asia developments that blocked a joint statement. External pressures such as U.S. tariff policies and prior accession reversals like Argentina's have not triggered leadership shifts or policy reversals among current participants. Ongoing applications for partner status and preparations for the September summit in New Delhi further reflect bloc continuity rather than fragmentation.

This market will resolve to "Yes" if any member state formally withdraws from BRICS or provides an official notice of denunciation to BRICS between market creation and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

A notice of denunciation refers to the submission of a notice of withdrawal.

The resolution source will be official information from the relevant government and BRICS; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.This market will resolve to "Yes" if any member state formally withdraws from BRICS or provides an official notice of denunciation to BRICS between market creation and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". A notice of denunciation refers to the submission of a notice of withdrawal. The resolution source will be official information from the relevant government and BRICS; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Volume
$76,430
Tanggal Berakhir
Jan 1, 2027
Pasar Dibuka
Jan 7, 2026, 5:10 PM ET

Resolver

0x65070BE91...

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Pertanyaan yang Sering Diajukan

"Will a country leave BRICS in 2026?" adalah pasar prediksi di Polymarket di mana trader membeli dan menjual saham "Ya" atau "Tidak" berdasarkan apakah mereka yakin event ini akan terjadi. Probabilitas crowd-sourced saat ini adalah 6% untuk "Yes." Misalnya, jika "Ya" dihargai 6¢, pasar secara kolektif memberikan peluang 6% bahwa event ini akan terjadi. Peluang ini bergeser terus-menerus saat trader bereaksi terhadap perkembangan dan informasi baru. Saham dengan hasil yang benar bisa ditukarkan seharga $1 setiap saham saat pasar diselesaikan.

Per hari ini, "Will a country leave BRICS in 2026?" telah menghasilkan $76.4K dalam total volume trading sejak pasar diluncurkan pada Jan 7, 2026. Tingkat aktivitas trading ini mencerminkan keterlibatan kuat dari komunitas Polymarket dan membantu memastikan bahwa peluang saat ini diinformasikan oleh kumpulan besar peserta pasar. Kamu bisa melacak pergerakan harga langsung dan trading di hasil apa pun langsung di halaman ini.

Untuk trading di "Will a country leave BRICS in 2026?," cukup pilih apakah kamu yakin jawabannya "Ya" atau "Tidak." Setiap sisi memiliki harga saat ini yang mencerminkan probabilitas tersirat pasar. Masukkan jumlah kamu dan klik "Trade." Jika kamu membeli saham "Ya" dan hasilnya diselesaikan sebagai "Ya," setiap saham membayar $1. Jika diselesaikan sebagai "Tidak," saham "Ya" kamu bernilai $0. Kamu juga bisa menjual sahammu kapan saja sebelum resolusi jika kamu ingin mengamankan keuntungan atau memotong kerugian.

Probabilitas saat ini untuk "Will a country leave BRICS in 2026?" adalah 6% untuk "Yes." Ini berarti keramaian Polymarket saat ini percaya ada peluang 6% bahwa event ini akan terjadi. Peluang ini diperbarui secara real-time berdasarkan trade aktual, memberikan sinyal yang terus diperbarui tentang apa yang diharapkan pasar.

Aturan resolusi untuk "Will a country leave BRICS in 2026?" mendefinisikan dengan tepat apa yang harus terjadi agar setiap hasil dinyatakan sebagai pemenang — termasuk sumber data resmi yang digunakan untuk menentukan hasilnya. Kamu bisa meninjau kriteria resolusi lengkap di bagian "Aturan" di halaman ini di atas komentar. Kami menyarankan membaca aturan dengan cermat sebelum trading, karena mereka menentukan kondisi tepat, kasus khusus, dan sumber yang mengatur bagaimana pasar ini diselesaikan.