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Gavin Newsom prediksi & peluang

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Will Gavin Newsom announce Presidential run by...?

Will Gavin Newsom announce Presidential run by...?

15%

December 31, 2026

$84.1K Vol.

$2.5K Liq.

11

Ends in 7 months

Presidential Election Winner 2028

Presidential Election Winner 2028

16%

JD Vance

$615M Vol.

$2M today

$35M Liq.

949

Ends in over 2 years

Democratic Presidential Nominee 2028

Democratic Presidential Nominee 2028

25%

Gavin Newsom

$1B Vol.

$1M today

$61M Liq.

744

Ends in over 2 years

Next leader out of power before 2027? (No Orban)

Next leader out of power before 2027? (No Orban)

58%

Petro - Colombia President

$591K Vol.

$128K Liq.

9

Ends in 7 months

Who will announce Presidential run before 2027?

Who will announce Presidential run before 2027?

22%

Kamala Harris

$696K Vol.

$160K Liq.

17

Ends in 7 months

Democratic VP Nominee 2028

Democratic VP Nominee 2028

37%

Elissa Slotkin

$22.8K Vol.

$724K Liq.

Ends in about 2 years

Who will be arrested before 2027?

Who will be arrested before 2027?

46%

John Brennan

$115K Vol.

$65.3K Liq.

4

California Governor Primary Election: Los Angeles County Winner

California Governor Primary Election: Los Angeles County Winner

95%

Xavier Becerra

$20.2K Vol.

$6.3K Liq.

California Governor Primary Election: San Francisco Winner

California Governor Primary Election: San Francisco Winner

99%

Tom Steyer

$8.2K Vol.

$7.1K Liq.

1

California Governor Primary Election: Orange County Winner

California Governor Primary Election: Orange County Winner

96%

Steve Hilton

$4.2K Vol.

$1.1K Liq.

1

California Governor Primary Election: First Place

California Governor Primary Election: First Place

94%

Xavier Becerra

$699K Vol.

$316K today

$162K Liq.

5

California Governor Primary Election: San Diego County Winner

California Governor Primary Election: San Diego County Winner

53%

Steve Hilton

$5.2K Vol.

$2.6K Liq.

California Governor Primary Election: Santa Clara County Winner

California Governor Primary Election: Santa Clara County Winner

95%

Xavier Becerra

$9.5K Vol.

$2.9K Liq.

Parties advancing from the California Governor primary?

Parties advancing from the California Governor primary?

83%

Dem-Rep

$201K Vol.

$10.3K Liq.

3

Who will advance from the California Governor primary?

Who will advance from the California Governor primary?

98%

Xavier Becerra

$1M Vol.

$306K today

$202K Liq.

15

California Governor Election Winner

California Governor Election Winner

81%

Xavier Becerra

$33M Vol.

$2M today

$5M Liq.

73

Ends in 5 months

Los Angeles Mayoral Election

Los Angeles Mayoral Election

76%

Karen Bass

$6M Vol.

$1M today

$958K Liq.

62

California Governor Primary Election: Margin of Victory?

California Governor Primary Election: Margin of Victory?

82%

Becerra <5%

$24.6K Vol.

$23.5K Liq.

California Lieutenant Governor Election Winner

California Lieutenant Governor Election Winner

76%

Fiona Ma

$23.0K Vol.

$12.5K Liq.

Ends in 5 months

LA Mayoral Election: First Round Winner?

LA Mayoral Election: First Round Winner?

99%

Karen Bass

$617K Vol.

$117K today

$66.3K Liq.

2

Pertanyaan yang Sering Diajukan

Polymarket adalah pasar prediksi terbesar di dunia, di mana kamu bisa tetap terinformasi dan mendapat keuntungan dari pengetahuanmu dengan trading pada hal-hal terkait berita terkini, politik, olahraga, pemilu, crypto, keuangan, teknologi, budaya, termasuk topik seperti Gavin Newsom.

Polymarket saat ini memiliki 112 market aktif untuk Gavin Newsom yang memungkinkan kamu melacak atau trading prediksi seperti "Will Gavin Newsom announce Presidential run by...?". Baik kamu melacak event yang banyak diperdebatkan maupun hasil yang lebih niche, platform ini mengumpulkan peluang real-time berdasarkan lebih dari $1.8B volume trading, memberikan gambaran menyeluruh tentang sentimen penggemar dan investor.

Setiap polymarket adalah pertanyaan ya/tidak. Kamu membeli share untuk hasil "ya" atau "tidak". Harga mencerminkan peluang dan probabilitas dari kerumunan. Misalnya, jika ya di harga 30 sen, itu berarti peluang 30%. Market diselesaikan berdasarkan hasil resmi. Untuk event multi-hasil, seperti "Democratic Presidential Nominee 2028," kamu cukup trading pada hasil spesifik yang menurutmu akan menang.

Per hari ini, market paling aktif adalah "Democratic Presidential Nominee 2028," di mana kerumunan saat ini memberikan peluang 25% untuk Gavin Newsom. Peluang ini diperbarui secara real-time seiring munculnya informasi baru dan pengguna trading, menawarkan gambaran dinamis tentang apa yang pasar yakini akan terjadi dibandingkan peluang bandar tradisional.

Ini memotong kebisingan informasi. Berbeda dengan jajak pendapat atau pundit, Polymarket menunjukkan peluang real-time pada prediksi Gavin Newsom yang didukung oleh keyakinan finansial yang seringkali lebih cepat dan lebih akurat daripada pakar atau survei. Kamu mendapat pandangan yang tidak bias tentang apa yang ribuan trader pikir akan benar-benar terjadi, seringkali lebih akurat daripada jajak pendapat. Ditambah lagi, kamu bisa trading share dan berpotensi untung jika prediksimu tepat.