**Multiple frontier AI systems, including Claude Opus 5, GPT-5.6 variants, and Chinese models such as dots-note-3.0, have demonstrated gold-medal or perfect 42/42 performance on the official 2026 IMO problems through independent evaluations and leaderboards released through September 2026.** Open-weight models like DeepSeek V4 Flash and NVIDIA’s post-trained Nemotron 3 Ultra also cleared the gold threshold (around 29–30/42) using natural-language reasoning pipelines. These results reflect rapid capability gains in large language model mathematical reasoning. However, the IMO remains restricted to human high-school contestants under age 20; AI systems undergo separate post-contest testing and hold no eligibility for official medals or rankings. With the Shanghai event concluded in July without AI participation or rule changes, trader consensus heavily favors “No” at the current 86% implied probability.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · AggiornatoAI wins IMO gold medal in 2026?
AI wins IMO gold medal in 2026?
14% probabilità
$23,316 Vol.
$23,316 Vol.
31 dic 2026
14% probabilità
$23,316 Vol.
$23,316 Vol.
31 dic 2026
This market will resolve to "Yes" if any AI gets a gold medal in the International Math Olympiad between January 1, 2026 and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise this market will resolve to "No."
The resolution source is the IMO Grand Challenge (https://imo-grand-challenge.github.io/) and the Artificial Intelligence Math Olympiad (AIMO, https://aimoprize.com/). If either source demonstrates that an AI has won the challenge/prize before the resolution date, this market will resolve to "Yes".**Multiple frontier AI systems, including Claude Opus 5, GPT-5.6 variants, and Chinese models such as dots-note-3.0, have demonstrated gold-medal or perfect 42/42 performance on the official 2026 IMO problems through independent evaluations and leaderboards released through September 2026.** Open-weight models like DeepSeek V4 Flash and NVIDIA’s post-trained Nemotron 3 Ultra also cleared the gold threshold (around 29–30/42) using natural-language reasoning pipelines.
These results reflect rapid capability gains in large language model mathematical reasoning. However, the IMO remains restricted to human high-school contestants under age 20; AI systems undergo separate post-contest testing and hold no eligibility for official medals or rankings. With the Shanghai event concluded in July without AI participation or rule changes, trader consensus heavily favors “No” at the current 86% implied probability.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if any AI gets a gold medal in the International Math Olympiad between January 1, 2026 and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise this market will resolve to "No."
The resolution source is the IMO Grand Challenge (https://imo-grand-challenge.github.io/) and the Artificial Intelligence Math Olympiad (AIMO, https://aimoprize.com/). If either source demonstrates that an AI has won the challenge/prize before the resolution date, this market will resolve to "Yes".
The resolution source is the IMO Grand Challenge (https://imo-grand-challenge.github.io/) and the Artificial Intelligence Math Olympiad (AIMO, https://aimoprize.com/). If either source demonstrates that an AI has won the challenge/prize before the resolution date, this market will resolve to "Yes".
Mercato aperto: Nov 12, 2025, 5:08 PM ET
Volume
$23,316Data di fine
1 gen 2027Mercato aperto
Nov 12, 2025, 5:08 PM ETRisolutore
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to "Yes" if any AI gets a gold medal in the International Math Olympiad between January 1, 2026 and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise this market will resolve to "No."
The resolution source is the IMO Grand Challenge (https://imo-grand-challenge.github.io/) and the Artificial Intelligence Math Olympiad (AIMO, https://aimoprize.com/). If either source demonstrates that an AI has won the challenge/prize before the resolution date, this market will resolve to "Yes".**Multiple frontier AI systems, including Claude Opus 5, GPT-5.6 variants, and Chinese models such as dots-note-3.0, have demonstrated gold-medal or perfect 42/42 performance on the official 2026 IMO problems through independent evaluations and leaderboards released through September 2026.** Open-weight models like DeepSeek V4 Flash and NVIDIA’s post-trained Nemotron 3 Ultra also cleared the gold threshold (around 29–30/42) using natural-language reasoning pipelines.
These results reflect rapid capability gains in large language model mathematical reasoning. However, the IMO remains restricted to human high-school contestants under age 20; AI systems undergo separate post-contest testing and hold no eligibility for official medals or rankings. With the Shanghai event concluded in July without AI participation or rule changes, trader consensus heavily favors “No” at the current 86% implied probability.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if any AI gets a gold medal in the International Math Olympiad between January 1, 2026 and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise this market will resolve to "No."
The resolution source is the IMO Grand Challenge (https://imo-grand-challenge.github.io/) and the Artificial Intelligence Math Olympiad (AIMO, https://aimoprize.com/). If either source demonstrates that an AI has won the challenge/prize before the resolution date, this market will resolve to "Yes".
The resolution source is the IMO Grand Challenge (https://imo-grand-challenge.github.io/) and the Artificial Intelligence Math Olympiad (AIMO, https://aimoprize.com/). If either source demonstrates that an AI has won the challenge/prize before the resolution date, this market will resolve to "Yes".
Volume
$23,316Data di fine
1 gen 2027Mercato aperto
Nov 12, 2025, 5:08 PM ETRisolutore
0x65070BE91...**Multiple frontier AI systems, including Claude Opus 5, GPT-5.6 variants, and Chinese models such as dots-note-3.0, have demonstrated gold-medal or perfect 42/42 performance on the official 2026 IMO problems through independent evaluations and leaderboards released through September 2026.** Open-weight models like DeepSeek V4 Flash and NVIDIA’s post-trained Nemotron 3 Ultra also cleared the gold threshold (around 29–30/42) using natural-language reasoning pipelines. These results reflect rapid capability gains in large language model mathematical reasoning. However, the IMO remains restricted to human high-school contestants under age 20; AI systems undergo separate post-contest testing and hold no eligibility for official medals or rankings. With the Shanghai event concluded in July without AI participation or rule changes, trader consensus heavily favors “No” at the current 86% implied probability.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · Aggiornato
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