Alix Earle’s established rapport with the Call Her Daddy audience from her January 2025 guest spot and earlier appearances creates baseline momentum for a return, yet the 52% market-implied odds reflect a near-even split driven by the public rift that followed her Hot Mess podcast’s February 2025 exit from Alex Cooper’s Unwell Network. Cooper’s April 2026 TikTok directly called out perceived passive-aggressive behavior, while Earle avoided addressing the tension during her May 2026 Today show appearance promoting her Sports Illustrated Swimsuit cover. Traders are weighing the show’s history of candid influencer conversations against the risk that lingering animosity delays or derails any rebooking before year-end. A confirmed reconciliation, joint social media post, or scheduling announcement could push the probability sharply higher, whereas continued silence or escalated public commentary would likely favor “No.”