Seasonal influenza activity remains minimal during summer months, with CDC FluSurv-NET data showing weekly hospitalization rates at or below 0.1 per 100,000 population in recent off-season weeks such as Week 21 and 22. Positive test percentages have stayed low around 0.6% in late July surveillance, consistent with historical patterns of negligible transmission outside peak winter months. Traders appear to weigh this baseline against any minor upticks from sporadic cases or reporting variability, supporting the strong market-implied probability for rates below 0.1 in Week 30. Updated FluView reports and model forecasts for early August will provide the next key data points influencing resolution.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · AggiornatoTasso di ospedalizzazione per influenza Settimana 30, 2026?
<0,1 82%
0,1 8%
>0,1 7%
<0,1
82%
0,1
8%
>0,1
7%
<0,1 82%
0,1 8%
>0,1 7%
<0,1
82%
0,1
8%
>0,1
7%
The resolution source for this market will be CDC FluView / FluSurv-NET (see: https://www.cdc.gov/fluview/index.html). If the FluSurv-NET hospitalization rate for the specified week is not released by 11:59 PM ET on the tenth calendar day following the date of the prior FluView weekly report release, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
CDC FluView reports the weekly FluSurv-NET hospitalization rate per 100,000 population to one decimal point (e.g., 0.1). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Note: Only the CDC FluSurv-NET weekly hospitalization rate per 100,000 population for the specified week will qualify, regardless of the cumulative influenza-associated hospitalization rate, estimates, projections, state-level reports, or other influenza surveillance metrics published by the CDC or other sources.
Mercato aperto: Jul 31, 2026, 5:51 PM ET
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be CDC FluView / FluSurv-NET (see: https://www.cdc.gov/fluview/index.html). If the FluSurv-NET hospitalization rate for the specified week is not released by 11:59 PM ET on the tenth calendar day following the date of the prior FluView weekly report release, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
CDC FluView reports the weekly FluSurv-NET hospitalization rate per 100,000 population to one decimal point (e.g., 0.1). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Note: Only the CDC FluSurv-NET weekly hospitalization rate per 100,000 population for the specified week will qualify, regardless of the cumulative influenza-associated hospitalization rate, estimates, projections, state-level reports, or other influenza surveillance metrics published by the CDC or other sources.
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...Seasonal influenza activity remains minimal during summer months, with CDC FluSurv-NET data showing weekly hospitalization rates at or below 0.1 per 100,000 population in recent off-season weeks such as Week 21 and 22. Positive test percentages have stayed low around 0.6% in late July surveillance, consistent with historical patterns of negligible transmission outside peak winter months. Traders appear to weigh this baseline against any minor upticks from sporadic cases or reporting variability, supporting the strong market-implied probability for rates below 0.1 in Week 30. Updated FluView reports and model forecasts for early August will provide the next key data points influencing resolution.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · Aggiornato

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