**Current ensemble forecasts from major meteorological centers indicate a maximum temperature of 20–22°C for Amsterdam on July 2, aligning with the market's leading implied probabilities centered on 21°C.** Early July climatology for the region shows average highs near 21–22°C, driven by maritime air masses from the North Sea that limit extreme warmth. Recent model runs reflect a post-heatwave transition following late-June warmth and thunderstorms, with westerly flow and moderate cloud cover expected to cap daytime peaks. Official guidance, including from sources like the Met Office, projects a high near 21°C under partly cloudy skies, while slight variations in timing of any showers or wind shifts could nudge readings by 1–2°C. This scientific consensus, grounded in dynamical models and historical analogs, underpins trader positioning around these moderate outcomes ahead of final observational data.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · AggiornatoHighest temperature in Amsterdam on July 2?
Highest temperature in Amsterdam on July 2?
21°C 100.0%
16°C or below <1%
17°C <1%
18°C <1%
$76,805 Vol.
$76,805 Vol.
2 lug 2026
16°C or below
No
17°C
No
18°C
No
19°C
No
20°C
No
21°C
Yes
22°C
No
23°C
No
24°C
No
25°C
No
26°C or higher
No
21°C 100.0%
16°C or below <1%
17°C <1%
18°C <1%
$76,805 Vol.
$76,805 Vol.
2 lug 2026
16°C or below
$2,044 Vol.
No
17°C
$2,035 Vol.
No
18°C
$6,298 Vol.
No
19°C
$10,719 Vol.
No
20°C
$17,947 Vol.
No
21°C
$12,457 Vol.
Yes
22°C
$9,729 Vol.
No
23°C
$9,284 Vol.
No
24°C
$2,756 Vol.
No
25°C
$1,017 Vol.
No
26°C or higher
$2,519 Vol.
No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Amsterdam Airport Schiphol Station in degrees Celsius on 2 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Amsterdam Airport Schiphol Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nl/schiphol/EHAM.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Current ensemble forecasts from major meteorological centers indicate a maximum temperature of 20–22°C for Amsterdam on July 2, aligning with the market's leading implied probabilities centered on 21°C.** Early July climatology for the region shows average highs near 21–22°C, driven by maritime air masses from the North Sea that limit extreme warmth. Recent model runs reflect a post-heatwave transition following late-June warmth and thunderstorms, with westerly flow and moderate cloud cover expected to cap daytime peaks. Official guidance, including from sources like the Met Office, projects a high near 21°C under partly cloudy skies, while slight variations in timing of any showers or wind shifts could nudge readings by 1–2°C. This scientific consensus, grounded in dynamical models and historical analogs, underpins trader positioning around these moderate outcomes ahead of final observational data.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Amsterdam Airport Schiphol Station in degrees Celsius on 2 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Amsterdam Airport Schiphol Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nl/schiphol/EHAM.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Amsterdam Airport Schiphol Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nl/schiphol/EHAM.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Mercato aperto: Jun 30, 2026, 1:02 AM ET
Volume
$76,805Data di fine
2 lug 2026Mercato aperto
Jun 30, 2026, 1:02 AM ETFonte di risoluzione
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nl/schiphol/EHAMResolver
0x69c47De9D...Esito proposto: No
Nessuna contestazione
Esito finale: No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Amsterdam Airport Schiphol Station in degrees Celsius on 2 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Amsterdam Airport Schiphol Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nl/schiphol/EHAM.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Current ensemble forecasts from major meteorological centers indicate a maximum temperature of 20–22°C for Amsterdam on July 2, aligning with the market's leading implied probabilities centered on 21°C.** Early July climatology for the region shows average highs near 21–22°C, driven by maritime air masses from the North Sea that limit extreme warmth. Recent model runs reflect a post-heatwave transition following late-June warmth and thunderstorms, with westerly flow and moderate cloud cover expected to cap daytime peaks. Official guidance, including from sources like the Met Office, projects a high near 21°C under partly cloudy skies, while slight variations in timing of any showers or wind shifts could nudge readings by 1–2°C. This scientific consensus, grounded in dynamical models and historical analogs, underpins trader positioning around these moderate outcomes ahead of final observational data.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Amsterdam Airport Schiphol Station in degrees Celsius on 2 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Amsterdam Airport Schiphol Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nl/schiphol/EHAM.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Amsterdam Airport Schiphol Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nl/schiphol/EHAM.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$76,805Data di fine
2 lug 2026Mercato aperto
Jun 30, 2026, 1:02 AM ETFonte di risoluzione
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nl/schiphol/EHAMResolver
0x69c47De9D...Esito proposto: No
Nessuna contestazione
Esito finale: No
**Current ensemble forecasts from major meteorological centers indicate a maximum temperature of 20–22°C for Amsterdam on July 2, aligning with the market's leading implied probabilities centered on 21°C.** Early July climatology for the region shows average highs near 21–22°C, driven by maritime air masses from the North Sea that limit extreme warmth. Recent model runs reflect a post-heatwave transition following late-June warmth and thunderstorms, with westerly flow and moderate cloud cover expected to cap daytime peaks. Official guidance, including from sources like the Met Office, projects a high near 21°C under partly cloudy skies, while slight variations in timing of any showers or wind shifts could nudge readings by 1–2°C. This scientific consensus, grounded in dynamical models and historical analogs, underpins trader positioning around these moderate outcomes ahead of final observational data.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · Aggiornato
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