Official observations from the Turkish State Meteorological Service (MGM) at Ankara's Esenboğa International Airport—the market's designated resolution source—confirm the highest temperature on April 25, 2026, peaked at 18°C, driving trader consensus to a 100% implied probability on that outcome as real-time hourly data rolled in throughout the day. This aligns with recent cool anomalies over the past week, where northerly winds and persistent cloud cover capped daily highs at 16–18°C, consistent with late-April climatological averages of about 17.3°C (Saffir-Simpson irrelevant here; standard surface measurements). Pre-event forecast model ensembles from ECMWF and GFS showed similar mild conditions without intensification potential. Scenarios challenging this would involve rare data revisions from quality control or sensor recalibration by MGM, though maximum temperatures rarely shift post-validation.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · AggiornatoHighest temperature in Ankara on April 25?
Highest temperature in Ankara on April 25?
18°C 100.0%
10°C or below <1%
11°C <1%
12°C <1%
$103,990 Vol.
$103,990 Vol.
25 apr 2026
10°C or below
No
11°C
No
12°C
No
13°C
No
14°C
No
15°C
No
16°C
No
17°C
No
18°C
Yes
19°C
No
20°C or higher
No
18°C 100.0%
10°C or below <1%
11°C <1%
12°C <1%
$103,990 Vol.
$103,990 Vol.
25 apr 2026
10°C or below
$1,273 Vol.
No
11°C
$1,466 Vol.
No
12°C
$1,295 Vol.
No
13°C
$2,083 Vol.
No
14°C
$24,017 Vol.
No
15°C
$9,108 Vol.
No
16°C
$10,668 Vol.
No
17°C
$12,861 Vol.
No
18°C
$18,804 Vol.
Yes
19°C
$11,767 Vol.
No
20°C or higher
$10,649 Vol.
No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Esenboğa Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 25 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Esenboğa Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tr/%C3%A7ubuk/LTAC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Official observations from the Turkish State Meteorological Service (MGM) at Ankara's Esenboğa International Airport—the market's designated resolution source—confirm the highest temperature on April 25, 2026, peaked at 18°C, driving trader consensus to a 100% implied probability on that outcome as real-time hourly data rolled in throughout the day. This aligns with recent cool anomalies over the past week, where northerly winds and persistent cloud cover capped daily highs at 16–18°C, consistent with late-April climatological averages of about 17.3°C (Saffir-Simpson irrelevant here; standard surface measurements). Pre-event forecast model ensembles from ECMWF and GFS showed similar mild conditions without intensification potential. Scenarios challenging this would involve rare data revisions from quality control or sensor recalibration by MGM, though maximum temperatures rarely shift post-validation.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Esenboğa Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 25 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Esenboğa Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tr/%C3%A7ubuk/LTAC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Esenboğa Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tr/%C3%A7ubuk/LTAC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Mercato aperto: Apr 23, 2026, 12:13 AM ET
Volume
$103,990Data di fine
25 apr 2026Mercato aperto
Apr 23, 2026, 12:13 AM ETFonte di risoluzione
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tr/%C3%A7ubuk/LTACResolver
0x69c47De9D...Esito proposto: No
Nessuna contestazione
Esito finale: No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Esenboğa Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 25 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Esenboğa Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tr/%C3%A7ubuk/LTAC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Official observations from the Turkish State Meteorological Service (MGM) at Ankara's Esenboğa International Airport—the market's designated resolution source—confirm the highest temperature on April 25, 2026, peaked at 18°C, driving trader consensus to a 100% implied probability on that outcome as real-time hourly data rolled in throughout the day. This aligns with recent cool anomalies over the past week, where northerly winds and persistent cloud cover capped daily highs at 16–18°C, consistent with late-April climatological averages of about 17.3°C (Saffir-Simpson irrelevant here; standard surface measurements). Pre-event forecast model ensembles from ECMWF and GFS showed similar mild conditions without intensification potential. Scenarios challenging this would involve rare data revisions from quality control or sensor recalibration by MGM, though maximum temperatures rarely shift post-validation.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Esenboğa Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 25 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Esenboğa Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tr/%C3%A7ubuk/LTAC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Esenboğa Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tr/%C3%A7ubuk/LTAC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Volume
$103,990Data di fine
25 apr 2026Mercato aperto
Apr 23, 2026, 12:13 AM ETFonte di risoluzione
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tr/%C3%A7ubuk/LTACResolver
0x69c47De9D...Esito proposto: No
Nessuna contestazione
Esito finale: No
Official observations from the Turkish State Meteorological Service (MGM) at Ankara's Esenboğa International Airport—the market's designated resolution source—confirm the highest temperature on April 25, 2026, peaked at 18°C, driving trader consensus to a 100% implied probability on that outcome as real-time hourly data rolled in throughout the day. This aligns with recent cool anomalies over the past week, where northerly winds and persistent cloud cover capped daily highs at 16–18°C, consistent with late-April climatological averages of about 17.3°C (Saffir-Simpson irrelevant here; standard surface measurements). Pre-event forecast model ensembles from ECMWF and GFS showed similar mild conditions without intensification potential. Scenarios challenging this would involve rare data revisions from quality control or sensor recalibration by MGM, though maximum temperatures rarely shift post-validation.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · Aggiornato
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