Official meteorological observations and forecast models from agencies monitoring Ankara have converged on a daily maximum of 26°C for June 15, 2026, driving the near-certain market-implied probability. Recent data show clear skies, light winds, and temperatures climbing steadily to this threshold by afternoon without exceeding it, aligning with climatological norms for mid-June in the region where highs average near 25°C. This skin-in-the-game consensus reflects verified station readings rather than projections. A late surge from unexpected solar heating or a station-specific anomaly could theoretically alter the official tally, though current conditions make such shifts improbable before resolution.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · AggiornatoHighest temperature in Ankara on June 15?
Highest temperature in Ankara on June 15?
26°C 100.0%
20°C or below <1%
21°C <1%
22°C <1%
$58,366 Vol.
$58,366 Vol.
15 giu 2026
20°C or below
No
21°C
No
22°C
No
23°C
No
24°C
No
25°C
No
26°C
Yes
27°C
No
28°C
No
29°C
No
30°C or higher
No
26°C 100.0%
20°C or below <1%
21°C <1%
22°C <1%
$58,366 Vol.
$58,366 Vol.
15 giu 2026
20°C or below
$1,320 Vol.
No
21°C
$1,793 Vol.
No
22°C
$2,297 Vol.
No
23°C
$4,046 Vol.
No
24°C
$5,413 Vol.
No
25°C
$20,276 Vol.
No
26°C
$8,457 Vol.
Yes
27°C
$7,369 Vol.
No
28°C
$3,626 Vol.
No
29°C
$1,797 Vol.
No
30°C or higher
$1,970 Vol.
No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Esenboğa Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 15 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Esenboğa Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tr/%C3%A7ubuk/LTAC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Official meteorological observations and forecast models from agencies monitoring Ankara have converged on a daily maximum of 26°C for June 15, 2026, driving the near-certain market-implied probability. Recent data show clear skies, light winds, and temperatures climbing steadily to this threshold by afternoon without exceeding it, aligning with climatological norms for mid-June in the region where highs average near 25°C. This skin-in-the-game consensus reflects verified station readings rather than projections. A late surge from unexpected solar heating or a station-specific anomaly could theoretically alter the official tally, though current conditions make such shifts improbable before resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Esenboğa Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 15 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Esenboğa Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tr/%C3%A7ubuk/LTAC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Esenboğa Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tr/%C3%A7ubuk/LTAC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Mercato aperto: Jun 13, 2026, 12:10 AM ET
Volume
$58,366Data di fine
15 giu 2026Mercato aperto
Jun 13, 2026, 12:10 AM ETFonte di risoluzione
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tr/%C3%A7ubuk/LTACResolver
0x69c47De9D...Esito proposto: No
Nessuna contestazione
Esito finale: No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Esenboğa Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 15 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Esenboğa Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tr/%C3%A7ubuk/LTAC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Official meteorological observations and forecast models from agencies monitoring Ankara have converged on a daily maximum of 26°C for June 15, 2026, driving the near-certain market-implied probability. Recent data show clear skies, light winds, and temperatures climbing steadily to this threshold by afternoon without exceeding it, aligning with climatological norms for mid-June in the region where highs average near 25°C. This skin-in-the-game consensus reflects verified station readings rather than projections. A late surge from unexpected solar heating or a station-specific anomaly could theoretically alter the official tally, though current conditions make such shifts improbable before resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Esenboğa Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 15 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Esenboğa Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tr/%C3%A7ubuk/LTAC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Esenboğa Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tr/%C3%A7ubuk/LTAC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$58,366Data di fine
15 giu 2026Mercato aperto
Jun 13, 2026, 12:10 AM ETFonte di risoluzione
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tr/%C3%A7ubuk/LTACResolver
0x69c47De9D...Esito proposto: No
Nessuna contestazione
Esito finale: No
Official meteorological observations and forecast models from agencies monitoring Ankara have converged on a daily maximum of 26°C for June 15, 2026, driving the near-certain market-implied probability. Recent data show clear skies, light winds, and temperatures climbing steadily to this threshold by afternoon without exceeding it, aligning with climatological norms for mid-June in the region where highs average near 25°C. This skin-in-the-game consensus reflects verified station readings rather than projections. A late surge from unexpected solar heating or a station-specific anomaly could theoretically alter the official tally, though current conditions make such shifts improbable before resolution.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · Aggiornato
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