**Current numerical weather prediction models, including consensus runs from ECMWF and GFS, along with real-time surface observations from Turkish meteorological stations, support a maximum temperature of 29°C in Ankara on June 16, 2026.** Stable high-pressure conditions, minimal cloud cover, and light southerly flow have allowed efficient daytime heating without significant convective interference, aligning the forecast tightly with this value. Historical June climatology for central Anatolia places typical maxima in the 26–29°C range, providing additional context for the tight market consensus. Scenarios that could realistically shift the outcome include unexpected afternoon cloud build-up, a stronger-than-forecast northerly wind component, or revisions in post-processed observational data from the official reporting station, though these remain low-probability given the current model agreement.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · AggiornatoHighest temperature in Ankara on June 16?
Highest temperature in Ankara on June 16?
29°C 100.0%
23°C or below <1%
24°C <1%
25°C <1%
$51,277 Vol.
$51,277 Vol.
16 giu 2026
23°C or below
No
24°C
No
25°C
No
26°C
No
27°C
No
28°C
No
29°C
Yes
30°C
No
31°C
No
32°C
No
33°C or higher
No
29°C 100.0%
23°C or below <1%
24°C <1%
25°C <1%
$51,277 Vol.
$51,277 Vol.
16 giu 2026
23°C or below
$1,087 Vol.
No
24°C
$2,237 Vol.
No
25°C
$1,612 Vol.
No
26°C
$3,787 Vol.
No
27°C
$6,474 Vol.
No
28°C
$8,378 Vol.
No
29°C
$7,228 Vol.
Yes
30°C
$10,455 Vol.
No
31°C
$7,497 Vol.
No
32°C
$1,781 Vol.
No
33°C or higher
$741 Vol.
No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Esenboğa Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 16 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Esenboğa Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tr/%C3%A7ubuk/LTAC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Current numerical weather prediction models, including consensus runs from ECMWF and GFS, along with real-time surface observations from Turkish meteorological stations, support a maximum temperature of 29°C in Ankara on June 16, 2026.** Stable high-pressure conditions, minimal cloud cover, and light southerly flow have allowed efficient daytime heating without significant convective interference, aligning the forecast tightly with this value. Historical June climatology for central Anatolia places typical maxima in the 26–29°C range, providing additional context for the tight market consensus.
Scenarios that could realistically shift the outcome include unexpected afternoon cloud build-up, a stronger-than-forecast northerly wind component, or revisions in post-processed observational data from the official reporting station, though these remain low-probability given the current model agreement.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Esenboğa Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 16 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Esenboğa Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tr/%C3%A7ubuk/LTAC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Esenboğa Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tr/%C3%A7ubuk/LTAC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Mercato aperto: Jun 14, 2026, 12:04 AM ET
Volume
$51,277Data di fine
16 giu 2026Mercato aperto
Jun 14, 2026, 12:04 AM ETFonte di risoluzione
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tr/%C3%A7ubuk/LTACResolver
0x69c47De9D...Esito proposto: No
Nessuna contestazione
Esito finale: No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Esenboğa Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 16 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Esenboğa Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tr/%C3%A7ubuk/LTAC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Current numerical weather prediction models, including consensus runs from ECMWF and GFS, along with real-time surface observations from Turkish meteorological stations, support a maximum temperature of 29°C in Ankara on June 16, 2026.** Stable high-pressure conditions, minimal cloud cover, and light southerly flow have allowed efficient daytime heating without significant convective interference, aligning the forecast tightly with this value. Historical June climatology for central Anatolia places typical maxima in the 26–29°C range, providing additional context for the tight market consensus.
Scenarios that could realistically shift the outcome include unexpected afternoon cloud build-up, a stronger-than-forecast northerly wind component, or revisions in post-processed observational data from the official reporting station, though these remain low-probability given the current model agreement.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Esenboğa Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 16 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Esenboğa Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tr/%C3%A7ubuk/LTAC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Esenboğa Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tr/%C3%A7ubuk/LTAC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$51,277Data di fine
16 giu 2026Mercato aperto
Jun 14, 2026, 12:04 AM ETFonte di risoluzione
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tr/%C3%A7ubuk/LTACResolver
0x69c47De9D...Esito proposto: No
Nessuna contestazione
Esito finale: No
**Current numerical weather prediction models, including consensus runs from ECMWF and GFS, along with real-time surface observations from Turkish meteorological stations, support a maximum temperature of 29°C in Ankara on June 16, 2026.** Stable high-pressure conditions, minimal cloud cover, and light southerly flow have allowed efficient daytime heating without significant convective interference, aligning the forecast tightly with this value. Historical June climatology for central Anatolia places typical maxima in the 26–29°C range, providing additional context for the tight market consensus. Scenarios that could realistically shift the outcome include unexpected afternoon cloud build-up, a stronger-than-forecast northerly wind component, or revisions in post-processed observational data from the official reporting station, though these remain low-probability given the current model agreement.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · Aggiornato
Fai attenzione ai link esterni.
Fai attenzione ai link esterni.
Domande frequenti