Official observations from the National Weather Service at Austin-Bergstrom International Airport (KAUS) confirm the highest temperature on April 17, 2026, reached 89°F at 2:52 PM CDT, driving trader consensus to 100% implied probability for the 88-89°F outcome on Polymarket. This peak aligned with southerly winds sustaining above-normal warmth—9°F departure from the April average of 80°F—ahead of a late-season cold front, under partly sunny skies with minimal cloud cover. Short-range forecast models from NOAA accurately predicted this near-90°F high, reflecting consensus on upper-air ridging and low precipitation risk. Scenarios challenging this include rare post hoc data revisions from ASOS instrumentation audits or discrepancies in Weather Underground archives, though official NWS reports carry authoritative weight for resolution.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · AggiornatoLa temperatura più alta di Austin il 17 aprile?
88-89°F 100.0%
77°F o inferiore <1%
78-79°F <1%
80-81°F <1%
$71,817 Vol.
$71,817 Vol.
77°F o inferiore
No
78-79°F
No
80-81°F
No
82-83°F
No
84-85°F
No
86-87°F
No
88-89°F
Sì
90-91°F
No
92-93°F
No
94-95°F
No
96°F o superiore
No
88-89°F 100.0%
77°F o inferiore <1%
78-79°F <1%
80-81°F <1%
$71,817 Vol.
$71,817 Vol.
77°F o inferiore
No
78-79°F
No
80-81°F
No
82-83°F
No
84-85°F
No
86-87°F
No
88-89°F
Sì
90-91°F
No
92-93°F
No
94-95°F
No
96°F o superiore
No
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Austin-Bergstrom International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/austin/KAUS.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Mercato aperto: Apr 15, 2026, 6:05 AM ET
Fonte di risoluzione
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/austin/KAUSResolver
0x69c47De9D...Esito proposto: No
Nessuna contestazione
Esito finale: No
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Austin-Bergstrom International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/austin/KAUS.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Fonte di risoluzione
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/austin/KAUSResolver
0x69c47De9D...Esito proposto: No
Nessuna contestazione
Esito finale: No
Official observations from the National Weather Service at Austin-Bergstrom International Airport (KAUS) confirm the highest temperature on April 17, 2026, reached 89°F at 2:52 PM CDT, driving trader consensus to 100% implied probability for the 88-89°F outcome on Polymarket. This peak aligned with southerly winds sustaining above-normal warmth—9°F departure from the April average of 80°F—ahead of a late-season cold front, under partly sunny skies with minimal cloud cover. Short-range forecast models from NOAA accurately predicted this near-90°F high, reflecting consensus on upper-air ridging and low precipitation risk. Scenarios challenging this include rare post hoc data revisions from ASOS instrumentation audits or discrepancies in Weather Underground archives, though official NWS reports carry authoritative weight for resolution.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · Aggiornato

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