Recent National Weather Service and model guidance, including the National Blend of Models, points to Austin highs of 96–98°F on June 26 under a strengthening subtropical ridge that promotes subsidence warming, clear skies, and strong daytime insolation. Southerly flow maintains dew points in the low 70s, limiting extreme surface heating while steering patterns keep any Gulf moisture offshore. This consensus supports the market’s leading 96–97°F bin, with differentiation among adjacent ranges hinging on small variations in boundary-layer mixing depth, afternoon cloud development, and exact wind speeds that could shave or add a degree or two. Historical June averages near 93°F underscore the current anomaly, though ensemble spread leaves room for 94–95°F or 98–99°F outcomes if model runs shift overnight.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · AggiornatoHighest temperature in Austin on June 26?
Highest temperature in Austin on June 26?
94-95°F 100.0%
89°F or below <1%
90-91°F <1%
92-93°F <1%
$35,164 Vol.
$35,164 Vol.
26 giu 2026
89°F or below
No
90-91°F
No
92-93°F
No
94-95°F
Yes
96-97°F
No
98-99°F
No
100-101°F
No
102-103°F
No
104-105°F
No
106-107°F
No
108°F or higher
No
94-95°F 100.0%
89°F or below <1%
90-91°F <1%
92-93°F <1%
$35,164 Vol.
$35,164 Vol.
26 giu 2026
89°F or below
$1,360 Vol.
No
90-91°F
$5,222 Vol.
No
92-93°F
$8,003 Vol.
No
94-95°F
$7,964 Vol.
Yes
96-97°F
$3,475 Vol.
No
98-99°F
$1,904 Vol.
No
100-101°F
$1,933 Vol.
No
102-103°F
$1,343 Vol.
No
104-105°F
$913 Vol.
No
106-107°F
$1,252 Vol.
No
108°F or higher
$1,794 Vol.
No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Austin-Bergstrom International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 26 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Austin-Bergstrom International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/austin/KAUS.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent National Weather Service and model guidance, including the National Blend of Models, points to Austin highs of 96–98°F on June 26 under a strengthening subtropical ridge that promotes subsidence warming, clear skies, and strong daytime insolation. Southerly flow maintains dew points in the low 70s, limiting extreme surface heating while steering patterns keep any Gulf moisture offshore. This consensus supports the market’s leading 96–97°F bin, with differentiation among adjacent ranges hinging on small variations in boundary-layer mixing depth, afternoon cloud development, and exact wind speeds that could shave or add a degree or two. Historical June averages near 93°F underscore the current anomaly, though ensemble spread leaves room for 94–95°F or 98–99°F outcomes if model runs shift overnight.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Austin-Bergstrom International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 26 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Austin-Bergstrom International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/austin/KAUS.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Austin-Bergstrom International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/austin/KAUS.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Mercato aperto: Jun 24, 2026, 9:02 PM ET
Volume
$35,164Data di fine
26 giu 2026Mercato aperto
Jun 24, 2026, 9:02 PM ETFonte di risoluzione
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/austin/KAUSResolver
0x69c47De9D...Esito proposto: No
Nessuna contestazione
Esito finale: No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Austin-Bergstrom International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 26 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Austin-Bergstrom International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/austin/KAUS.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent National Weather Service and model guidance, including the National Blend of Models, points to Austin highs of 96–98°F on June 26 under a strengthening subtropical ridge that promotes subsidence warming, clear skies, and strong daytime insolation. Southerly flow maintains dew points in the low 70s, limiting extreme surface heating while steering patterns keep any Gulf moisture offshore. This consensus supports the market’s leading 96–97°F bin, with differentiation among adjacent ranges hinging on small variations in boundary-layer mixing depth, afternoon cloud development, and exact wind speeds that could shave or add a degree or two. Historical June averages near 93°F underscore the current anomaly, though ensemble spread leaves room for 94–95°F or 98–99°F outcomes if model runs shift overnight.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Austin-Bergstrom International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 26 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Austin-Bergstrom International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/austin/KAUS.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Austin-Bergstrom International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/austin/KAUS.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$35,164Data di fine
26 giu 2026Mercato aperto
Jun 24, 2026, 9:02 PM ETFonte di risoluzione
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/austin/KAUSResolver
0x69c47De9D...Esito proposto: No
Nessuna contestazione
Esito finale: No
Recent National Weather Service and model guidance, including the National Blend of Models, points to Austin highs of 96–98°F on June 26 under a strengthening subtropical ridge that promotes subsidence warming, clear skies, and strong daytime insolation. Southerly flow maintains dew points in the low 70s, limiting extreme surface heating while steering patterns keep any Gulf moisture offshore. This consensus supports the market’s leading 96–97°F bin, with differentiation among adjacent ranges hinging on small variations in boundary-layer mixing depth, afternoon cloud development, and exact wind speeds that could shave or add a degree or two. Historical June averages near 93°F underscore the current anomaly, though ensemble spread leaves room for 94–95°F or 98–99°F outcomes if model runs shift overnight.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · Aggiornato
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