Recent short-range forecasts from models and agencies indicate a typical mid-winter pattern over Cape Town, with partly cloudy skies, light northwesterly winds, and limited daytime heating moderated by the cold Benguela Current. This setup supports a maximum temperature most likely between 16–18 °C, aligning with the tightly clustered market-implied odds around those outcomes. Key differentiating factors include subtle variations in cloud cover and onshore flow strength, which can suppress or allow modest warming; historical July averages near 17 °C provide climatological context, while the absence of strong frontal systems or clear-sky radiative heating keeps extremes improbable. Updated model runs in the next 24–48 hours will refine the precise peak before resolution.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · AggiornatoLa temperatura più alta a Città del Capo il 18 luglio?
La temperatura più alta a Città del Capo il 18 luglio?
16°C 100.0%
12°C o inferiore <1%
13°C <1%
14°C <1%
$44,684 Vol.
$44,684 Vol.
18 lug 2026
12°C o inferiore
No
13°C
No
14°C
No
15°C
No
16°C
Sì
17°C
No
18°C
No
19°C
No
20°C
No
21°C
No
22°C o superiore
No
16°C 100.0%
12°C o inferiore <1%
13°C <1%
14°C <1%
$44,684 Vol.
$44,684 Vol.
18 lug 2026
12°C o inferiore
$239 Vol.
No
13°C
$847 Vol.
No
14°C
$3,933 Vol.
No
15°C
$4,328 Vol.
No
16°C
$5,334 Vol.
Sì
17°C
$3,475 Vol.
No
18°C
$2,668 Vol.
No
19°C
$6,318 Vol.
No
20°C
$11,372 Vol.
No
21°C
$3,965 Vol.
No
22°C o superiore
$2,207 Vol.
No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Cape Town International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 18 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Cape Town International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/za/matroosfontein/FACT.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent short-range forecasts from models and agencies indicate a typical mid-winter pattern over Cape Town, with partly cloudy skies, light northwesterly winds, and limited daytime heating moderated by the cold Benguela Current. This setup supports a maximum temperature most likely between 16–18 °C, aligning with the tightly clustered market-implied odds around those outcomes. Key differentiating factors include subtle variations in cloud cover and onshore flow strength, which can suppress or allow modest warming; historical July averages near 17 °C provide climatological context, while the absence of strong frontal systems or clear-sky radiative heating keeps extremes improbable. Updated model runs in the next 24–48 hours will refine the precise peak before resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Cape Town International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 18 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Cape Town International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/za/matroosfontein/FACT.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Cape Town International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/za/matroosfontein/FACT.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Mercato aperto: Jul 16, 2026, 1:05 AM ET
Volume
$44,684Data di fine
18 lug 2026Mercato aperto
Jul 16, 2026, 1:05 AM ETFonte di risoluzione
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/za/matroosfontein/FACTResolver
0x69c47De9D...Esito proposto: No
Nessuna contestazione
Esito finale: No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Cape Town International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 18 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Cape Town International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/za/matroosfontein/FACT.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent short-range forecasts from models and agencies indicate a typical mid-winter pattern over Cape Town, with partly cloudy skies, light northwesterly winds, and limited daytime heating moderated by the cold Benguela Current. This setup supports a maximum temperature most likely between 16–18 °C, aligning with the tightly clustered market-implied odds around those outcomes. Key differentiating factors include subtle variations in cloud cover and onshore flow strength, which can suppress or allow modest warming; historical July averages near 17 °C provide climatological context, while the absence of strong frontal systems or clear-sky radiative heating keeps extremes improbable. Updated model runs in the next 24–48 hours will refine the precise peak before resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Cape Town International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 18 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Cape Town International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/za/matroosfontein/FACT.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Cape Town International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/za/matroosfontein/FACT.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$44,684Data di fine
18 lug 2026Mercato aperto
Jul 16, 2026, 1:05 AM ETFonte di risoluzione
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/za/matroosfontein/FACTResolver
0x69c47De9D...Esito proposto: No
Nessuna contestazione
Esito finale: No
Recent short-range forecasts from models and agencies indicate a typical mid-winter pattern over Cape Town, with partly cloudy skies, light northwesterly winds, and limited daytime heating moderated by the cold Benguela Current. This setup supports a maximum temperature most likely between 16–18 °C, aligning with the tightly clustered market-implied odds around those outcomes. Key differentiating factors include subtle variations in cloud cover and onshore flow strength, which can suppress or allow modest warming; historical July averages near 17 °C provide climatological context, while the absence of strong frontal systems or clear-sky radiative heating keeps extremes improbable. Updated model runs in the next 24–48 hours will refine the precise peak before resolution.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · Aggiornato
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