Recent short-range forecast models from agencies like the China Meteorological Administration indicate variable atmospheric conditions over Chengdu in the coming days, with a mix of cloud cover, humidity near 70-80%, and potential isolated thunderstorms moderating peak heating. These factors create tight clustering around 28–30°C highs, as daytime solar radiation and regional monsoon moisture balance against cooling from precipitation and reduced insolation. Subtle model differences in storm timing and boundary-layer mixing explain the narrow spread among leading outcomes, while historical June averages near 29°C provide a baseline tempered by current synoptic patterns. Updated runs ahead of June 20 will likely refine the precise maximum recorded at official stations.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · AggiornatoHighest temperature in Chengdu on June 20?
Highest temperature in Chengdu on June 20?
28°C 100.0%
24°C or below <1%
25°C <1%
26°C <1%
$231,560 Vol.
$231,560 Vol.
20 giu 2026
24°C or below
No
25°C
No
26°C
No
27°C
No
28°C
Yes
29°C
No
30°C
No
31°C
No
32°C
No
33°C
No
34°C or higher
No
28°C 100.0%
24°C or below <1%
25°C <1%
26°C <1%
$231,560 Vol.
$231,560 Vol.
20 giu 2026
24°C or below
$22,842 Vol.
No
25°C
$24,940 Vol.
No
26°C
$46,841 Vol.
No
27°C
$65,457 Vol.
No
28°C
$32,682 Vol.
Yes
29°C
$8,658 Vol.
No
30°C
$5,222 Vol.
No
31°C
$4,783 Vol.
No
32°C
$4,396 Vol.
No
33°C
$6,123 Vol.
No
34°C or higher
$9,614 Vol.
No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 20 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/chengdu/ZUUU.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent short-range forecast models from agencies like the China Meteorological Administration indicate variable atmospheric conditions over Chengdu in the coming days, with a mix of cloud cover, humidity near 70-80%, and potential isolated thunderstorms moderating peak heating. These factors create tight clustering around 28–30°C highs, as daytime solar radiation and regional monsoon moisture balance against cooling from precipitation and reduced insolation. Subtle model differences in storm timing and boundary-layer mixing explain the narrow spread among leading outcomes, while historical June averages near 29°C provide a baseline tempered by current synoptic patterns. Updated runs ahead of June 20 will likely refine the precise maximum recorded at official stations.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 20 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/chengdu/ZUUU.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/chengdu/ZUUU.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Mercato aperto: Jun 18, 2026, 12:04 AM ET
Volume
$231,560Data di fine
20 giu 2026Mercato aperto
Jun 18, 2026, 12:04 AM ETFonte di risoluzione
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/chengdu/ZUUUResolver
0x69c47De9D...Esito proposto: No
Nessuna contestazione
Esito finale: No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 20 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/chengdu/ZUUU.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent short-range forecast models from agencies like the China Meteorological Administration indicate variable atmospheric conditions over Chengdu in the coming days, with a mix of cloud cover, humidity near 70-80%, and potential isolated thunderstorms moderating peak heating. These factors create tight clustering around 28–30°C highs, as daytime solar radiation and regional monsoon moisture balance against cooling from precipitation and reduced insolation. Subtle model differences in storm timing and boundary-layer mixing explain the narrow spread among leading outcomes, while historical June averages near 29°C provide a baseline tempered by current synoptic patterns. Updated runs ahead of June 20 will likely refine the precise maximum recorded at official stations.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 20 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/chengdu/ZUUU.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/chengdu/ZUUU.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$231,560Data di fine
20 giu 2026Mercato aperto
Jun 18, 2026, 12:04 AM ETFonte di risoluzione
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/chengdu/ZUUUResolver
0x69c47De9D...Esito proposto: No
Nessuna contestazione
Esito finale: No
Recent short-range forecast models from agencies like the China Meteorological Administration indicate variable atmospheric conditions over Chengdu in the coming days, with a mix of cloud cover, humidity near 70-80%, and potential isolated thunderstorms moderating peak heating. These factors create tight clustering around 28–30°C highs, as daytime solar radiation and regional monsoon moisture balance against cooling from precipitation and reduced insolation. Subtle model differences in storm timing and boundary-layer mixing explain the narrow spread among leading outcomes, while historical June averages near 29°C provide a baseline tempered by current synoptic patterns. Updated runs ahead of June 20 will likely refine the precise maximum recorded at official stations.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · Aggiornato
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