Trader consensus assigns a 100% implied probability to a highest temperature of 29°C in Chengdu on May 7, 2026, backed by official observations from the China Meteorological Administration confirming the daily maximum reached exactly 29°C under mostly cloudy to overcast conditions that limited solar heating. Short-range forecasts from global models like GFS and ECMWF had projected peaks near 30°C, aligning with May climatological averages of 26–32°C, but persistent cloud cover and northerly winds capped actual readings, with past-24-hour highs at 27.9°C before stabilizing. As the day concludes past midnight on May 8 with temperatures dropping to 24°C, final station data is unlikely to revise upward absent measurement anomalies, solidifying market resolution to 29°C.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · AggiornatoHighest temperature in Chengdu on May 7?
Highest temperature in Chengdu on May 7?
29°C 100.0%
24°C or below <1%
25°C <1%
26°C <1%
$119,725 Vol.
$119,725 Vol.
7 mag 2026
24°C or below
No
25°C
No
26°C
No
27°C
No
28°C
No
29°C
Yes
30°C
No
31°C
No
32°C
No
33°C
No
34°C or higher
No
29°C 100.0%
24°C or below <1%
25°C <1%
26°C <1%
$119,725 Vol.
$119,725 Vol.
7 mag 2026
24°C or below
$7,554 Vol.
No
25°C
$7,021 Vol.
No
26°C
$14,061 Vol.
No
27°C
$19,209 Vol.
No
28°C
$16,668 Vol.
No
29°C
$13,467 Vol.
Yes
30°C
$10,389 Vol.
No
31°C
$11,879 Vol.
No
32°C
$6,416 Vol.
No
33°C
$7,077 Vol.
No
34°C or higher
$5,985 Vol.
No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 7 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/chengdu/ZUUU.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Trader consensus assigns a 100% implied probability to a highest temperature of 29°C in Chengdu on May 7, 2026, backed by official observations from the China Meteorological Administration confirming the daily maximum reached exactly 29°C under mostly cloudy to overcast conditions that limited solar heating. Short-range forecasts from global models like GFS and ECMWF had projected peaks near 30°C, aligning with May climatological averages of 26–32°C, but persistent cloud cover and northerly winds capped actual readings, with past-24-hour highs at 27.9°C before stabilizing. As the day concludes past midnight on May 8 with temperatures dropping to 24°C, final station data is unlikely to revise upward absent measurement anomalies, solidifying market resolution to 29°C.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 7 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/chengdu/ZUUU.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/chengdu/ZUUU.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Mercato aperto: May 5, 2026, 12:52 AM ET
Volume
$119,725Data di fine
7 mag 2026Mercato aperto
May 5, 2026, 12:52 AM ETFonte di risoluzione
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/chengdu/ZUUUResolver
0x69c47De9D...Esito proposto: No
Nessuna contestazione
Esito finale: No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 7 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/chengdu/ZUUU.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Trader consensus assigns a 100% implied probability to a highest temperature of 29°C in Chengdu on May 7, 2026, backed by official observations from the China Meteorological Administration confirming the daily maximum reached exactly 29°C under mostly cloudy to overcast conditions that limited solar heating. Short-range forecasts from global models like GFS and ECMWF had projected peaks near 30°C, aligning with May climatological averages of 26–32°C, but persistent cloud cover and northerly winds capped actual readings, with past-24-hour highs at 27.9°C before stabilizing. As the day concludes past midnight on May 8 with temperatures dropping to 24°C, final station data is unlikely to revise upward absent measurement anomalies, solidifying market resolution to 29°C.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 7 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/chengdu/ZUUU.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/chengdu/ZUUU.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Volume
$119,725Data di fine
7 mag 2026Mercato aperto
May 5, 2026, 12:52 AM ETFonte di risoluzione
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/chengdu/ZUUUResolver
0x69c47De9D...Esito proposto: No
Nessuna contestazione
Esito finale: No
Trader consensus assigns a 100% implied probability to a highest temperature of 29°C in Chengdu on May 7, 2026, backed by official observations from the China Meteorological Administration confirming the daily maximum reached exactly 29°C under mostly cloudy to overcast conditions that limited solar heating. Short-range forecasts from global models like GFS and ECMWF had projected peaks near 30°C, aligning with May climatological averages of 26–32°C, but persistent cloud cover and northerly winds capped actual readings, with past-24-hour highs at 27.9°C before stabilizing. As the day concludes past midnight on May 8 with temperatures dropping to 24°C, final station data is unlikely to revise upward absent measurement anomalies, solidifying market resolution to 29°C.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · Aggiornato
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