National Weather Service observations from Chicago O'Hare International Airport (KORD), the official station for such metrics, confirm the April 25 high temperature peaked at 55°F around midday, solidifying trader consensus at 100% implied probability for 54-55°F. Persistent overcast conditions and northwest winds of 10-15 mph in the wake of a cold frontal passage late April 24 capped solar heating and daytime warming, consistent with real-time hourly METAR data showing no exceedance of 13°C. This observational evidence leaves negligible room for revision in the pending NWS daily climate summary, though rare instrument recalibrations or anomalous late reports could theoretically prompt review—scenarios precluded by uniform station logs and sunset timing.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · AggiornatoHighest temperature in Chicago on April 25?
54-55°F 100.0%
43°F or below <1%
44-45°F <1%
46-47°F <1%
$135,742 Vol.
$135,742 Vol.
43°F or below
No
44-45°F
No
46-47°F
No
48-49°F
No
50-51°F
No
52-53°F
No
54-55°F
Yes
56-57°F
No
58-59°F
No
60-61°F
No
62°F or higher
No
54-55°F 100.0%
43°F or below <1%
44-45°F <1%
46-47°F <1%
$135,742 Vol.
$135,742 Vol.
43°F or below
No
44-45°F
No
46-47°F
No
48-49°F
No
50-51°F
No
52-53°F
No
54-55°F
Yes
56-57°F
No
58-59°F
No
60-61°F
No
62°F or higher
No
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Chicago O'Hare Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/il/chicago/KORD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Mercato aperto: Apr 23, 2026, 12:07 AM ET
Fonte di risoluzione
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/il/chicago/KORDResolver
0x69c47De9D...Esito proposto: No
Nessuna contestazione
Esito finale: No
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Chicago O'Hare Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/il/chicago/KORD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Fonte di risoluzione
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/il/chicago/KORDResolver
0x69c47De9D...Esito proposto: No
Nessuna contestazione
Esito finale: No
National Weather Service observations from Chicago O'Hare International Airport (KORD), the official station for such metrics, confirm the April 25 high temperature peaked at 55°F around midday, solidifying trader consensus at 100% implied probability for 54-55°F. Persistent overcast conditions and northwest winds of 10-15 mph in the wake of a cold frontal passage late April 24 capped solar heating and daytime warming, consistent with real-time hourly METAR data showing no exceedance of 13°C. This observational evidence leaves negligible room for revision in the pending NWS daily climate summary, though rare instrument recalibrations or anomalous late reports could theoretically prompt review—scenarios precluded by uniform station logs and sunset timing.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · Aggiornato
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