Forecast models from the National Weather Service project a daytime high in the low-to-mid 70s Fahrenheit for Chicago on June 23, driven by a cooler northerly flow, persistent cloud cover, and scattered showers that limit solar heating. This setup contrasts with the climatological normal near 83°F and explains the market's concentration of probability on 72–75°F bins. Key variables include the precise timing of any afternoon convection, boundary-layer mixing, and potential for partial clearing, all of which introduce modest spread across guidance. Traders are weighting the latest model consensus and observed regional cooling trend against historical analogs for late-June lake-influenced regimes.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · AggiornatoHighest temperature in Chicago on June 23?
Highest temperature in Chicago on June 23?
74-75°F 100.0%
61°F or below <1%
62-63°F <1%
64-65°F <1%
$35,872 Vol.
$35,872 Vol.
23 giu 2026
61°F or below
No
62-63°F
No
64-65°F
No
66-67°F
No
68-69°F
No
70-71°F
No
72-73°F
No
74-75°F
Yes
76-77°F
No
78-79°F
No
80°F or higher
No
74-75°F 100.0%
61°F or below <1%
62-63°F <1%
64-65°F <1%
$35,872 Vol.
$35,872 Vol.
23 giu 2026
61°F or below
$73 Vol.
No
62-63°F
$777 Vol.
No
64-65°F
$1,923 Vol.
No
66-67°F
$1,580 Vol.
No
68-69°F
$3,559 Vol.
No
70-71°F
$4,302 Vol.
No
72-73°F
$8,055 Vol.
No
74-75°F
$7,626 Vol.
Yes
76-77°F
$3,341 Vol.
No
78-79°F
$3,282 Vol.
No
80°F or higher
$1,356 Vol.
No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Chicago O'Hare Intl Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 23 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Chicago O'Hare Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/il/chicago/KORD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Forecast models from the National Weather Service project a daytime high in the low-to-mid 70s Fahrenheit for Chicago on June 23, driven by a cooler northerly flow, persistent cloud cover, and scattered showers that limit solar heating. This setup contrasts with the climatological normal near 83°F and explains the market's concentration of probability on 72–75°F bins. Key variables include the precise timing of any afternoon convection, boundary-layer mixing, and potential for partial clearing, all of which introduce modest spread across guidance. Traders are weighting the latest model consensus and observed regional cooling trend against historical analogs for late-June lake-influenced regimes.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Chicago O'Hare Intl Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 23 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Chicago O'Hare Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/il/chicago/KORD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Chicago O'Hare Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/il/chicago/KORD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Mercato aperto: Jun 21, 2026, 9:04 PM ET
Volume
$35,872Data di fine
23 giu 2026Mercato aperto
Jun 21, 2026, 9:04 PM ETFonte di risoluzione
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/il/chicago/KORDResolver
0x69c47De9D...Esito proposto: No
Nessuna contestazione
Esito finale: No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Chicago O'Hare Intl Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 23 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Chicago O'Hare Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/il/chicago/KORD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Forecast models from the National Weather Service project a daytime high in the low-to-mid 70s Fahrenheit for Chicago on June 23, driven by a cooler northerly flow, persistent cloud cover, and scattered showers that limit solar heating. This setup contrasts with the climatological normal near 83°F and explains the market's concentration of probability on 72–75°F bins. Key variables include the precise timing of any afternoon convection, boundary-layer mixing, and potential for partial clearing, all of which introduce modest spread across guidance. Traders are weighting the latest model consensus and observed regional cooling trend against historical analogs for late-June lake-influenced regimes.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Chicago O'Hare Intl Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 23 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Chicago O'Hare Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/il/chicago/KORD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Chicago O'Hare Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/il/chicago/KORD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$35,872Data di fine
23 giu 2026Mercato aperto
Jun 21, 2026, 9:04 PM ETFonte di risoluzione
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/il/chicago/KORDResolver
0x69c47De9D...Esito proposto: No
Nessuna contestazione
Esito finale: No
Forecast models from the National Weather Service project a daytime high in the low-to-mid 70s Fahrenheit for Chicago on June 23, driven by a cooler northerly flow, persistent cloud cover, and scattered showers that limit solar heating. This setup contrasts with the climatological normal near 83°F and explains the market's concentration of probability on 72–75°F bins. Key variables include the precise timing of any afternoon convection, boundary-layer mixing, and potential for partial clearing, all of which introduce modest spread across guidance. Traders are weighting the latest model consensus and observed regional cooling trend against historical analogs for late-June lake-influenced regimes.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · Aggiornato
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