Trader consensus assigns a 100% implied probability to a high temperature of 68°F or higher in Denver on May 10, driven by the National Weather Service's official observation of 72°F at Denver International Airport (KDEN), the city's primary climate reporting station. This peak occurred amid mostly sunny skies and light east-northeast winds of 5-10 mph, following the dissipation of a major early-May snowstorm that had temporarily suppressed temperatures. Pre-event NOAA forecast models, including GFS and ECMWF ensembles, accurately projected a daytime high near 70°F under building high-pressure ridging, aligning with May climatological norms averaging 72°F. Scenarios challenging this positioning—such as an instrument malfunction prompting data revision in the pending CLI report—are highly improbable given rigorous quality controls.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · AggiornatoHighest temperature in Denver on May 10?
68°F or higher 100.0%
49°F or below <1%
50-51°F <1%
52-53°F <1%
$51,098 Vol.
$51,098 Vol.
49°F or below
No
50-51°F
No
52-53°F
No
54-55°F
No
56-57°F
No
58-59°F
No
60-61°F
No
62-63°F
No
64-65°F
No
66-67°F
No
68°F or higher
Yes
68°F or higher 100.0%
49°F or below <1%
50-51°F <1%
52-53°F <1%
$51,098 Vol.
$51,098 Vol.
49°F or below
No
50-51°F
No
52-53°F
No
54-55°F
No
56-57°F
No
58-59°F
No
60-61°F
No
62-63°F
No
64-65°F
No
66-67°F
No
68°F or higher
Yes
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Buckley Space Force Base Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/co/aurora/KBKF.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Mercato aperto: May 8, 2026, 12:12 AM ET
Fonte di risoluzione
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/co/aurora/KBKFResolver
0x69c47De9D...Esito proposto: No
Nessuna contestazione
Esito finale: No
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Buckley Space Force Base Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/co/aurora/KBKF.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Fonte di risoluzione
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/co/aurora/KBKFResolver
0x69c47De9D...Esito proposto: No
Nessuna contestazione
Esito finale: No
Trader consensus assigns a 100% implied probability to a high temperature of 68°F or higher in Denver on May 10, driven by the National Weather Service's official observation of 72°F at Denver International Airport (KDEN), the city's primary climate reporting station. This peak occurred amid mostly sunny skies and light east-northeast winds of 5-10 mph, following the dissipation of a major early-May snowstorm that had temporarily suppressed temperatures. Pre-event NOAA forecast models, including GFS and ECMWF ensembles, accurately projected a daytime high near 70°F under building high-pressure ridging, aligning with May climatological norms averaging 72°F. Scenarios challenging this positioning—such as an instrument malfunction prompting data revision in the pending CLI report—are highly improbable given rigorous quality controls.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · Aggiornato
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