Trader consensus on Polymarket has locked in 100% implied probability for a Houston high temperature of 74-75°F on May 8, 2026, driven by the official Weather Underground measurement at William P. Hobby Airport (KHOU), the market's resolution source, confirming this range as the maximum amid persistent overcast skies and mist. National Weather Service observations noted low ceilings (BKN010-OVC047), spotty strong storms with gusty winds and heavy downpours, severely limiting solar insolation and preventing typical daytime heating—well below the early May climatological normal of 85°F. While definitive, rare scenarios like post hoc data revisions from automated station audits could theoretically challenge this, though such adjustments are infrequent for settled observations.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · AggiornatoHighest temperature in Houston on May 8?
Highest temperature in Houston on May 8?
74-75°F 100.0%
71°F or below <1%
72-73°F <1%
76-77°F <1%
$78,088 Vol.
$78,088 Vol.
8 mag 2026
71°F or below
No
72-73°F
No
74-75°F
Yes
76-77°F
No
78-79°F
No
80-81°F
No
82-83°F
No
84-85°F
No
86-87°F
No
88-89°F
No
90°F or higher
No
74-75°F 100.0%
71°F or below <1%
72-73°F <1%
76-77°F <1%
$78,088 Vol.
$78,088 Vol.
8 mag 2026
71°F or below
$13,456 Vol.
No
72-73°F
$10,911 Vol.
No
74-75°F
$9,709 Vol.
Yes
76-77°F
$6,630 Vol.
No
78-79°F
$7,017 Vol.
No
80-81°F
$6,815 Vol.
No
82-83°F
$7,264 Vol.
No
84-85°F
$5,757 Vol.
No
86-87°F
$3,824 Vol.
No
88-89°F
$3,536 Vol.
No
90°F or higher
$3,168 Vol.
No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the William P. Hobby Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 8 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the William P. Hobby Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/houston/KHOU.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Trader consensus on Polymarket has locked in 100% implied probability for a Houston high temperature of 74-75°F on May 8, 2026, driven by the official Weather Underground measurement at William P. Hobby Airport (KHOU), the market's resolution source, confirming this range as the maximum amid persistent overcast skies and mist. National Weather Service observations noted low ceilings (BKN010-OVC047), spotty strong storms with gusty winds and heavy downpours, severely limiting solar insolation and preventing typical daytime heating—well below the early May climatological normal of 85°F. While definitive, rare scenarios like post hoc data revisions from automated station audits could theoretically challenge this, though such adjustments are infrequent for settled observations.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the William P. Hobby Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 8 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the William P. Hobby Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/houston/KHOU.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the William P. Hobby Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/houston/KHOU.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Mercato aperto: May 6, 2026, 12:11 AM ET
Volume
$78,088Data di fine
8 mag 2026Mercato aperto
May 6, 2026, 12:11 AM ETFonte di risoluzione
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/houston/KHOUResolver
0x69c47De9D...Esito proposto: No
Nessuna contestazione
Esito finale: No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the William P. Hobby Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 8 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the William P. Hobby Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/houston/KHOU.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Trader consensus on Polymarket has locked in 100% implied probability for a Houston high temperature of 74-75°F on May 8, 2026, driven by the official Weather Underground measurement at William P. Hobby Airport (KHOU), the market's resolution source, confirming this range as the maximum amid persistent overcast skies and mist. National Weather Service observations noted low ceilings (BKN010-OVC047), spotty strong storms with gusty winds and heavy downpours, severely limiting solar insolation and preventing typical daytime heating—well below the early May climatological normal of 85°F. While definitive, rare scenarios like post hoc data revisions from automated station audits could theoretically challenge this, though such adjustments are infrequent for settled observations.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the William P. Hobby Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 8 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the William P. Hobby Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/houston/KHOU.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the William P. Hobby Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/houston/KHOU.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Volume
$78,088Data di fine
8 mag 2026Mercato aperto
May 6, 2026, 12:11 AM ETFonte di risoluzione
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/houston/KHOUResolver
0x69c47De9D...Esito proposto: No
Nessuna contestazione
Esito finale: No
Trader consensus on Polymarket has locked in 100% implied probability for a Houston high temperature of 74-75°F on May 8, 2026, driven by the official Weather Underground measurement at William P. Hobby Airport (KHOU), the market's resolution source, confirming this range as the maximum amid persistent overcast skies and mist. National Weather Service observations noted low ceilings (BKN010-OVC047), spotty strong storms with gusty winds and heavy downpours, severely limiting solar insolation and preventing typical daytime heating—well below the early May climatological normal of 85°F. While definitive, rare scenarios like post hoc data revisions from automated station audits could theoretically challenge this, though such adjustments are infrequent for settled observations.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · Aggiornato
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