Official meteorological observations from Istanbul stations confirm that the daily maximum temperature on June 1 reached exactly 26°C under stable high-pressure conditions and clear skies typical of early summer. This aligns with long-term climatological baselines for the region, where June daytime highs average 25–26°C according to historical records, with minimal day-to-day variability at this stage of the season. Market-implied odds reflect this verified outcome with near-certainty, as resolution criteria depend on official temperature data rather than forecasts. Scenarios that could have altered the result, such as unexpected cloud cover or a passing frontal system lowering the peak by several degrees, did not materialize based on real-time monitoring.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · AggiornatoHighest temperature in Istanbul on June 1?
26°C 100.0%
19°C or below <1%
20°C <1%
21°C <1%
$40,637 Vol.
$40,637 Vol.
19°C or below
No
20°C
No
21°C
No
22°C
No
23°C
No
24°C
No
25°C
No
26°C
Yes
27°C
No
28°C
No
29°C or higher
No
26°C 100.0%
19°C or below <1%
20°C <1%
21°C <1%
$40,637 Vol.
$40,637 Vol.
19°C or below
No
20°C
No
21°C
No
22°C
No
23°C
No
24°C
No
25°C
No
26°C
Yes
27°C
No
28°C
No
29°C or higher
No
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LTFM
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Mercato aperto: May 30, 2026, 12:08 AM ET
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...Esito proposto: No
Nessuna contestazione
Esito finale: No
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LTFM
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...Esito proposto: No
Nessuna contestazione
Esito finale: No
Official meteorological observations from Istanbul stations confirm that the daily maximum temperature on June 1 reached exactly 26°C under stable high-pressure conditions and clear skies typical of early summer. This aligns with long-term climatological baselines for the region, where June daytime highs average 25–26°C according to historical records, with minimal day-to-day variability at this stage of the season. Market-implied odds reflect this verified outcome with near-certainty, as resolution criteria depend on official temperature data rather than forecasts. Scenarios that could have altered the result, such as unexpected cloud cover or a passing frontal system lowering the peak by several degrees, did not materialize based on real-time monitoring.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · Aggiornato

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