Traders have driven the implied probability for a Karachi high of 37°C or higher to 100% because early June climatology and current conditions strongly favor afternoon maxima at or above this threshold. June ranks as Karachi’s hottest month, with long-term average highs near 35°C and frequent readings in the mid-to-upper 30s under clear skies and subsiding pre-monsoon flow. Recent Pakistan Meteorological Department guidance and global model consensus project daytime peaks of 36–40°C amid low humidity and light winds that enhance daytime heating. Only an abrupt increase in cloud cover or an unseasonal shower—both statistically rare this early in the month—could realistically keep the official maximum below 37°C.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · AggiornatoHighest temperature in Karachi on June 2?
37°C or higher 100.0%
27°C or below <1%
28°C <1%
29°C <1%
$25,116 Vol.
$25,116 Vol.
27°C or below
No
28°C
No
29°C
No
30°C
No
31°C
No
32°C
No
33°C
No
34°C
No
35°C
No
36°C
No
37°C or higher
Yes
37°C or higher 100.0%
27°C or below <1%
28°C <1%
29°C <1%
$25,116 Vol.
$25,116 Vol.
27°C or below
No
28°C
No
29°C
No
30°C
No
31°C
No
32°C
No
33°C
No
34°C
No
35°C
No
36°C
No
37°C or higher
Yes
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Masroor Airbase Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pk/karachi/OPKC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Mercato aperto: May 31, 2026, 12:20 AM ET
Fonte di risoluzione
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pk/karachi/OPKCResolver
0x69c47De9D...Esito proposto: No
Nessuna contestazione
Esito finale: No
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Masroor Airbase Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pk/karachi/OPKC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Fonte di risoluzione
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pk/karachi/OPKCResolver
0x69c47De9D...Esito proposto: No
Nessuna contestazione
Esito finale: No
Traders have driven the implied probability for a Karachi high of 37°C or higher to 100% because early June climatology and current conditions strongly favor afternoon maxima at or above this threshold. June ranks as Karachi’s hottest month, with long-term average highs near 35°C and frequent readings in the mid-to-upper 30s under clear skies and subsiding pre-monsoon flow. Recent Pakistan Meteorological Department guidance and global model consensus project daytime peaks of 36–40°C amid low humidity and light winds that enhance daytime heating. Only an abrupt increase in cloud cover or an unseasonal shower—both statistically rare this early in the month—could realistically keep the official maximum below 37°C.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · Aggiornato
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