Official Pakistan Meteorological Department (PMD) observations confirm Karachi's highest temperature on May 9, 2026, reached exactly 34°C at the primary weather station, driving trader consensus to 100% implied probability for this outcome amid real-money positioning. Following an intense early-May heatwave that spiked highs above 40°C on May 4–5 due to continental high pressure, moderating sea breezes and elevated humidity—typical pre-monsoon patterns—capped daytime peaks on Saturday, aligning with May climatological averages of 34–35°C. Forecast models from PMD anticipated 34–36°C ranges, but verified measurements resolved below higher thresholds. Scenarios challenging this include rare post hoc revisions from peripheral stations, though PMD's airport data serves as the authoritative resolution source.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · AggiornatoHighest temperature in Karachi on May 9?
Highest temperature in Karachi on May 9?
34°C 100.0%
26°C or below <1%
27°C <1%
28°C <1%
$24,456 Vol.
$24,456 Vol.
9 mag 2026
26°C or below
No
27°C
No
28°C
No
29°C
No
30°C
No
31°C
No
32°C
No
33°C
No
34°C
Yes
35°C
No
36°C or higher
No
34°C 100.0%
26°C or below <1%
27°C <1%
28°C <1%
$24,456 Vol.
$24,456 Vol.
9 mag 2026
26°C or below
$1,043 Vol.
No
27°C
$1,613 Vol.
No
28°C
$2,132 Vol.
No
29°C
$800 Vol.
No
30°C
$1,196 Vol.
No
31°C
$2,716 Vol.
No
32°C
$2,689 Vol.
No
33°C
$3,648 Vol.
No
34°C
$3,826 Vol.
Yes
35°C
$3,154 Vol.
No
36°C or higher
$1,639 Vol.
No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Masroor Airbase Station in degrees Celsius on 9 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Masroor Airbase Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pk/karachi/OPKC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Official Pakistan Meteorological Department (PMD) observations confirm Karachi's highest temperature on May 9, 2026, reached exactly 34°C at the primary weather station, driving trader consensus to 100% implied probability for this outcome amid real-money positioning. Following an intense early-May heatwave that spiked highs above 40°C on May 4–5 due to continental high pressure, moderating sea breezes and elevated humidity—typical pre-monsoon patterns—capped daytime peaks on Saturday, aligning with May climatological averages of 34–35°C. Forecast models from PMD anticipated 34–36°C ranges, but verified measurements resolved below higher thresholds. Scenarios challenging this include rare post hoc revisions from peripheral stations, though PMD's airport data serves as the authoritative resolution source.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Masroor Airbase Station in degrees Celsius on 9 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Masroor Airbase Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pk/karachi/OPKC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Masroor Airbase Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pk/karachi/OPKC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Mercato aperto: May 7, 2026, 12:40 AM ET
Volume
$24,456Data di fine
9 mag 2026Mercato aperto
May 7, 2026, 12:40 AM ETFonte di risoluzione
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pk/karachi/OPKCResolver
0x69c47De9D...Esito proposto: No
Nessuna contestazione
Esito finale: No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Masroor Airbase Station in degrees Celsius on 9 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Masroor Airbase Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pk/karachi/OPKC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Official Pakistan Meteorological Department (PMD) observations confirm Karachi's highest temperature on May 9, 2026, reached exactly 34°C at the primary weather station, driving trader consensus to 100% implied probability for this outcome amid real-money positioning. Following an intense early-May heatwave that spiked highs above 40°C on May 4–5 due to continental high pressure, moderating sea breezes and elevated humidity—typical pre-monsoon patterns—capped daytime peaks on Saturday, aligning with May climatological averages of 34–35°C. Forecast models from PMD anticipated 34–36°C ranges, but verified measurements resolved below higher thresholds. Scenarios challenging this include rare post hoc revisions from peripheral stations, though PMD's airport data serves as the authoritative resolution source.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Masroor Airbase Station in degrees Celsius on 9 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Masroor Airbase Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pk/karachi/OPKC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Masroor Airbase Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pk/karachi/OPKC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Volume
$24,456Data di fine
9 mag 2026Mercato aperto
May 7, 2026, 12:40 AM ETFonte di risoluzione
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pk/karachi/OPKCResolver
0x69c47De9D...Esito proposto: No
Nessuna contestazione
Esito finale: No
Official Pakistan Meteorological Department (PMD) observations confirm Karachi's highest temperature on May 9, 2026, reached exactly 34°C at the primary weather station, driving trader consensus to 100% implied probability for this outcome amid real-money positioning. Following an intense early-May heatwave that spiked highs above 40°C on May 4–5 due to continental high pressure, moderating sea breezes and elevated humidity—typical pre-monsoon patterns—capped daytime peaks on Saturday, aligning with May climatological averages of 34–35°C. Forecast models from PMD anticipated 34–36°C ranges, but verified measurements resolved below higher thresholds. Scenarios challenging this include rare post hoc revisions from peripheral stations, though PMD's airport data serves as the authoritative resolution source.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · Aggiornato
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