Global forecast model ensembles from GFS and ECMWF, as reflected in sites like Weather Underground, project a high temperature of 32–33°C in Lagos on April 18, aligning with the market's leading 33°C outcome at 37.5% implied probability amid clustered odds for 32–34°C. This trader consensus follows April 15's observed 35°C peak at Murtala Muhammed International Airport under lingering dry conditions, but NiMet's seasonal outlook warns of warmer-than-average temperatures tempered by early rainy season onset, with PM thunderstorms and 30–50% precip chances moderating peaks via increased cloud cover and sea-breeze influences. Historical April averages sit at 32°C (Saffir-Simpson irrelevant here), with urban heat island effects adding 1–2°C variability; watch daily model updates for shifts in convective activity.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · AggiornatoHighest temperature in Lagos on April 18?
Highest temperature in Lagos on April 18?
33°C 22%
34°C 20%
32°C 19%
31°C 17%
NUOVO
NUOVO
18 apr 2026
27°C or below
8%
28°C
1%
29°C
7%
30°C
15%
31°C
17%
32°C
19%
33°C
22%
34°C
20%
35°C
17%
36°C
9%
37°C or higher
2%
33°C 22%
34°C 20%
32°C 19%
31°C 17%
NUOVO
NUOVO
18 apr 2026
27°C or below
$1,952 Vol.
8%
28°C
$83 Vol.
1%
29°C
$46 Vol.
7%
30°C
$0 Vol.
15%
31°C
$0 Vol.
17%
32°C
$0 Vol.
19%
33°C
$0 Vol.
22%
34°C
$0 Vol.
20%
35°C
$0 Vol.
17%
36°C
$0 Vol.
9%
37°C or higher
$41 Vol.
2%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Murtala Muhammad International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 18 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Murtala Muhammad International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ng/lagos/DNMM.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Global forecast model ensembles from GFS and ECMWF, as reflected in sites like Weather Underground, project a high temperature of 32–33°C in Lagos on April 18, aligning with the market's leading 33°C outcome at 37.5% implied probability amid clustered odds for 32–34°C. This trader consensus follows April 15's observed 35°C peak at Murtala Muhammed International Airport under lingering dry conditions, but NiMet's seasonal outlook warns of warmer-than-average temperatures tempered by early rainy season onset, with PM thunderstorms and 30–50% precip chances moderating peaks via increased cloud cover and sea-breeze influences. Historical April averages sit at 32°C (Saffir-Simpson irrelevant here), with urban heat island effects adding 1–2°C variability; watch daily model updates for shifts in convective activity.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Murtala Muhammad International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 18 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Murtala Muhammad International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ng/lagos/DNMM.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Murtala Muhammad International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ng/lagos/DNMM.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Mercato aperto: Apr 16, 2026, 2:03 AM ET
Volume
$874Data di fine
18 apr 2026Mercato aperto
Apr 16, 2026, 2:03 AM ETFonte di risoluzione
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ng/lagos/DNMMResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Murtala Muhammad International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 18 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Murtala Muhammad International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ng/lagos/DNMM.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Global forecast model ensembles from GFS and ECMWF, as reflected in sites like Weather Underground, project a high temperature of 32–33°C in Lagos on April 18, aligning with the market's leading 33°C outcome at 37.5% implied probability amid clustered odds for 32–34°C. This trader consensus follows April 15's observed 35°C peak at Murtala Muhammed International Airport under lingering dry conditions, but NiMet's seasonal outlook warns of warmer-than-average temperatures tempered by early rainy season onset, with PM thunderstorms and 30–50% precip chances moderating peaks via increased cloud cover and sea-breeze influences. Historical April averages sit at 32°C (Saffir-Simpson irrelevant here), with urban heat island effects adding 1–2°C variability; watch daily model updates for shifts in convective activity.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Murtala Muhammad International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 18 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Murtala Muhammad International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ng/lagos/DNMM.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Murtala Muhammad International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ng/lagos/DNMM.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Volume
$874Data di fine
18 apr 2026Mercato aperto
Apr 16, 2026, 2:03 AM ETFonte di risoluzione
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ng/lagos/DNMMResolver
0x69c47De9D...Global forecast model ensembles from GFS and ECMWF, as reflected in sites like Weather Underground, project a high temperature of 32–33°C in Lagos on April 18, aligning with the market's leading 33°C outcome at 37.5% implied probability amid clustered odds for 32–34°C. This trader consensus follows April 15's observed 35°C peak at Murtala Muhammed International Airport under lingering dry conditions, but NiMet's seasonal outlook warns of warmer-than-average temperatures tempered by early rainy season onset, with PM thunderstorms and 30–50% precip chances moderating peaks via increased cloud cover and sea-breeze influences. Historical April averages sit at 32°C (Saffir-Simpson irrelevant here), with urban heat island effects adding 1–2°C variability; watch daily model updates for shifts in convective activity.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · Aggiornato
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