Trader consensus on Polymarket overwhelmingly backs a maximum temperature of 35°C or below in Lucknow on April 30, 2026, reflecting India Meteorological Department (IMD) observations and forecasts showing a daytime peak around 34-35°C under partly cloudy skies with isolated rain and thundershowers. This positioning stems from a sharp cooling trend over the past week—following mid-April highs above 41°C—driven by a western disturbance introducing cloud cover, gusty winds up to 50 kmph, and light rainfall (0.8 mm recorded recently), suppressing solar heating and deviating -7.8°C below normal yesterday at 31.7°C. With current evening readings at 23°C by 23:30 IST, the day's official IMD measurement at the Lucknow observatory is all but locked in; only an improbable late-hour measurement revision could challenge it, as models and analogs confirm no further intensification potential. IMD's next bulletin tomorrow will finalize resolution.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · AggiornatoHighest temperature in Lucknow on April 30?
Highest temperature in Lucknow on April 30?
35°C or below 100.0%
36°C <1%
37°C <1%
38°C <1%
$65,193 Vol.
$65,193 Vol.
30 apr 2026
35°C or below
Yes
36°C
No
37°C
No
38°C
No
39°C
No
40°C
No
41°C
No
42°C
No
43°C
No
44°C
No
45°C or higher
No
35°C or below 100.0%
36°C <1%
37°C <1%
38°C <1%
$65,193 Vol.
$65,193 Vol.
30 apr 2026
35°C or below
$10,389 Vol.
Yes
36°C
$16,514 Vol.
No
37°C
$10,022 Vol.
No
38°C
$7,683 Vol.
No
39°C
$6,257 Vol.
No
40°C
$2,931 Vol.
No
41°C
$2,589 Vol.
No
42°C
$1,581 Vol.
No
43°C
$2,983 Vol.
No
44°C
$1,991 Vol.
No
45°C or higher
$2,253 Vol.
No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Chaudhary Charan Singh Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 30 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Chaudhary Charan Singh Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/in/lucknow/VILK.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Trader consensus on Polymarket overwhelmingly backs a maximum temperature of 35°C or below in Lucknow on April 30, 2026, reflecting India Meteorological Department (IMD) observations and forecasts showing a daytime peak around 34-35°C under partly cloudy skies with isolated rain and thundershowers. This positioning stems from a sharp cooling trend over the past week—following mid-April highs above 41°C—driven by a western disturbance introducing cloud cover, gusty winds up to 50 kmph, and light rainfall (0.8 mm recorded recently), suppressing solar heating and deviating -7.8°C below normal yesterday at 31.7°C. With current evening readings at 23°C by 23:30 IST, the day's official IMD measurement at the Lucknow observatory is all but locked in; only an improbable late-hour measurement revision could challenge it, as models and analogs confirm no further intensification potential. IMD's next bulletin tomorrow will finalize resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Chaudhary Charan Singh Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 30 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Chaudhary Charan Singh Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/in/lucknow/VILK.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Chaudhary Charan Singh Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/in/lucknow/VILK.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Mercato aperto: Apr 28, 2026, 2:30 PM ET
Volume
$65,193Data di fine
30 apr 2026Mercato aperto
Apr 28, 2026, 2:30 PM ETFonte di risoluzione
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/in/lucknow/VILKResolver
0x69c47De9D...Esito proposto: Yes
Nessuna contestazione
Esito finale: Yes
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Chaudhary Charan Singh Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 30 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Chaudhary Charan Singh Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/in/lucknow/VILK.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Trader consensus on Polymarket overwhelmingly backs a maximum temperature of 35°C or below in Lucknow on April 30, 2026, reflecting India Meteorological Department (IMD) observations and forecasts showing a daytime peak around 34-35°C under partly cloudy skies with isolated rain and thundershowers. This positioning stems from a sharp cooling trend over the past week—following mid-April highs above 41°C—driven by a western disturbance introducing cloud cover, gusty winds up to 50 kmph, and light rainfall (0.8 mm recorded recently), suppressing solar heating and deviating -7.8°C below normal yesterday at 31.7°C. With current evening readings at 23°C by 23:30 IST, the day's official IMD measurement at the Lucknow observatory is all but locked in; only an improbable late-hour measurement revision could challenge it, as models and analogs confirm no further intensification potential. IMD's next bulletin tomorrow will finalize resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Chaudhary Charan Singh Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 30 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Chaudhary Charan Singh Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/in/lucknow/VILK.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Chaudhary Charan Singh Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/in/lucknow/VILK.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Volume
$65,193Data di fine
30 apr 2026Mercato aperto
Apr 28, 2026, 2:30 PM ETFonte di risoluzione
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/in/lucknow/VILKResolver
0x69c47De9D...Esito proposto: Yes
Nessuna contestazione
Esito finale: Yes
Trader consensus on Polymarket overwhelmingly backs a maximum temperature of 35°C or below in Lucknow on April 30, 2026, reflecting India Meteorological Department (IMD) observations and forecasts showing a daytime peak around 34-35°C under partly cloudy skies with isolated rain and thundershowers. This positioning stems from a sharp cooling trend over the past week—following mid-April highs above 41°C—driven by a western disturbance introducing cloud cover, gusty winds up to 50 kmph, and light rainfall (0.8 mm recorded recently), suppressing solar heating and deviating -7.8°C below normal yesterday at 31.7°C. With current evening readings at 23°C by 23:30 IST, the day's official IMD measurement at the Lucknow observatory is all but locked in; only an improbable late-hour measurement revision could challenge it, as models and analogs confirm no further intensification potential. IMD's next bulletin tomorrow will finalize resolution.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · Aggiornato
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