AEMET's latest forecast projects a 27°C maximum temperature for Madrid on April 17 under clear skies and light winds, driving trader consensus with 38.5% implied probability on that outcome, closely trailed by 26°C at 29.5% and 28°C at 23.5%. This tight clustering reflects model consensus from ECMWF and GFS ensembles showing highs in the 26-28°C range, fueled by a persistent high-pressure ridge over Iberia suppressing clouds and enabling strong daytime heating from solar insolation on dry surfaces. Recent observations confirm a warming trend, with April 15 highs near 19-20°C, above the seasonal average of 18°C. Differentiation hinges on minor variations in afternoon boundary layer mixing or transient cirrus cover; final AEMET hourly data will resolve precise peak at Barajas or Retiro stations tomorrow afternoon.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · AggiornatoHighest temperature in Madrid on April 17?
Highest temperature in Madrid on April 17?
27°C 40%
26°C 31%
28°C 24%
25°C 6%
NUOVO
$12,371 Vol.
NUOVO
$12,371 Vol.
17 apr 2026
20°C or below
<1%
21°C
<1%
22°C
<1%
23°C
<1%
24°C
1%
25°C
6%
26°C
31%
27°C
40%
28°C
24%
29°C
3%
30°C or higher
1%
27°C 40%
26°C 31%
28°C 24%
25°C 6%
NUOVO
$12,371 Vol.
NUOVO
$12,371 Vol.
17 apr 2026
20°C or below
$1,014 Vol.
<1%
21°C
$1,406 Vol.
<1%
22°C
$2,155 Vol.
<1%
23°C
$1,974 Vol.
<1%
24°C
$1,872 Vol.
1%
25°C
$1,267 Vol.
6%
26°C
$636 Vol.
31%
27°C
$703 Vol.
40%
28°C
$522 Vol.
24%
29°C
$689 Vol.
3%
30°C or higher
$1,052 Vol.
1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 17 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/es/madrid/LEMD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.AEMET's latest forecast projects a 27°C maximum temperature for Madrid on April 17 under clear skies and light winds, driving trader consensus with 38.5% implied probability on that outcome, closely trailed by 26°C at 29.5% and 28°C at 23.5%. This tight clustering reflects model consensus from ECMWF and GFS ensembles showing highs in the 26-28°C range, fueled by a persistent high-pressure ridge over Iberia suppressing clouds and enabling strong daytime heating from solar insolation on dry surfaces. Recent observations confirm a warming trend, with April 15 highs near 19-20°C, above the seasonal average of 18°C. Differentiation hinges on minor variations in afternoon boundary layer mixing or transient cirrus cover; final AEMET hourly data will resolve precise peak at Barajas or Retiro stations tomorrow afternoon.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 17 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/es/madrid/LEMD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/es/madrid/LEMD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Mercato aperto: Apr 15, 2026, 12:11 AM ET
Volume
$12,371Data di fine
17 apr 2026Mercato aperto
Apr 15, 2026, 12:11 AM ETFonte di risoluzione
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/es/madrid/LEMDResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 17 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/es/madrid/LEMD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.AEMET's latest forecast projects a 27°C maximum temperature for Madrid on April 17 under clear skies and light winds, driving trader consensus with 38.5% implied probability on that outcome, closely trailed by 26°C at 29.5% and 28°C at 23.5%. This tight clustering reflects model consensus from ECMWF and GFS ensembles showing highs in the 26-28°C range, fueled by a persistent high-pressure ridge over Iberia suppressing clouds and enabling strong daytime heating from solar insolation on dry surfaces. Recent observations confirm a warming trend, with April 15 highs near 19-20°C, above the seasonal average of 18°C. Differentiation hinges on minor variations in afternoon boundary layer mixing or transient cirrus cover; final AEMET hourly data will resolve precise peak at Barajas or Retiro stations tomorrow afternoon.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 17 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/es/madrid/LEMD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/es/madrid/LEMD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Volume
$12,371Data di fine
17 apr 2026Mercato aperto
Apr 15, 2026, 12:11 AM ETFonte di risoluzione
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/es/madrid/LEMDResolver
0x69c47De9D...AEMET's latest forecast projects a 27°C maximum temperature for Madrid on April 17 under clear skies and light winds, driving trader consensus with 38.5% implied probability on that outcome, closely trailed by 26°C at 29.5% and 28°C at 23.5%. This tight clustering reflects model consensus from ECMWF and GFS ensembles showing highs in the 26-28°C range, fueled by a persistent high-pressure ridge over Iberia suppressing clouds and enabling strong daytime heating from solar insolation on dry surfaces. Recent observations confirm a warming trend, with April 15 highs near 19-20°C, above the seasonal average of 18°C. Differentiation hinges on minor variations in afternoon boundary layer mixing or transient cirrus cover; final AEMET hourly data will resolve precise peak at Barajas or Retiro stations tomorrow afternoon.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · Aggiornato
Fai attenzione ai link esterni.
Fai attenzione ai link esterni.
Domande frequenti