PAGASA's official forecast for July 2 in Manila calls for a 32°C maximum under southwest monsoon (Habagat) conditions with 60% rain chance, anchoring trader focus near the 30–32°C cluster. Typical July highs average 31–32°C amid high humidity and frequent afternoon convection that can suppress peaks through cloud cover and showers, while Manila's urban heat island occasionally adds 1°C locally. An emerging El Niño may tilt seasonal rainfall patterns drier later in the year, but short-term steering and timing of monsoon bursts introduce the main uncertainty. This keeps implied probabilities tightly bunched, as traders weigh model consensus against variability in exact peak timing and intensity.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · AggiornatoHighest temperature in Manila on July 2?
Highest temperature in Manila on July 2?
35°C 100.0%
26°C or below <1%
27°C <1%
28°C <1%
$70,227 Vol.
$70,227 Vol.
2 lug 2026
26°C or below
No
27°C
No
28°C
No
29°C
No
30°C
No
31°C
No
32°C
No
33°C
No
34°C
No
35°C
Yes
36°C or higher
No
35°C 100.0%
26°C or below <1%
27°C <1%
28°C <1%
$70,227 Vol.
$70,227 Vol.
2 lug 2026
26°C or below
$3,044 Vol.
No
27°C
$2,357 Vol.
No
28°C
$3,580 Vol.
No
29°C
$5,379 Vol.
No
30°C
$6,053 Vol.
No
31°C
$4,796 Vol.
No
32°C
$6,602 Vol.
No
33°C
$8,991 Vol.
No
34°C
$11,238 Vol.
No
35°C
$9,554 Vol.
Yes
36°C or higher
$8,633 Vol.
No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Ninoy Aquino International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 2 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Ninoy Aquino International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ph/manila/RPLL.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.PAGASA's official forecast for July 2 in Manila calls for a 32°C maximum under southwest monsoon (Habagat) conditions with 60% rain chance, anchoring trader focus near the 30–32°C cluster. Typical July highs average 31–32°C amid high humidity and frequent afternoon convection that can suppress peaks through cloud cover and showers, while Manila's urban heat island occasionally adds 1°C locally. An emerging El Niño may tilt seasonal rainfall patterns drier later in the year, but short-term steering and timing of monsoon bursts introduce the main uncertainty. This keeps implied probabilities tightly bunched, as traders weigh model consensus against variability in exact peak timing and intensity.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Ninoy Aquino International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 2 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Ninoy Aquino International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ph/manila/RPLL.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Ninoy Aquino International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ph/manila/RPLL.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Mercato aperto: Jun 30, 2026, 12:03 AM ET
Volume
$70,227Data di fine
2 lug 2026Mercato aperto
Jun 30, 2026, 12:03 AM ETFonte di risoluzione
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ph/manila/RPLLResolver
0x69c47De9D...Esito proposto: No
Nessuna contestazione
Esito finale: No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Ninoy Aquino International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 2 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Ninoy Aquino International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ph/manila/RPLL.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.PAGASA's official forecast for July 2 in Manila calls for a 32°C maximum under southwest monsoon (Habagat) conditions with 60% rain chance, anchoring trader focus near the 30–32°C cluster. Typical July highs average 31–32°C amid high humidity and frequent afternoon convection that can suppress peaks through cloud cover and showers, while Manila's urban heat island occasionally adds 1°C locally. An emerging El Niño may tilt seasonal rainfall patterns drier later in the year, but short-term steering and timing of monsoon bursts introduce the main uncertainty. This keeps implied probabilities tightly bunched, as traders weigh model consensus against variability in exact peak timing and intensity.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Ninoy Aquino International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 2 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Ninoy Aquino International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ph/manila/RPLL.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Ninoy Aquino International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ph/manila/RPLL.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$70,227Data di fine
2 lug 2026Mercato aperto
Jun 30, 2026, 12:03 AM ETFonte di risoluzione
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ph/manila/RPLLResolver
0x69c47De9D...Esito proposto: No
Nessuna contestazione
Esito finale: No
PAGASA's official forecast for July 2 in Manila calls for a 32°C maximum under southwest monsoon (Habagat) conditions with 60% rain chance, anchoring trader focus near the 30–32°C cluster. Typical July highs average 31–32°C amid high humidity and frequent afternoon convection that can suppress peaks through cloud cover and showers, while Manila's urban heat island occasionally adds 1°C locally. An emerging El Niño may tilt seasonal rainfall patterns drier later in the year, but short-term steering and timing of monsoon bursts introduce the main uncertainty. This keeps implied probabilities tightly bunched, as traders weigh model consensus against variability in exact peak timing and intensity.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · Aggiornato
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