Official PAGASA forecasts and ensemble model guidance for Metro Manila on May 24 point to a daytime maximum near 36°C under partly cloudy skies with easterly winds and isolated afternoon thunderstorms. These conditions moderate peak solar heating and promote localized evaporative cooling, keeping the high from exceeding the implied threshold while aligning with May climatology that centers on 34–36°C. Traders have converged on the 36°C outcome because recent observational trends and short-range model runs show little deviation from this level, with minimal upside risk from clearer skies or stronger insolation. Resolution hinges on the official daily maximum recorded at the Manila synoptic station, with any late-day convective activity or measurement adjustments representing the main variables that could shift the final reading.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · AggiornatoHighest temperature in Manila on May 24?
Highest temperature in Manila on May 24?
36°C 100.0%
35°C <1%
30°C or below <1%
31°C <1%
$48,277 Vol.
$48,277 Vol.
24 mag 2026
30°C or below
No
31°C
No
32°C
No
33°C
No
34°C
No
35°C
No
36°C
Yes
37°C
No
38°C
No
39°C
No
40°C or higher
No
36°C 100.0%
35°C <1%
30°C or below <1%
31°C <1%
$48,277 Vol.
$48,277 Vol.
24 mag 2026
30°C or below
$518 Vol.
No
31°C
$401 Vol.
No
32°C
$1,034 Vol.
No
33°C
$1,342 Vol.
No
34°C
$3,486 Vol.
No
35°C
$31,859 Vol.
No
36°C
$2,239 Vol.
Yes
37°C
$1,731 Vol.
No
38°C
$3,097 Vol.
No
39°C
$1,389 Vol.
No
40°C or higher
$1,182 Vol.
No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Ninoy Aquino International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 24 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Ninoy Aquino International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ph/manila/RPLL.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Official PAGASA forecasts and ensemble model guidance for Metro Manila on May 24 point to a daytime maximum near 36°C under partly cloudy skies with easterly winds and isolated afternoon thunderstorms. These conditions moderate peak solar heating and promote localized evaporative cooling, keeping the high from exceeding the implied threshold while aligning with May climatology that centers on 34–36°C. Traders have converged on the 36°C outcome because recent observational trends and short-range model runs show little deviation from this level, with minimal upside risk from clearer skies or stronger insolation. Resolution hinges on the official daily maximum recorded at the Manila synoptic station, with any late-day convective activity or measurement adjustments representing the main variables that could shift the final reading.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Ninoy Aquino International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 24 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Ninoy Aquino International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ph/manila/RPLL.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Ninoy Aquino International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ph/manila/RPLL.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Mercato aperto: May 22, 2026, 12:15 AM ET
Volume
$48,277Data di fine
24 mag 2026Mercato aperto
May 22, 2026, 12:15 AM ETFonte di risoluzione
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ph/manila/RPLLResolver
0x69c47De9D...Esito proposto: No
Nessuna contestazione
Esito finale: No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Ninoy Aquino International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 24 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Ninoy Aquino International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ph/manila/RPLL.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Official PAGASA forecasts and ensemble model guidance for Metro Manila on May 24 point to a daytime maximum near 36°C under partly cloudy skies with easterly winds and isolated afternoon thunderstorms. These conditions moderate peak solar heating and promote localized evaporative cooling, keeping the high from exceeding the implied threshold while aligning with May climatology that centers on 34–36°C. Traders have converged on the 36°C outcome because recent observational trends and short-range model runs show little deviation from this level, with minimal upside risk from clearer skies or stronger insolation. Resolution hinges on the official daily maximum recorded at the Manila synoptic station, with any late-day convective activity or measurement adjustments representing the main variables that could shift the final reading.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Ninoy Aquino International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 24 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Ninoy Aquino International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ph/manila/RPLL.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Ninoy Aquino International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ph/manila/RPLL.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Volume
$48,277Data di fine
24 mag 2026Mercato aperto
May 22, 2026, 12:15 AM ETFonte di risoluzione
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ph/manila/RPLLResolver
0x69c47De9D...Esito proposto: No
Nessuna contestazione
Esito finale: No
Official PAGASA forecasts and ensemble model guidance for Metro Manila on May 24 point to a daytime maximum near 36°C under partly cloudy skies with easterly winds and isolated afternoon thunderstorms. These conditions moderate peak solar heating and promote localized evaporative cooling, keeping the high from exceeding the implied threshold while aligning with May climatology that centers on 34–36°C. Traders have converged on the 36°C outcome because recent observational trends and short-range model runs show little deviation from this level, with minimal upside risk from clearer skies or stronger insolation. Resolution hinges on the official daily maximum recorded at the Manila synoptic station, with any late-day convective activity or measurement adjustments representing the main variables that could shift the final reading.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · Aggiornato
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