Trader consensus on Polymarket has reached 100% implied probability for a highest temperature of 84-85°F in Miami on April 28, driven by official National Weather Service ASOS observations at Miami International Airport (KMIA), the market's resolution source, confirming the peak fell squarely in this bin amid ample daytime heating under a dominant high-pressure ridge. Sunny skies, light east winds of 6-10 mph, and sea-breeze moderation aligned precisely with pre-event National Weather Service point forecasts near 85°F and ensemble model guidance from GFS and ECMWF projecting mid-80s peaks—consistent with late-April climatological norms averaging 85°F at KMIA. Realistic challenges to this positioning are negligible post-validation, though rare instrument recalibrations or quality-control revisions could theoretically prompt oracle review, a scenario with near-zero precedent for settled daily maxima.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · AggiornatoHighest temperature in Miami on April 28?
Highest temperature in Miami on April 28?
84-85°F 100.0%
73°F or below <1%
74-75°F <1%
76-77°F <1%
$83,076 Vol.
$83,076 Vol.
28 apr 2026
73°F or below
No
74-75°F
No
76-77°F
No
78-79°F
No
80-81°F
No
82-83°F
No
84-85°F
Yes
86-87°F
No
88-89°F
No
90-91°F
No
92°F or higher
No
84-85°F 100.0%
73°F or below <1%
74-75°F <1%
76-77°F <1%
$83,076 Vol.
$83,076 Vol.
28 apr 2026
73°F or below
$1,688 Vol.
No
74-75°F
$2,002 Vol.
No
76-77°F
$2,272 Vol.
No
78-79°F
$3,811 Vol.
No
80-81°F
$8,802 Vol.
No
82-83°F
$12,321 Vol.
No
84-85°F
$14,263 Vol.
Yes
86-87°F
$21,372 Vol.
No
88-89°F
$5,870 Vol.
No
90-91°F
$5,062 Vol.
No
92°F or higher
$5,613 Vol.
No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Miami Intl Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 28 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Miami Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/fl/miami/KMIA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Trader consensus on Polymarket has reached 100% implied probability for a highest temperature of 84-85°F in Miami on April 28, driven by official National Weather Service ASOS observations at Miami International Airport (KMIA), the market's resolution source, confirming the peak fell squarely in this bin amid ample daytime heating under a dominant high-pressure ridge. Sunny skies, light east winds of 6-10 mph, and sea-breeze moderation aligned precisely with pre-event National Weather Service point forecasts near 85°F and ensemble model guidance from GFS and ECMWF projecting mid-80s peaks—consistent with late-April climatological norms averaging 85°F at KMIA. Realistic challenges to this positioning are negligible post-validation, though rare instrument recalibrations or quality-control revisions could theoretically prompt oracle review, a scenario with near-zero precedent for settled daily maxima.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Miami Intl Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 28 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Miami Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/fl/miami/KMIA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Miami Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/fl/miami/KMIA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Mercato aperto: Apr 26, 2026, 12:32 AM ET
Volume
$83,076Data di fine
28 apr 2026Mercato aperto
Apr 26, 2026, 12:32 AM ETFonte di risoluzione
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/fl/miami/KMIAResolver
0x69c47De9D...Esito proposto: No
Nessuna contestazione
Esito finale: No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Miami Intl Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 28 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Miami Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/fl/miami/KMIA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Trader consensus on Polymarket has reached 100% implied probability for a highest temperature of 84-85°F in Miami on April 28, driven by official National Weather Service ASOS observations at Miami International Airport (KMIA), the market's resolution source, confirming the peak fell squarely in this bin amid ample daytime heating under a dominant high-pressure ridge. Sunny skies, light east winds of 6-10 mph, and sea-breeze moderation aligned precisely with pre-event National Weather Service point forecasts near 85°F and ensemble model guidance from GFS and ECMWF projecting mid-80s peaks—consistent with late-April climatological norms averaging 85°F at KMIA. Realistic challenges to this positioning are negligible post-validation, though rare instrument recalibrations or quality-control revisions could theoretically prompt oracle review, a scenario with near-zero precedent for settled daily maxima.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Miami Intl Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 28 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Miami Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/fl/miami/KMIA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Miami Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/fl/miami/KMIA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Volume
$83,076Data di fine
28 apr 2026Mercato aperto
Apr 26, 2026, 12:32 AM ETFonte di risoluzione
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/fl/miami/KMIAResolver
0x69c47De9D...Esito proposto: No
Nessuna contestazione
Esito finale: No
Trader consensus on Polymarket has reached 100% implied probability for a highest temperature of 84-85°F in Miami on April 28, driven by official National Weather Service ASOS observations at Miami International Airport (KMIA), the market's resolution source, confirming the peak fell squarely in this bin amid ample daytime heating under a dominant high-pressure ridge. Sunny skies, light east winds of 6-10 mph, and sea-breeze moderation aligned precisely with pre-event National Weather Service point forecasts near 85°F and ensemble model guidance from GFS and ECMWF projecting mid-80s peaks—consistent with late-April climatological norms averaging 85°F at KMIA. Realistic challenges to this positioning are negligible post-validation, though rare instrument recalibrations or quality-control revisions could theoretically prompt oracle review, a scenario with near-zero precedent for settled daily maxima.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · Aggiornato
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