Recent National Weather Service and AccuWeather model runs for Miami on July 2 point to a daytime high near 90–91 °F, aligning with the market’s heaviest volume on that bin. Subtropical July conditions—high dew points near 77 °F, light easterly flow, and typical afternoon sea-breeze convergence—normally produce maxima of 88–92 °F, while scattered thunderstorms can trim peak readings by 1–3 °F. No strong cold front or anomalous ridge is forecast through the period, keeping the distribution centered on climatological norms and limiting odds for extremes above 93 °F or below 88 °F. Updated short-range guidance expected overnight will likely reinforce or slightly adjust these probabilities ahead of market close.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · AggiornatoHighest temperature in Miami on July 2?
Highest temperature in Miami on July 2?
92-93°F 100.0%
81°F or below <1%
82-83°F <1%
84-85°F <1%
$103,257 Vol.
$103,257 Vol.
2 lug 2026
81°F or below
No
82-83°F
No
84-85°F
No
86-87°F
No
88-89°F
No
90-91°F
No
92-93°F
Yes
94-95°F
No
96-97°F
No
98-99°F
No
100°F or higher
No
92-93°F 100.0%
81°F or below <1%
82-83°F <1%
84-85°F <1%
$103,257 Vol.
$103,257 Vol.
2 lug 2026
81°F or below
$2,350 Vol.
No
82-83°F
$1,836 Vol.
No
84-85°F
$18,709 Vol.
No
86-87°F
$5,145 Vol.
No
88-89°F
$29,345 Vol.
No
90-91°F
$18,208 Vol.
No
92-93°F
$11,490 Vol.
Yes
94-95°F
$8,497 Vol.
No
96-97°F
$1,844 Vol.
No
98-99°F
$3,870 Vol.
No
100°F or higher
$1,962 Vol.
No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Miami Intl Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 2 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Miami Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/fl/miami/KMIA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent National Weather Service and AccuWeather model runs for Miami on July 2 point to a daytime high near 90–91 °F, aligning with the market’s heaviest volume on that bin. Subtropical July conditions—high dew points near 77 °F, light easterly flow, and typical afternoon sea-breeze convergence—normally produce maxima of 88–92 °F, while scattered thunderstorms can trim peak readings by 1–3 °F. No strong cold front or anomalous ridge is forecast through the period, keeping the distribution centered on climatological norms and limiting odds for extremes above 93 °F or below 88 °F. Updated short-range guidance expected overnight will likely reinforce or slightly adjust these probabilities ahead of market close.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Miami Intl Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 2 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Miami Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/fl/miami/KMIA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Miami Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/fl/miami/KMIA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Mercato aperto: Jun 30, 2026, 9:02 PM ET
Volume
$103,257Data di fine
2 lug 2026Mercato aperto
Jun 30, 2026, 9:02 PM ETFonte di risoluzione
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/fl/miami/KMIAResolver
0x69c47De9D...Esito proposto: No
Nessuna contestazione
Esito finale: No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Miami Intl Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 2 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Miami Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/fl/miami/KMIA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent National Weather Service and AccuWeather model runs for Miami on July 2 point to a daytime high near 90–91 °F, aligning with the market’s heaviest volume on that bin. Subtropical July conditions—high dew points near 77 °F, light easterly flow, and typical afternoon sea-breeze convergence—normally produce maxima of 88–92 °F, while scattered thunderstorms can trim peak readings by 1–3 °F. No strong cold front or anomalous ridge is forecast through the period, keeping the distribution centered on climatological norms and limiting odds for extremes above 93 °F or below 88 °F. Updated short-range guidance expected overnight will likely reinforce or slightly adjust these probabilities ahead of market close.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Miami Intl Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 2 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Miami Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/fl/miami/KMIA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Miami Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/fl/miami/KMIA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$103,257Data di fine
2 lug 2026Mercato aperto
Jun 30, 2026, 9:02 PM ETFonte di risoluzione
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/fl/miami/KMIAResolver
0x69c47De9D...Esito proposto: No
Nessuna contestazione
Esito finale: No
Recent National Weather Service and AccuWeather model runs for Miami on July 2 point to a daytime high near 90–91 °F, aligning with the market’s heaviest volume on that bin. Subtropical July conditions—high dew points near 77 °F, light easterly flow, and typical afternoon sea-breeze convergence—normally produce maxima of 88–92 °F, while scattered thunderstorms can trim peak readings by 1–3 °F. No strong cold front or anomalous ridge is forecast through the period, keeping the distribution centered on climatological norms and limiting odds for extremes above 93 °F or below 88 °F. Updated short-range guidance expected overnight will likely reinforce or slightly adjust these probabilities ahead of market close.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · Aggiornato
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