Recent meteorological forecasts from sources including AccuWeather and regional models indicate Moscow's daytime high on June 14 will reach 19°C under mostly overcast conditions with light winds and possible patchy rain, aligning closely with climatological norms for mid-June. Trader consensus at 100% for this exact threshold reflects convergence across official guidance, with no active heat advection or clear-sky amplification expected to push readings higher. Historical data show typical June maxima near 20–22°C, and current observations through early June (including a 30°C peak on the 10th) have since moderated. A late-day surge from shifting pressure gradients or station-specific microclimates could theoretically alter the official reading, though model agreement makes such deviations unlikely before resolution.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · AggiornatoHighest temperature in Moscow on June 14?
19°C 100.0%
17°C or below <1%
18°C <1%
20°C <1%
$76,480 Vol.
$76,480 Vol.
17°C or below
No
18°C
No
19°C
Yes
20°C
No
21°C
No
22°C
No
23°C
No
24°C
No
25°C
No
26°C
No
27°C or higher
No
19°C 100.0%
17°C or below <1%
18°C <1%
20°C <1%
$76,480 Vol.
$76,480 Vol.
17°C or below
No
18°C
No
19°C
Yes
20°C
No
21°C
No
22°C
No
23°C
No
24°C
No
25°C
No
26°C
No
27°C or higher
No
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=UUWW
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Mercato aperto: Jun 12, 2026, 12:06 AM ET
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...Esito proposto: No
Nessuna contestazione
Esito finale: No
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=UUWW
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...Esito proposto: No
Nessuna contestazione
Esito finale: No
Recent meteorological forecasts from sources including AccuWeather and regional models indicate Moscow's daytime high on June 14 will reach 19°C under mostly overcast conditions with light winds and possible patchy rain, aligning closely with climatological norms for mid-June. Trader consensus at 100% for this exact threshold reflects convergence across official guidance, with no active heat advection or clear-sky amplification expected to push readings higher. Historical data show typical June maxima near 20–22°C, and current observations through early June (including a 30°C peak on the 10th) have since moderated. A late-day surge from shifting pressure gradients or station-specific microclimates could theoretically alter the official reading, though model agreement makes such deviations unlikely before resolution.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · Aggiornato
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